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Find the best NFL bets today - Oct. 27, 2026. Free expert and computer picks for every NFL game.

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Carolina @ Green Bay

Oct 29 • 8:15 PM ET

Matchup Stats

Computer PicksTrends

Predicted Score

CAR

24.01 @ 27.11

Panthers vs Packers · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
CAR CAR	24.01	+3.5 -103 Caesars Odds	o47.5 -108 BetMGM	+170 BetMGM
GB GB	27.11	-3.5 -110 Fanatics Sportsbook	u48.5 -115 theScore Bet	-185 DraftKings

Top Projection Josh Jacobs o15.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

o14.5-114

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Indianapolis @ Jacksonville

Nov 01 • 1:00 PM ET

Matchup Stats

Computer PicksTrends

Predicted Score

IND

18.71 @ 25.58

JAC

Colts vs Jaguars · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
IND IND	18.71	+10.5 -120 BetMGM	o46.5 -109 BetRivers	+400 BetMGM
JAC JAC	25.58	-10.5 -108 BetMGM	u47.0 -110 Hard Rock Bet	-441 Caesars Odds

Top Projection Keenan Allen o34.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

o34.5-115

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Tennessee @ Cincinnati

Nov 01 • 1:00 PM ET

Matchup Stats

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Predicted Score

TEN

16.05 @ 28.40

CIN

Titans vs Bengals · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
TEN TEN	16.05	+10.5 -110 Hard Rock Bet	o46.0 -112 BetRivers	+455 DraftKings
CIN CIN	28.40	-10.5 -104 Caesars Odds	u47.0 -110 Hard Rock Bet	-549 BetMGM

Top Projection Tony Pollard o59.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

o59.5-115

See all EV Projections

Cleveland @ Pittsburgh

Nov 01 • 1:00 PM ET

Matchup Stats

Computer PicksTrends

Predicted Score

CLE

17.60 @ 21.11

PIT

Browns vs Steelers · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
CLE CLE	17.60	+3.5 -110 DraftKings	o39.0 -110 Fanatics Sportsbook	+165 theScore Bet
PIT PIT	21.11	-3.5 -104 BetRivers	u39.5 -110 BetMGM	-182 BetRivers

Top Projection Aaron Rodgers o0.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

o0.5-110

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Minnesota @ Detroit

Nov 01 • 1:00 PM ET

Matchup Stats

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Predicted Score

MIN

22.97 @ 28.06

DET

Vikings vs Lions · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
MIN MIN	22.97	+3.5 -115 BetRivers	o45.5 -110 BetRivers	+155 BetMGM
DET DET	28.06	-3.5 +100 BetMGM	u46.5 -116 bet365	-170 DraftKings

Top Projection Jared Goff o0.5 Rushing Yards (-105)

o0.5-105

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Atlanta @ Tampa Bay

Nov 01 • 1:00 PM ET

Matchup Stats

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Predicted Score

ATL

21.31 @ 21.07

Falcons vs Buccaneers · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
ATL ATL	21.31	+2.5 -110 Caesars Odds	o45.5 -105 FanDuel	+117 BetRivers
TB TB	21.07	-2.5 -102 DraftKings	u46.0 -110 BetMGM	-130 Hard Rock Bet

Top Projection Kyle Pitts Sr. u39.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

u39.5-115

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Arizona @ Dallas

Nov 01 • 1:00 PM ET

Matchup Stats

Computer PicksTrends

Predicted Score

ARI

21.95 @ 29.62

DAL

Cardinals vs Cowboys · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
ARI ARI	21.95	+6.5 -105 bet365	o53.5 -115 BetRivers	+265 FanDuel
DAL DAL	29.62	-6.5 -110 BetMGM	u54.5 -110 BetMGM	-300 BetMGM

Top Projection CeeDee Lamb Score a Touchdown (Yes: +105)

+105

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Las Vegas @ N.Y. Jets

Nov 01 • 1:00 PM ET

Matchup Stats

Computer PicksTrends

Predicted Score

20.72 @ 23.61

NYJ

Raiders vs Jets · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
LV LV	20.72	+1.5 -110 BetMGM	o45.0 -110 Hard Rock Bet	+102 DraftKings
NYJ NYJ	23.61	-1.5 -105 Caesars Odds	u45.5 -105 theScore Bet	-113 BetRivers

Top Projection Ashton Jeanty Score a Touchdown (Yes: -110)

