NHL Odds to Win Calder Trophy 2026: Waiting Game for Matthew Schaefer

Kyle LaRusic - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Kyle LaRusic • Betting Analyst 5+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 4, 2026 , 04:04 PM ET • 4 min read

Matthew Schaeffer got off to a hot start in his rookie season with the Islanders, and the defenseman hasn't looked back since.

 Matthew Schaefer (48) celebrates with the crowd after the victory over the Florida Panthers during the third period at UBS Arena.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Matthew Schaefer (48) celebrates with the crowd after the victory over the Florida Panthers during the third period at UBS Arena.

The NHL season has resumed, and New York Islanders defenseman Matthew Schaefer is -6000 on the Calder Trophy odds board. 

Barring a miracle, Schaefer will become the first Islander to win top rookie honors since Matthew Barzal in 2018.

Odds to win 2026 Calder Trophy

Player Bet99 Movement
Canadiens Matthew Schaefer -6000
Canadiens Ivan Demidov +3500
Rangers Beckett Sennecke +3300
Wild Jesper Wallstedt +20000

Odds as of 3-4. Odds from BET99, one of our best betting sites. Sign up with our BET99 promo code, or get one of our other sportsbook promos.

Odds movement

Matthew Schaefer went into the break at -1000 and has since responded with four goals in three games since returning from the Olympic break. Schaefer took the league by storm and seemed to have this award wrapped up before Christmas, but now it's pretty much a given.

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Understanding NHL Calder odds

Most sportsbooks will display odds in the American format as listed above. When the regular season is nearly finished and a consensus has emerged, you might see a player with a minus sign (-) ahead of his odds, like this:

  • Matthew Schaefer -600

The (-) means that Schaefer is the odds-on favorite, and a bettor would need to wager $6000 to win $100. Other contenders in the Calder race might have plus (+) odds to win.

  • Ivan Demidov +3500

Here, a bettor stood to profit $3500 for every $100 wagered. 

If American odds aren't your thing, simply use a tool like our odds converter to switch the odds to decimal or fractional format. Most online sportsbooks also give you the option to change the odds format that you see.

Calder Trophy betting splits

  • Highest ticket percentage: Ivan Demidov (16.6%)
  • Highest handle percentage: Matthew Schaefer (30.8%)
  • Biggest liability: Matthew Schaefer

Data courtesy of BetMGM.


Popular NHL futures markets


NHL Calder Trophy trends

  • Only eight No. 1 overall picks have gone on to win the Calder Trophy.
  • Only 16 goaltenders have ever won the Calder Trophy, with Steve Mason being the last netminder to capture the award (2009).
  • In 1990, Sergei Makarov became the oldest player to win the Calder at 31 years old.

Calder Trophy history

A quick look at recent NHL Calder Trophy winners and the teams they played for.

Season Player Team
2024-25 Lane Hutson Canadiens Montreal Canadiens
2023-24 Connor Bedard Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
2022-23 Matty Beniers Kraken Seattle Kraken
2021-22 Moritz Seider Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
2020-21 Kirill Kaprizov Wild Minnesota Wild
2019-20 Cale Makar Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
2018-19 Elias Pettersson Canucks Vancouver Canucks
2017-18 Mathew Barzal Islanders New York islanders
2016-17 Auston Matthews Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
2015-16 Artemi Panarin Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
2014-15 Aaron Ekblad Panthers Florida Panthers
2013-14 Nathan MacKinnon Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
2012-13 Jonathan Huberdeau Panthers Florida Panthers
2011-12 Gabriel Landeskog Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
2010-11 Jeff Skinner Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
2009-10 Tyler Myers Sabres Buffalo Sabres
2008-09 Steve Mason Blue Jackets Columbus Blue Jackets
2007-08 Patrick Kane Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
2006-07 Evgeni Malkin Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
2005-06 Alex Ovechkin Capitals Washington Capitals
2003-04 Andrew Raycroft Bruins Boston Bruins
2002-03 Barret Jackman Blues St. Louis Blues
2001-02 Dany Heatley Atlanta Thrashers
2000-01 Evgeni Nabokov Sharks San Jose Sharks
1999-00 Scott Gomez Devils New Jersey Devils

Calder Trophy Odds FAQs

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Kyle LaRusic - Covers
Betting Analyst

Kyle LaRusic joined Covers in 2020 with a Holland College diploma in Journalism and a Mount Saint Vincent Degree in Public Relations. Stints at Amherst News and the Cape Breton Post helped sharpen his skills in a newsroom setting, while working for MSVU and Dalhousie’s athletic departments landed Kyle in his comfort zone.

Kyle has been an avid bettor for over five years, starting with just one Sports Interaction account before discovering both the beauty and importance of price shopping. bet365 and Pinnacle are his go to books, but accounts at 10+ sportsbooks give him an array of options. “Rusty” will bet on anything under the sun as long as there’s value and good reasoning behind it, but NHL and NFL are his two favorite leagues to watch and wager on — especially with friends.

Kyle’s biggest tip for any bettor is simple: gamble responsibly. Only bet what you’re willing to lose and make sure to install a proper bankroll method to keep track of your ROI. If you’re still dwelling on the amount you lost the next day, it’s time to decrease your spending.

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