Best Super Bowl Coin Toss Prop Odds: Odds, History & Results

Bet heads or tails and other Super Bowl coin toss prop bets before tonight!

Feb 11, 2024 • 18:42 ET • 4 min read
2021 Tillman scholar Fabersha Flynt tosses the coin before Super Bowl LVII between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eaglesat State Farm Stadium.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

UPDATE: The Chiefs won the coin toss with Heads and they Deffered.

Before the ball is snapped at Super Bowl 58 or any touchdowns are scored, the game between the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers opens with the coin toss!

The ceremonial call between heads or tails not only determines which team will kick and receive to open the Big Game, but it has become a Super Bowl odds betting staple, garnering a massive amount of money at sportsbooks. Here’s everything you need to know about betting on the Super Bowl coin toss.

It's a 50-50 proposition! Just make sure you get the best odds before you bet!

Coin toss odds

Super Bowl coin toss prop bets are among the handful of odds markets not decided between the whistles. Similar to national anthem props, coin toss props are quick and exciting, making them a great opener to your Big Game betting. According to BetMGM, the heads or tails is one of their 10 most-bet props for Super Bowl 58. Additionally, they say that 54% of the bets so far are on Heads, along with 55% of the money bet.

Heads or tails odds

Result True Odds bet365 FanDuel DraftKings BetMGM
Heads +100 +100 -104 +100 -105
Tails +100 +100 -104 +100 -105

Odds as of February 11, 2024.

Result True Odds Coolbet logo Canada
Heads +100 -101
Tails +100 -101

Odds as of February 11, 2024.

Canada Denotes Canada or Ontario Only.

Super Bowl coin toss heads or tails odds will be some of the first odds released, and why not? It's truly a 50-50 proposition. You'll even notice that most sportsbooks offer reduced odds compared to the usual -110 seen when betting point spreads or Over/Under totals. For example, at -105, it'll take a $105 bet to win $100.

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Only bet at even money

By Jason Logan

Pick Made: 1/30

The Super Bowl coin toss is gambling at its purest. And depending on the odds you get for the ceremonial flip, it’s the most honest Big Game bet available.

The odds for heads or tails to show are 50/50 every time, regardless of any outside factors, game script, coaching plans, injuries, or human error – all those things that can blow up our best-laid bets. But not all books price it as such.

Some spots put a flat -110 rate on the coin toss, implying a 52.38% chance for both heads and tails. Most shops reduce the juice to -105, which is still 51.22%.

However, we’re seeing more and more operators offer EVEN (+100) money - 50% probability a side - on the Super Bowl coin toss.

This is more of a market undercut on a popular prop (because they know you’ll wager on more than the toss). Bet limits are pretty low on the coin toss, so don’t expect to get down “racks on racks on racks” on heads or tails.

Treat the Super Bowl LVIII coin toss as an appetizer to your Big Game betting experience, like a bowl of soup or those edamame beans at the sushi restaurant. It gets the blood pumping before kickoff, but don’t get too nuts with it, and understand that there’s no way to handicap head or tails.

Just ensure you’re betting this at EVEN money and getting rare fair odds from the bookies for once.

Pick: Heads +100 DraftKings

Which team wins the coin toss

Result True Odds bet365 FanDuel DraftKings BetMGM
49ers San Francisco 49ers +100 +100 -104 +100 -105
Chiefs Kansas City Chiefs +100 +100 -104 +100 -105

Odds as of February 11, 2024.

Result True Odds Sports Interaction Canada
49ers San Francisco 49ers +100 -105
Chiefs Kansas City Chiefs +100 -105

Odds as of February 11, 2024.

Canada Denotes Canada or Ontario Only.

Will the team call the coin toss correctly?

Result True Odds Coolbet logo Canada
Yes +100 -105
No +100 -105

Odds as of February 11, 2024.

Canada Denotes Canada or Ontario Only.

Will the team that won the coin toss win the game?

Result Opening Odds FanDuel DraftKings
Yes -105 -104 -110
No -105 -104 -110

Odds as of February 11, 2024.

Super Bowl coin toss history

The Super Bowl coin toss prop has been a staple of Big Game betting for decades now, ushered in with the explosion of online sportsbooks in the late 1990s. And since then, football fans have been trying to find an inside edge when it comes to capping the coin toss. 

However, as any statistician will tell you, a coin toss is a 50/50 proposition every time you flip it. The result of the coin toss isn’t influenced or impacted by the previous results or any past trends that always seem to pop up come Super Sunday.

That said, here are some of the notable records and trends around the Super Bowl coin toss:

Tails out front

Looking at the past 54 Super Bowls, Tails has been the winning side 29 times, including six of the past seven Big Games, while Heads has won 25 times.

NFC is dominant in toss

The NFC holds a significant edge in Super Bowl coin toss wins with 36, including a 14-year streak between Super Bowl XXXII (1998) and Super Bowl XLV (2011), while the AFC has won only 20 tosses. While this record is intriguing, the NFC’s dominance in Super Bowl coin flips is completely random.

Winning the flip doesn’t mean winning the game

The winner of the coin toss is far from a shoo-in to win the Lombardi Trophy, going just 26-32 (44.8%) in the past 58 Super Bowl games. 