-110

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Baltimore @ Buffalo

Nov 01 • 1:00 PM ET

Matchup Stats

Computer PicksTrends

Predicted Score

BAL

24.03 @ 27.73

BUF

Ravens vs Bills · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
BAL BAL	24.03	+3.5 -118 BetMGM	o53.5 -115 DraftKings	+160 DraftKings
BUF BUF	27.73	-3.5 +100 bet365	u54.5 -110 Hard Rock Bet	-170 theScore Bet

Top Projection Derrick Henry o73.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

o73.5-115

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L.A. Chargers @ L.A. Rams

Nov 01 • 4:05 PM ET

Matchup Stats

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Predicted Score

LAC

19.71 @ 27.49

Chargers vs Rams · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
LAC LAC	19.71	+6.5 -102 DraftKings	o44.5 -109 BetRivers	+250 Caesars Odds
LA LA	27.49	-6.5 -110 BetMGM	u45.5 -105 theScore Bet	-290 DraftKings

New England @ Miami

Nov 01 • 4:25 PM ET

Matchup Stats

Computer PicksTrends

Predicted Score

25.70 @ 17.19

MIA

Patriots vs Dolphins · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
NE NE	25.70	-6.5 -120 Fanatics Sportsbook	o43.5 -125 theScore Bet	-340 bet365
MIA MIA	17.19	+6.5 +100 Fanatics Sportsbook	u44.5 -112 BetMGM	+295 BetRivers

Top Projection A.J. Brown o54.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

o54.5-115

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Kansas City @ Denver

Nov 01 • 4:25 PM ET

Matchup Stats

Computer PicksTrends

Predicted Score

21.66 @ 21.85

DEN

Chiefs vs Broncos · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
KC KC	21.66	+0.0 -129 BetRivers	o40.5 -110 Fanatics Sportsbook	-120 BetMGM
DEN DEN	21.85	+1.5 -105 Hard Rock Bet	u41.5 -114 FanDuel	+105 Fanatics Sportsbook

Top Projection Kenneth Walker III o79.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

o79.5-115

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Philadelphia @ Washington

Nov 01 • 8:20 PM ET

Matchup Stats

Computer PicksTrends

Predicted Score

PHI

17.95 @ 22.71

WAS

Eagles vs Commanders · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
PHI PHI	17.95	+5.5 -105 theScore Bet	o40.0 -108 BetMGM	+210 theScore Bet
WAS WAS	22.71	-5.5 -104 Caesars Odds	u40.5 -110 DraftKings	-218 DraftKings

Chicago @ Seattle

Nov 02 • 8:15 PM ET

Matchup Stats

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Predicted Score

CHI

22.28 @ 26.32

SEA

Bears vs Seahawks · Prediction & Game Odds
Team	Predicted Score	Spread	Total	ML
CHI CHI	22.28	+3.5 -120 theScore Bet	o46.5 -109 Caesars Odds	+150 Fanatics Sportsbook
SEA SEA	26.32	-3.5 +105 Fanatics Sportsbook	u46.5 -105 theScore Bet	-166 DraftKings

Top Projection Sam Darnold o4.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

o4.5-115

See all EV Projections

CAR @

GB Thu, Oct 29 • 8:15 PM ET

Passing Yards

Bryce Young o246.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Best Odds

o248.5 -117

Pick made: 2 hours ago

o251.5 -115

o253.5 -115

o255.5 -111

o256.5 -114

o255.5 -110

o248.5 -117

o254.5 -115

o254.5 -110

o252.5 -115

One ugly afternoon doesn’t erase Young’s breakout season. Before last week’s blowout loss, he topped 250 passing yards in all five games, averaging 309.8. Green Bay’s passing defense deserves some schedule context, too, having faced Bagent/Keenum, Jalon Daniels, Geno Smith and a Vikings team that turned to Carson Wentz off the bench. This hasn’t been a weekly parade of elite passing attacks. I’m expecting a rebound.

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Anytime Touchdown

Chuba Hubbard Score a Touchdown (Yes: -104)

Best Odds

-115

Pick made: 2 hours ago

-125

-120

-125

-120

-115

-125

This is a beautiful matchup for Hubbard, who has six touchdowns in six games, split between four rushing and two receiving. Green Bay has already surrendered 10 scores to running backs in seven games. I also love that he had just seven carries in Sunday’s blowout loss. Avoiding another heavy workload is a nice bonus for the quick turnaround.

