The No. 9 Tennessee Volunteers head to Texas A&M's Kyle Field, looking to send the Aggies to their third straight loss. My Tennessee vs. Texas A&M prediction and college football picks think the Vols will take care of business as a road favorite.
It all gets started at 3 p.m. ET on Nov. 14 (ESPN).
TOP PICK
Who will win Tennessee vs Texas A&M: Tennessee -2.5
I'll take Tennessee to cover, even if I have to give up another point.
Texas A&M's offense has produced yards but not points. The Aggies have been held to single digits in three SEC games this year, including last week, when they managed just nine points against South Carolina despite gaining 450 yards.
Tennessee is not the defense to try to get well against. The Vols lead the nation in sacks and are second in passing touchdowns allowed. Tennessee is at or near the top of the SEC in most defensive categories. UT’s offense isn’t at the same elite level, but the Vols have strung together 24-plus points against SEC foes for five straight games.
The outlook is bleak for A&M, which has blown fourth-quarter leads in its last two SEC games.
COVERS INTEL:
The Aggies ran for just one touchdown against South Carolina, Alabama, Missouri, and LSU combined. Against the latter three, they managed just 2.4 yards per carry and 58 ground yards per game. Their passing game wasn’t much better, throwing for one total touchdown and averaging 175 air yards per game against the four opponents.
Tennessee vs Texas A&M Over/Under pick: Under 43.5
Both teams run more than pass, and Tennessee nearly twice as often. A&M averages nearly five minutes more time of possession this season and produced a 38:00-22:00 time-of-possession edge against Arkansas, which is the highest in the SEC this year.
Tennessee has held an eight-minute advantage in two of its last three games. UT has put up eight scoring drives of 10-plus plays in the last three games and seven that lasted 4:45 or longer, including two nine-minute drives. A&M has put up seven 10-play and 4:45-plus drives in its last three outings, too.
Both teams will try to control the ball, which means fewer possessions and fewer points.
Tennessee vs Texas A&M combo
It’s too bad this game is being played on a mild Texas afternoon, because it would make for a great bad-weather contest. Both teams will run the ball and gear up to stop the run. This is a game designed to be played in the mud or with the yard lines covered in snow. Look for a physical, low-scoring rock fight with most passes being dump-offs near the line.
Tennessee vs Texas A&M combo
- Tennessee -2.5
- Under 43.5
- George MacIntyre Under 163.5 passing yards
- Top picks: 15-12, +18.6 units
- Combos: 2-6, +2.5 units
Tennessee vs Texas A&M odds
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
- Spread: Tennessee -2.5 (53%) | Texas A&M +2.5 (48%)
- Over/Under: Over 43.5 (52%) | Under 43.5 (49%)
- Moneyline: Tennessee 57% | Texas A&M 44%
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Tennessee vs Texas A&M weather
There won't be severe Texas heat for this November game. Temperatures should be in the low 60s throughout. It will be cloudy with a 10% chance of rain. Winds will be 11 mph, which is enough to account for on kicks and long passes, but it shouldn't cause major problems.
Check out our college football weather page for up-to-date info on every matchup.
Tennessee vs Texas A&M trend to know
The Under has hit eight times in Tennessee's last 10 games. Find more college football betting trends for Tennessee vs. Texas A&M.
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How to watch Tennessee vs Texas A&M
| Location | Kyle Field, College Station, Texas |
| Date | Saturday, Nov. 14, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 3 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Tennessee vs Texas A&M latest injuries
Check out our college football injuries page for updates on every team.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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