The Edmonton Oilers and Dallas Stars split the first two games in Texas in what is shaping up to be a riveting series.
With the series moving to Edmonton, my Stars vs. Oilers predictions expect Connor McDavid to pick up where he left off and have another big offensive performance.
Let’s dive deeper into my NHL picks for Sunday, May 25.
Who will win Stars vs Oilers Game 3
Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl will determine this series. If they’re at the peak of their powers, it doesn’t much matter what the Dallas Stars do. And if the Stars can slow them down at all, they’ll have a great chance.
Through two games, it looks like McDavid and Draisaitl are poised to take over. They’ve combined for seven points and rank first and second among all players in the series in shots, attempts, and scoring chances. They’re getting too many looks.
With McDavid and Draisaitl generating offense at will, and home ice now in their back pocket, I like the Edmonton Oilers' chances of grabbing a series lead.
Stars vs Oilers prediction
My Stars vs Oilers pick: Connor McDavid Over 3.5 shots (-105 at BET99)
Connor McDavid has flipped a switch in the playoffs to become a shooting machine. He’s taken matters into his own hands and is pulling the trigger when the chances are there. His volume has soared through the roof as a result.
McDavid has averaged 3.9 shots on 7.1 attempts per game in the playoffs. That’s night and day from his regular season averages of 2.9 shots on 5.5 attempts.
While McDavid has proven nearly impossible to slow down regardless of the game location, his playoff volume at home is noticeably higher.
He attempted at least six shots in all five games and has 7+ in four straight. On the season, McDavid had at least four shots on target in 18 of 21 games (86%) when recording seven attempts. His floor is very high when producing that kind of volume, which has turned into a nightly occurrence.
The Stars controlled the matchups in Dallas, and they still couldn’t stop McDavid from leading all players in shots and attempts.
Stars vs Oilers same-game parlay (SGP)
Connor McDavid Over 3.5 shots
Connor McDavid anytime goalscorer
Evan Bouchard Over 0.5 assists
McDavid is the best player in the league and tops all skaters in shots on goal, scoring chances, and expected goals during the playoffs. That’s a recipe for big time production; we just haven’t seen it yet.
Jake Oettinger is a good goaltender, but it’s only a matter of time before the dam breaks and McDavid starts filling the net, especially generating this kind of volume so consistently.
Lastly, we’re backing Evan Bouchard to pick up an apple along the way. Bouchard has 49 assists over his last 50 playoff games and shares the ice a ton with McDavid, be it 5-on-5 or on the man advantage.
The production of these two players is greatly correlated. If McDavid finds the back of the net, there’s a decent chance Bouchard helped make it happen.
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Stars vs Oilers odds
Stars vs Oilers live odds
Stars vs Oilers opening odds
- Puck line: Dallas +130 | Edmonton -150
- Moneyline: Dallas +1.5 (-190) | Edmonton -1.5 (+160)
- Over/Under: Over 6.5 | Under 6.5
Odds courtesy of BET99.
Stars vs Oilers trend
Connor McDavid has logged 4+ shots in six of his last eight games against the Stars. Find more NHL betting trends for Stars vs. Oilers.
How to watch Stars vs Oilers
| Location | Rogers Place, Edmonton, AB |
| Date | Sunday, 5-25-2025 |
| Puck drop | 3:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | TNT, SN |
Stars vs Oilers latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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