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IND @

JAC Sun, Nov 1 • 1:00 PM ET

Spread

JAC -7.5 (-106)

Best Odds

-10.5 -108

Pick made: yesterday

-10.5 -108

-9.5 -109

-9.5 -108

-9.5 -115

-9.5 -110

-9.5 -109

-9.5 -115

-9.5 -110

Prior to playing on the slick field at Wembley Stadium in Week 6, the Jags ranked third in defensive DVOA while allowing the fourth-lowest EPA per play, which also included league-low marks in both metrics against the run. So, with a bye week to hit the reset button, Jacksonville is positioned to roll Indy. Colts QB Daniel Jones has thrown for just 5.5 yards per attempt and a 54.9 completion percentage the past four weeks, so Jacksonville can turn its full attention to stopping Indianapolis running back Jonathan Taylor and the one-dimensional Colts offense.

Spread

JAC -7.5 (-105)

Best Odds

-10.5 -108

Pick made: yesterday

-10.5 -108

-9.5 -109

-9.5 -108

-9.5 -115

-9.5 -110

-9.5 -109

-9.5 -115

-9.5 -110

The Jacksonville Jaguars are fresh and refocused off a bye after a grueling opening slate that has the team away from Duval Country in four of their first six games of 2026. This matchup with the Indianapolis Colts is the Jags’ first home game since Week 3. As for the Colts, this is the end of a nasty stretch of schedule. Indianapolis is playing back-to-back road games, its third roadie in four weeks, and its fifth away game in seven weeks with a UK trip in Week 4.

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TEN @

CIN Sun, Nov 1 • 1:00 PM ET

Total

o47.0 (-110)

Best Odds

o46.0 -112

Pick made: yesterday

o46.5 -108

o46.5 -110

o46.0 -112

o46.5 -110

o47.0 -110

The Bengals averaged 7.0 yards per play and went 5 for 5 in the red zone against a very good Baltimore defense. Cincinnati has put up 27 points or more in four of its six games and the Bengals sink their teeth into the Tennessee Titans in Week 8. Cincinnati’s offense will do the lion’s share of the scoring, and its defense will likely give up some gains too. The Bengals still allowed the Ravens to go 9 for 16 on third downs and sit third worst in third down defense.

Rushing Yards

Tony Pollard o59.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Projection 71.1 (Over)

Best Odds

o59.5 -115

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o59.5 -115

The projections expect the Titans to be the 3rd-most run-focused team in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 42.9% run rate.. The projections expect Tony Pollard to accrue 19.4 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 95th percentile when it comes to running backs.. Tony Pollard has garnered 71.4% of his offense's carries this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile among running backs.. Tony Pollard has run for many more adjusted yards per game (66.0) this season than he did last season (51.0).. Tony Pollard ranks as one of the top running backs in football at generating extra running yardage, averaging a stellar 3.21 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 78th percentile.

-115 at bet365

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CLE @

PIT Sun, Nov 1 • 1:00 PM ET

Rushing Yards

Aaron Rodgers o0.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Projection 10.98 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 -110

Pick made: 29 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 -110

A running game script is indicated by the Steelers being a 3.5-point favorite this week.. The leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 4th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.70 seconds per snap.

-110 at bet365

Passing Yards

Aaron Rodgers u218.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Projection 208.63 (Under)

Best Odds

u218.5 -115

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u218.5 -115

A running game script is indicated by the Steelers being a 3.5-point favorite this week.. This year, the daunting Cleveland Browns defense has allowed a puny 68.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 8th-lowest rate in the NFL.. This year, the daunting Cleveland Browns defense has conceded the 3rd-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing offenses: a puny 3.4 YAC.. The Browns cornerbacks project as the 3rd-best group of CBs in football this year in covering receivers.

-115 at bet365

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MIN @

DET Sun, Nov 1 • 1:00 PM ET

Rushing Yards

Jared Goff o0.5 Rushing Yards (-105)

Projection 4.84 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 -105

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 -105

-105 at bet365

Rushing Yards

Jahmyr Gibbs o83.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Projection 96.13 (Over)

Best Odds

o83.5 -114

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o99.5 +115

o83.5 -115

o83.5 -114

o86.5 -114

o84.5 -115

o89.5 -110

o85.5 -115

This game's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 3.5 points.. The projections expect the Lions to call the 4th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The 4th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Lions this year (a monstrous 61.7 per game on average).. In this week's contest, Jahmyr Gibbs is expected by the projections to place in the 100th percentile among running backs with 22.3 rush attempts.. Jahmyr Gibbs has rushed for a lot more adjusted yards per game (109.0) this season than he did last season (66.0).