Since 2008, when a rule change allowed coin toss winners to defer receiving to the second half, winners of the Super Bowl coin toss have opted to take the ball to begin the second half in 12 of the past 13 NFL championships. New Orleans in Super Bowl XLIV (2010) was the only coin toss winner to elect to receive the ball to open the game during this span.

Super Bowl Heads/Tails Coin toss winner Coin toss winner wins game
1 Heads Packers Yes
2 Tails Raiders No
3 Heads Jets Yes
4 Tails Vikings No
5 Tails Cowboys No
6 Heads Dolphins No
7 Heads Dolphins Yes
8 Heads Dolphins Yes
9 Tails Steelers Yes
10 Heads Cowboys No
11 Tails Raiders Yes
12 Heads Cowboys Yes
13 Heads Cowboys No
14 Heads Rams No
15 Tails Eagles No
16 Tails 49ers Yes
17 Tails Dolphins No
18 Heads Raiders Yes
19 Tails 49ers Yes
20 Tails Bears Yes
21 Tails Broncos No
22 Heads Redskins Yes
23 Tails 49ers Yes
24 Heads Broncos No
25 Heads Bills No
26 Heads Redskins Yes
27 Heads Bills No
28 Tails Cowboys Yes
29 Heads 49ers Yes
30 Tails Cowboys Yes
31 Heads Patriots No
32 Tails Packers No
33 Tails Falcons No
34 Tails Rams Yes
35 Tails Giants No
36 Heads Rams No
37 Tails Buccaneers Yes
38 Tails Panthers No
39 Tails Eagles No
40 Tails Seahawks No
41 Heads Bears No
42 Tails Giants Yes
43 Heads Cardinals No
44 Heads Saints Yes
45 Heads Packers Yes
46 Heads Patriots No
47 Heads Ravens Yes
48 Tails Seahawks Yes
49 Tails Seahawks No
50 Tails Panthers No
51 Tails Falcons No
52 Heads Patriots No
53 Tails Rams No
54 Tails 49ers No
55 Heads Chiefs No
56 Heads Bengals No
57 Tails Chiefs Yes
58 Heads Chiefs Yes

Super Bowl coin toss betting explained

A simple coin flip has become one of the most popular and fun Super Bowl betting options, with all sportsbooks offering at least odds on “Heads or Tails”. But there’s more than one way to wager on the coin toss results.

What is the Super Bowl coin toss?

To determine which team will receive the ball first in the Super Bowl, a coin is tossed and the designated road team (NFC team in even-numbered Super Bowls, AFC team in odd-numbered Super Bowls) calls either Heads or Tails.

The winner of the coin toss can choose to kick the ball to the other team to open the first half (allowing them to receive the kickoff in the second half) or receive the opening kick after halftime (and kick off to start the second half).

Can you legally bet on the Super Bowl coin toss?

Many sportsbooks offer Super Bowl coin toss odds, but they may not be available in every state where betting on sports is legal and regulated. Betting on the coin flip is legal in New Jersey, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Illinois, Tennessee, and Michigan.

Not all regulated jurisdictions offer markets for Super Bowl novelty props. Here's where you can legally bet on the Super Bowl coin toss:

Pretty much every online sportsbook will offer the basic “Heads or Tails” Super Bowl coin toss prop. However, other props based around the coin toss will vary from book to book.

The juice/vig around these coin toss props can vary from book to book, so if you are looking for the best possible return on your prop bets, be sure to shop around if multiple sportsbook options are available in your region. Have a look at our best Super Bowl betting sites if you're looking for a trusted option.

How to bet on the coin toss

Along with other Super Bowl odds, it's important to learn how to bet on Super Bowl prop markets. When it comes to Super Bowl bets, the coin toss prop is the simplest wager you can make. There’s no deep dive into analytics nor do you need to be a savvy sports bettor to find an edge. It’s a 50/50 chance no matter how you toss it. 

Because the coin toss is a random result, bettors should bet responsibly and treat the coin toss as a fun bet, always staying within their means. Sportsbooks are also cautious when it comes to the coin toss, setting stricter bet size limits on this prop than other Super Bowl betting odds.

Heads or tails prop

The most common Super Bowl coin toss prop is “Heads or Tails”. You just bet on which side of the coin will turn up. 

Sportsbooks will assign a cost to each side, also known as juice or vig. For example, a coin toss prop could have -105 juice on Heads and Tails, meaning for every $1 you wish to win on the coin toss, you would have to wager $1.05 (bet $105 to win $100). 

A prop market like this is a great example of why it’s so important to shop around at different sportsbooks before making your bet. Some betting sites might only offer odds of -115 on the coin toss prop, meaning you’d need to wager $115 just to win $100. 

Coin toss winner prop

Another bet you can place is on the coin toss winner prop, which allows you to wager on which team will win the coin toss and get to choose whether to kick or receive to begin the game.

Much like “Heads or Tails”, each team is assigned a price/juice for the coin toss winner prop. For example, the NFC and AFC teams could both be set at -105 (bet $105 to win $100).

Coin toss winner also wins Super Bowl prop

In combination with the coin toss winner prop, you can also bet on if the winner of the coin toss will go on to win the Super Bowl itself. This is most often presented in a “Yes/No” format.

You would think dictating the opening of the game could give the coin toss winner an edge, however, Super Bowl betting history shows us that the winner of the coin toss has gone on to win the Lombardi Trophy just over 44 percent of the time.

Super Bowl coin toss FAQs

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