Jets vs Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks & Same-Game Parlay for Tonight’s NHL Game

DiStefano's prediction: Expect Jake McCabe to block at least two Winnipeg shots tonight.

Mike DiStefano - Contributor at Covers.com
Mike DiStefano • Betting Analyst
Jan 1, 2026 • 15:29 ET • 3 min read

NHL

Match starts: 2 hrs
TOR
60 %
WIN
40 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Jake McCabe o2.5  Shots Blocked (+115) Jake McCabe o2.5 Shots Blocked (+115)
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Jake McCabe of the Toronto Maple Leafs
Photo By - Imagn Images. Jake McCabe of the Toronto Maple Leafs.

We have eight games in the betting slate today, including an all-Canadian clash between the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Winnipeg Jets. 

Jake McCabe loves to put his body on the line for Toronto, and my Jets vs. Maple Leafs expect his shot-blocking prowess to be apparent again tonight against Winnipeg. 

Find out why with my free NHL picks for Thursday, January 1.

Jets vs Maple Leafs prediction

Jets vs Maple Leafs best bet: Jake McCabe Over 2.5 blocked shots (+115)

Jake McCabe is a shot-blocking machine. 

In the Toronto Maple Leafs' 4-0 win over the Devils, McCabe was a warrior, blocking eight shots in the victory. 

His blocks prop total is set at 2.5 tonight and is paying plus-money (+115) to go Over that number. 

There are two main factors why I like the Over as my play of the night. 

Firstly, the injuries to the Maple Leafs' lineup are not going to be easy to overcome again. The Buds rank 31st in defensive zone time this season, and I don’t think losing William Nylander and Christopher Tanev will help with that statistic. 

So more time in the D-zone should mean more ice time for their top shutdown defenseman, McCabe, who is already averaging over 22 minutes a night— a career high. 

He’s also averaging 2.93 blocks per game without Tanev in the lineup. 

Secondly, the Leafs allow a lot of shot attempts. Toronto rarely wins the possession game and has given up the seventh-most attempts this season, leaving McCabe ample opportunity to get in front of their shots and block the puck, hitting the over.

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Jets vs Maple Leafs same-game parlay

Matthew Knies has been a beast and is currently riding a four-game point streak with four goals and two helpers. I’ll bet on him extending that streak tonight, going over his 0.5 points total. 

I’ll also add Bobby McMann to go Over 2.5 shots. He’s been elevated to the top line for the last four games and is averaging four shots per game since. 

Jets vs Maple Leafs SGP

  • Jake McCabe Over 2.5 blocked shots
  • Bobby McMann Over 1.5 shots
  • Matthew Knies Over 0.5 points

Jets vs Maple Leafs odds

  • Moneyline: Jets +125 | Maple Leafs -150
  • Puck Line: Jets +1.5 (-210) | Maple Leafs -1.5 (+175)
  • Over/Under: Over 6 (-110) | Under 6 (-110)

Jets vs Maple Leafs trend

The Leafs are 7-3 in the last 10 games between the two teams. Find more NHL betting trends for Jets vs. Maple Leafs.

How to watch Jets vs Maple Leafs

Location Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
Date Thursday, January 1, 2026
Puck drop 7:00 p.m. ET
TV NHL Network

Jets vs Maple Leafs latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Mike DiStefano - Covers
Betting Analyst

Mike DiStefano joins Covers after a successful five-year stint with TSN. Distefano hosted Leafs Lunch, a Toronto Maple Leafs-centric radio show which featured a daily best bets segment where he found the biggest and best value plays of the night. He was also a weekly staple on TSN's flagship radio/tv show "OverDrive" as a betting analyst during their NFL picks segment #TeamAl-DogForever.

A graduate of Centennial College’s Sports Journalism program, Mike has also contributed to the Canadian Baseball Network, FanSided, and The Hockey News.

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