-114 at DraftKings

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ATL @

TB Sun, Nov 1 • 1:00 PM ET

Receptions Made

Kyle Pitts Sr. u3.5 Receptions Made (+122)

Projection 3.18 (Under)

Best Odds

u3.5 +122

Pick made: 35 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u3.5 +122

Right now, the 5th-least pass-focused offense in football (57.7% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Falcons.. Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Atlanta Falcons are expected by the projection model to call just 62.6 total plays in this contest: the 4th-fewest among all teams this week.. The 7th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Falcons this year (a lowly 55.3 per game on average).. Kyle Pitts's 15.0% Target% this season shows an impressive regression in his air attack usage over last season's 23.0% rate.. Kyle Pitts's 2.8 adjusted catches per game this year reflects a significant drop-off in his pass-catching skills over last year's 4.3 figure.

+122 at bet365

Receiving Yards

Kyle Pitts Sr. u39.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Projection 32.92 (Under)

Best Odds

u39.5 -115

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u39.5 -115

Right now, the 5th-least pass-focused offense in football (57.7% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Falcons.. Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Atlanta Falcons are expected by the projection model to call just 62.6 total plays in this contest: the 4th-fewest among all teams this week.. The 7th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Falcons this year (a lowly 55.3 per game on average).. Kyle Pitts's 15.0% Target% this season shows an impressive regression in his air attack usage over last season's 23.0% rate.. Kyle Pitts has posted significantly fewer air yards this season (21.0 per game) than he did last season (50.0 per game).

-115 at bet365

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ARI @

DAL Sun, Nov 1 • 1:00 PM ET

Anytime Touchdown

CeeDee Lamb Score a Touchdown (Yes: +105)

Projection 0.66 (Yes)

Best Odds

+105

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

-115

+100

-105

-112

+105

-105

The projections expect the Cowboys as the 5th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.7% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 9th-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (58.7% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Cowboys.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to have 130.9 plays on offense run: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. After accumulating 112.0 air yards per game last season, CeeDee Lamb has posted big gains this season, now pacing 124.0 per game.

+105 at theScore Bet

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LV @

NYJ Sun, Nov 1 • 1:00 PM ET

Total

u45.5 (-115)

Best Odds

u45.5 -105

Pick made: an hour ago

u45.5 -110

u45.5 -113

u45.5 -115

u45.5 -108

u45.0 -110

u45.5 -109

u45.5 -110

u45.5 -105

u45.0 -110

One of the first stats I look at when evaluating taking an Under is red-zone touchdown conversion rate, and this matchup features two of the NFL's least efficient offenses inside the 20-yard line. The Jets come into this one with a paltry 45% red-zone touchdown rate, with the Raiders not too far behind, converting at just 46%. No matter which way you attack this game, it's difficult to see a ton of points being scored. While the Raiders leave a lot on the table defensively, the Jets offense, with just four rushing touchdowns to its name this year behind their 16th-ranked offensive line, won't do enough with the ball to get this one over the line.

Spread

LV +1.5 (-114)

Best Odds

+1.5 -110

Pick made: an hour ago

+1.5 -110

+1.5 -114

+1.5 -115

+1.5 -114

+1.5 -115

+1.5 -114

+1.5 -115

The Las Vegas Raiders have shown they can move the football, averaging 26.4 points per game compared to just 19.6 for the New York Jets. They own the league's fourth-best passing attack (14th in EPA/Play), throwing for nearly 270 yards per game - we'll take that in what could turn into an ugly game of football. That offensive production - a touchdown difference - is significant between these teams, and it's something New York will need to overcome if it wants to get a win at home after falling to the lowly Miami Dolphins. The biggest question is undoubtedly whether or not the Jets defense can do enough in the trenches and get Kirk Cousins to make off-platform throws. If they can't, Vegas will continue to roll.

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BAL @

BUF Sun, Nov 1 • 1:00 PM ET

Moneyline

BUF (-180)

Best Odds

-170

Pick made: yesterday

-190

-186

-192

-176

-190

-175

-190

-170

-180

The Bills are coming off a bye week and playing at home for the first time in almost a month. Buffalo’s break allows the offense to get some key bodies back on the field, including WR1 D.J. Moore. Jackson won’t be as nimble against a Bills pass rush getting consistent pressure (and Ed Oliver back in Week 8) and that takes away a big part of this Ravens rushing attack.

