Boston College vs Notre Dame Prediction, Picks & Odds: College Football Week 11

Geoff Clark - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Geoff Clark • Betting Analyst 22+ years betting experience
Updated: Nov 13, 2026 , 10:45 AM ET • 4 min read

Notre Dame is laying a massive number against Boston College, but the spread is only the start. A sneaky total angle and three-leg combo add intrigue to this showdown.

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Match starts: 23 hrs
Boston College vs Notre Dame Predictions. Notre Dame quarterback CJ Carr (13).
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Notre Dame quarterback CJ Carr (13).

The 29th Holy War between two Catholic schools kicks off Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET at Notre Dame Stadium, with the Irish favored by 30.5 and the total at 53.5.

My Boston College vs. Notre Dame prediction targets a lopsided game script with a few twists worth watching.

Check out more college football picks for Nov. 14. 

 TOP PICK
Who will win Boston College vs Notre Dame: Notre Dame -30.5 

I'll lay the lumber with the Notre Dame Fighting Irish -30.5, up to -32.5.

Notre Dame has an epic edge in the trenches over the Boston College Eagles, one of the most predictive areas of football handicapping. The Fighting Irish's offensive line owns the best sack rate in the country, while BC ranks 129th in front-seven havoc rate allowed, according to College Football Charts.

That mismatch gets even uglier, as the Eagles have one of the country's worst passing attacks, and nobody has averaged 4.5 yards per carry against Notre Dame this season.

BC should live in third-and-long, letting the Fighting Irish pin their ears back and tee off on the quarterback.

Covers COVERS INTEL: The advanced power ratings support a Fighting Irish investment at this price. Per ESPN's Bill Connelly, the gap from Notre Dame to Boston College is 29.8 points. When you give the Fighting Irish a boost for home-field advantage, they should be at least -33 here.

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Boston College vs Notre Dame Over/Under pick: Under 53.5

The Under 53.5 is tradable down to 52.5 because blowouts are where Overs go to die, and I don't see Boston College contributing much to the scoreboard.

Notre Dame has held six opponents to 13 points or fewer, and every one of them ranks higher than BC in schedule-adjusted offensive EPA per play, according to GameOnPaper.com. The Eagles have also stayed Under their team total in three of their last five road games.

Neither offense is in a hurry. Boston College ranks 84th nationally in seconds per play, and Notre Dame is 117th. With chilly conditions expected, the Irish should control the clock while BC struggles to sustain drives.

Boston College vs Notre Dame combo

There's a pretty specific way this game needs to unfold: Notre Dame comes out swinging, builds a ridiculous lead, and spends the second half trying to get everyone home in one piece.

However, with this payout, it's worth trying to fit this combo into a tight window.

Boston College doesn't have the offense to force the Irish to keep their foot on the gas, which makes an early scoring burst followed by a whole lot of clock-killing doable.

If the Eagles sneak onto the scoreboard before things get ugly, even better. That's the kind of blowout I'm targeting here.

Boston College vs Notre Dame combo

  • Fighting Irish -30.5 
  • Under 53.5
  • Over 13.5 first quarter
Geoff Clark's 2026 Transparency Record
  • Top picks: 18-24, -7.40 units
  • Combos: 4-38, -21.30 units
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Boston College vs Notre Dame odds

For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.

  • Spread: Boston College +30.5 | Notre Dame -30.5
  • Over/Under: Over 53.5 (52%) | Under 53.5 (53%)
  • Moneyline: Boston College 3% | Notre Dame 98%

For the full slate of college football matchups, check out our college football odds board!

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Boston College vs Notre Dame weather

The forecast calls for temperatures in the mid-40s, winds around 8 mph, and a 54% chance of rain.

Check out our college football weather page for up-to-date info on every matchup.

Boston College vs Notre Dame trend to know

The Fighting Irish have covered six of their last seven home games as 21-point favorites or greater since 2025. Find more college football betting trends for Boston College vs. Notre Dame.

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How to watch Boston College vs Notre Dame

Location Notre Dame Stadium, South Bend, IN
Date Saturday, Nov. 14, 2026
Kickoff 3:30 p.m. ET
TV NBC, Peacock

Boston College vs Notre Dame latest injuries

Check out our college football injuries page for updates on every team. 

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Geoff Clark
Betting Analyst

A gambler first and a writer second, Geoff's favorite sports to bet on, listed in order, include the NFL, NBA, PGA Tour, college basketball, college football, MLB and horse racing. He's a veteran of the Circa Survivor and Circa Millions contests as well. A Saratoga, N.Y., transplant living in Long Beach, Calif., Geoff is most active on prediction markets. The native New Yorker stays loyal to his childhood teams, the Yankees, Giants, Knicks and Rangers. Clark added St. John's University basketball to his favorite teams after graduating from school in 2008 with a bachelor's degree in sports management. Geoff has been writing and podcasting in sports betting media since 2019, with stops at USA TODAY and Fox News, and TV appearances on VSIN. 

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