With the NFL Draft over and done with, NFL season win totals are a hot topic.
Regular-season win totals are among the most popular futures bets in football. With that said, here are the NFL Over/Under win odds for all 32 teams for the 2022 season and the 17-game schedule.
2022 NFL win totals
|Green Bay Packers||11||-110||-110|
|Kansas City Chiefs||10.5||-110||-110|
|Los Angeles Chargers||10||-125||+105|
|Los Angeles Rams||10.5||-110||-110|
|Las Vegas Raiders||8.5||-120||+100|
|New England Patriots||8.5||-115||-105|
|New Orleans Saints||8||-130||+110|
|New York Giants||7||+105||-125|
|New York Jets||5.5||-165||+135|
|San Francisco 49ers||10||+110||-130|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||11.5||+100||-120|
|Washington Football Team||8||-110||-110|
Odds courtesy of DraftKings on May 25, 2022.
Which NFL team is expected to have the most wins in 2022?
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Buffalo Bills are tied for the highest projected NFL season win total at 11.5. Buffalo is currently favored to win the Super Bowl at +650.
The reigning Super Bowl champion Los Angeles Rams are listed at 10.5 wins, while the defending AFC Champion Cincinnati Bengals are at 10.
The Green Bay Packers, who have settled the Aaron Rodgers drama, for now, check in with a win total of 11. Meanwhile, the Denver Broncos are currently listed at 10 wins after acquiring superstar quarterback Russell Wilson from Seattle.
Which NFL team is expected to have the fewest wins in 2022?
The Houston Texans are projected to have the fewest wins, with their O/U win total set at a measly 4.5. With Deshaun Watson officially gone, there's now a clear direction for the team that they've previously lacked, but the roster remains poor and it's understandable to see expectations so low.
Slotting in behind the Texans is the Atlanta Falcons, currently projected at 5 wins for 2021 after trading longtime QB Matt Ryan. The Falcons themselves are set for a rebuild after moving on from their former face of the franchise.
Rounding out the lowest win projections are the New York Jets and Seattle Seahawks at 5.5 wins, followed by the Jaguars at 6. After making the playoffs nine out of the last 11 seasons, it could be a while until Seattle is playing meaningful January games.
When does Vegas release NFL win totals?
Traditionally, sportsbooks opened NFL regular season win totals odds soon after the free agency period and the NFL Draft. However, many sportsbooks have started offering this wager even earlier, releasing NFL props as soon as the week following the Super Bowl.
How to bet NFL season win totals
Season win totals are somewhat self-explanatory: betting on how many wins a team will have that regular season.
Oddsmakers set a projected number of wins for each team - based on past success, returning personnel and strength of schedule - and offer Over/Under betting options, allowing you to wager on if a team will exceed that win total (Over) or fall short of it (Under). This total does not include postseason games, such as the conference championship or bowl games.
On top of the season win total itself, oddsmakers set an assigned cost to the Over and Under bets – also known as vig or juice – depending on the implied probability of the team winning more or less than that total.
For example, oddsmakers calculate TEAM A to win nine games this upcoming season but do feel like there’s a better chance of them winning 10 games rather than 8. Therefore, they set TEAM A with a win total of 9 but increase the vig on the OVER to -130 (bet $1.30 to win $1) and decrease the vig on the UNDER to +110 (win $1.10 for every $1 bet).
OVER 9 WINS (-130)
UNDER 9 WINS (+110)
Season win totals are considered futures betting odds and sportsbooks will take action on season win totals from the time they post the odds until the start of the season. Futures bets are then graded at the end of the season, when all results are final.