Rushing Yards

Derrick Henry o73.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Projection 84.55 (Over)

Best Odds

o73.5 -115

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o73.5 -115

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Ravens to run on 45.1% of their downs: the 6th-greatest rate among all teams this week.. The predictive model expects Derrick Henry to notch 20.4 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 98th percentile among running backs.. Derrick Henry has been a much bigger part of his offense's running game this year (73.7% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (63.5%).. Derrick Henry has grinded out 91.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest marks in the league when it comes to running backs (96th percentile).. The Buffalo Bills defensive ends grade out as the worst unit in the NFL this year with their run defense.

-115 at bet365

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LAC @

LA Sun, Nov 1 • 4:05 PM ET

Total

o43.5 (-112)

Best Odds

o44.5 -109

Pick made: 3 hours ago

o45.0 -108

o44.5 -114

o45.5 -105

o45.5 -108

o45.0 -110

o44.5 -109

o44.5 -120

o45.5 -115

o44.5 -110

Getting back two starting linemen and a receiver will help the Chargers look like the offense we expected. The Rams' defense is also the perfect "get well" foe for them, as they've given up 30+ twice in the last five.

Spread

LAC +6.5 (+100)

Best Odds

+6.5 -102

Pick made: 3 hours ago

+6.5 -108

+6.5 -107

+6.5 -102

+6.5 -105

+6.5 -110

+6.5 -104

+6.5 -103

+6.5 -105

We're taking a flier that a bye week got the Chargers healthy and an upset may be brewing. We'll stick with them and the points through 53% and might be convinced to jump at a straight-up win below 30%.

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NE @

MIA Sun, Nov 1 • 4:25 PM ET

Spread

NE -7.0 (-115)

Best Odds

-6.5 -120

Pick made: yesterday

-6.5 -130

-7.5 +106

-6.5 -127

-7.5 +100

-6.5 -120

-7.5 +102

-6.5 -130

-6.5 -120

-7.5 +100

New England QB Drake Maye paces the NFL in adjusted EPA per play over the past four weeks, and the Pats are third in offensive DVOA with an average of 31 points per game during the surge. Miami checks in 31st in offensive DVOA and 30th in defensive DVOA for the season, so with New England also having the benefit of extra rest and preparation time after playing Thursday Night Football in Week 7, the Dolphins are in tough and overmatched Sunday.

Receiving Yards

Rhamondre Stevenson o17.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Projection 19.37 (Over)

Best Odds

o17.5 -115

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o17.5 -115

Rhamondre Stevenson has run a route on 52.7% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 90th percentile among RBs.. In this contest, Rhamondre Stevenson is predicted by the model to rank in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.2 targets.. When talking about air yards, Rhamondre Stevenson ranks in the towering 84th percentile among RBs this year, accruing a remarkable 2.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more impressive than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).. The New England Patriots offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.. Rhamondre Stevenson has compiled substantially more adjusted receiving yards per game (26.0) this year than he did last year (18.0).

-115 at bet365

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KC @

DEN Sun, Nov 1 • 4:25 PM ET

Anytime Touchdown

Kenneth Walker III Score a Touchdown (Yes: -120)

Projection 0.75 (Yes)

Best Odds

-120

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

-145

-125

-155

-130

-132

-120

-150

At the moment, the 4th-most pass-heavy team in football (63.7% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Chiefs.. The model projects the Chiefs to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.6 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.. Kenneth Walker III's 20.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 10.9.. With an excellent rate of 0.33 per game through the air (97th percentile), Kenneth Walker III places as one of the best receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL when it comes to running backs this year.

-120 at theScore Bet

Rushing Yards

Kenneth Walker III o79.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Projection 93.26 (Over)

Best Odds

o79.5 -115

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o79.5 -115

o84.5 -114

o83.5 -115

The model projects the Chiefs to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.6 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect Kenneth Walker III to accumulate 21.5 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 99th percentile among RBs.. After comprising 48.7% of his team's rush attempts last season, Kenneth Walker III has played a bigger part in the ground game this season, currently sitting at 82.9%.. Kenneth Walker III's 122.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year marks a material boost in his running proficiency over last year's 52.0 mark.. Opposing teams have rushed for the 9th-most adjusted yards in the league (128 per game) vs. the Denver Broncos defense this year.

-115 at bet365

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CHI @

SEA Mon, Nov 2 • 8:15 PM ET

Passing Yards

Caleb Williams u231.5 Passing Yards (-113)

Projection 209.9 (Under)

Best Odds

u231.5 -113

Pick made: 17 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u227.5 -115

u219.5 -115

u231.5 -113

u227.5 -114

u225.5 -115

u228.5 -114

u228.5 -115

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 10th-fewest in the NFL.. Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the fewest yards in the league (just 151.0 adjusted yards per game) against the Seahawks defense this year.. This year, the fierce Seahawks defense has conceded the least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing teams: a mere 5.6 yards.. As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Seattle's safety corps has been terrific this year, ranking as the 5th-best in the NFL.

-113 at DraftKings

Receiving Yards

Jaxon Smith-Njigba o98.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Projection 103.75 (Over)

Best Odds

o98.5 -114

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o99.5 -115

o100.5 -110

o99.5 -114

o99.5 -115

o98.5 -114

o98.5 -115

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to see 133.1 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week.. In this game, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is predicted by the projection model to secure a spot in the 100th percentile among wide receivers with 12.1 targets.. With an elite 39.0% Target% (100th percentile) this year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba stands as one of the wideouts with the most usage in the league.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has notched a massive 107.0 air yards per game this year: 95th percentile when it comes to WRs.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has totaled significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (122.0) this season than he did last season (84.0).

-114 at Caesars Odds

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For every matchup in an NFL season, our NFL computer produces selections for a variety of different betting angles. Our computer picks are based on a proprietary algorithm that values each team in the current week to produce moneyline, spread, and point total selections.

The table above, below the game picks, tracks our NFL computer's results over the last 100 games, outlining the record and profit for selections, based on $100 unit size. We track the profit based on both opening and closing lines for every matchup.

How to Use NFL Computer Picks

The easiest way to utilize our computer picks is to simply follow our selections for every matchup, what you'd call ailing the computer." But there are other ways to utilize our NFL computer picks, as well.

You can use our NFL computer as a jumping-off point to do more research into specific lines, cross-referencing with expert picks, which can be found above the selections for some matchups, recent NFL betting trends, and more.

As well, you can gauge the confidence of the matchup. The larger the projected score, the more confident the computer is in a specific pick.

Or, if you want to implement a system, betting only on underdogs, for example, you can look for matchups in which our computer likes the underdog to inform which picks you're going to hone in on for a given week.

We have these computer picks for every sport you're looking to wager on, as well:

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

Moneyline

NFL moneyline picks are the simplest way to get in on the NFL action. All you have to do is simply bet on which team you think will win the game.

For moneyline picks, the favorite is represented with a minus sign (-) in front of the odds, while the underdog has a plus (+). However, you don't get the same profit for picking an underdog compared to a favorite. If the favored team is -120, a $100 bet on them would pay out $80 in profit and $180 total, if they win the game. The underdog winning at +150 would pay out a $150 profit, $250 total.

We have a complete breakdown of how to read NFL moneyline odds for these NFL computer picks.

Spread

While moneyline picks are the simplest, picking NFL games against the spread is probably the most common wager for regular NFL bettors.

To bet an NFL spread, you wager on whether a team will win by a certain number of points or more or if they'll lose by fewer points than the spread. For example, if the spread is -6.5 for the New England Patriots, you would win the bet if they win the game by 7 points or more. Or if a team is +6.5, you're betting on if they'll win outright or lose by fewer than 6.5 points.

There is a correlation between moneyline odds and the spread, as books set these lines based on the same information.

You can read more about NFL spreads here.

Totals (Over/Under)

If you aren’t entirely sold on which NFL team will win or cover in an NFL game, you can still use our NFL computer picks to bet on the point total.

As opposed to taking a side, in total or Over/Under betting, you wager on whether both NFL teams will combine for a final score of more than (Over) or less than (Under) the total number of points set by oddsmakers.

The computer picks, and your handicapping of totals is more about how you think both teams will score points, not which team has the edge to win.

More NFL Picks & Betting Tools

Our NFL Computer Picks are a great way to place weekly football wagers, but you should also consider handicapping games yourself using some of our other tools. If you're looking to bet on long-term futures this football season, check out some of our other dedicated pages:

Best Football Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on NFL picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. Our NFL betting sites guide offers secure banking, the best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service options for you.

NFL Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our NFL picks?

Covers NFL picks are released two to three days before each game on the NFL schedule.

What kinds of NFL picks do we make?

Covers provides free NFL picks covering many markets, including point spreads, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.