The NFL regular season has reached October, and there has been plenty of movement both ways on the projected wins front.
Win total odds provide an early barometer for how strong or weak teams are perceived to be entering the season. After Week 3, a grand total of eight NFL teams are projected to win at least 10 games, with potentially more to follow. On the opposite end of the spectrum, three squads aren't expected to crack six wins.
With that said, here is just about every team's NFL Over/Under win total odds for the 2022 season heading into Week 5.
2022 NFL win totals
|Green Bay Packers||11.5||+105||-125|
|Kansas City Chiefs||11.5||-120||+105|
|Los Angeles Chargers||9.5||-105||-115|
|Los Angeles Rams||OTB||OTB||OTB|
|Las Vegas Raiders||7.5||-110||-110|
|New England Patriots||OTB||OTB||OTB|
|New Orleans Saints||7.5||+100||-115|
|New York Giants||8.5||+125||-145|
|New York Jets||6.5||+120||-140|
|San Francisco 49ers||OTB||OTB||OTB|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||10.5||-160||+135|
Odds courtesy of FanDuel on October 4, 2022.
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Which NFL team is expected to have the most wins in 2022?
The Philadelphia Eagles and Buffalo Bills have the highest projected NFL season win total at 12.5. Buffalo is currently favored to win the Super Bowl at +400. The next biggest win total is 11.5, which goes to the Kansas City Chiefs and Green Bay Packers.
The reigning Super Bowl champion Los Angeles Rams opened at 10.5 wins are currently off the board after last night's smacking at the hands of San Francisco — whose win total is also OTB.
Which NFL team is expected to have the fewest wins in 2022?
The Houston Texans are projected to have the fewest wins, with their O/U win totals set at just 3.5. With Deshaun Watson in the rearview mirror, there's now a clear direction for this Texans team that they've previously lacked, but the roster remains poor and it's understandable to see expectations so low.
When does Vegas release NFL win totals?
Traditionally, sportsbooks opened NFL regular season win totals odds soon after the free agency period and the NFL Draft. However, many sportsbooks have started offering this wager even earlier, releasing NFL props as soon as the week following the Super Bowl.
How to bet NFL season win totals
Season win totals are somewhat self-explanatory: betting on how many wins a team will have that regular season.
Oddsmakers set a projected number of wins for each team - based on past success, returning personnel and strength of schedule - and offer Over/Under betting options, allowing you to wager on if a team will exceed that win total (Over) or fall short of it (Under). This total does not include postseason games, such as the conference championship or bowl games.
On top of the season win total itself, oddsmakers set an assigned cost to the Over and Under bets – also known as vig or juice – depending on the implied probability of the team winning more or less than that total.
For example, oddsmakers calculate TEAM A to win nine games this upcoming season but do feel like there’s a better chance of them winning 10 games rather than 8. Therefore, they set TEAM A with a win total of 9 but increase the vig on the OVER to -130 (bet $1.30 to win $1) and decrease the vig on the UNDER to +110 (win $1.10 for every $1 bet).
OVER 9 WINS (-130)
UNDER 9 WINS (+110)
Season win totals are considered futures betting odds and sportsbooks will take action on season win totals from the time they post the odds until the start of the season. Futures bets are then graded at the end of the season, when all results are final.
Where can I bet on NFL win total odds?
Most online books and casinos offer futures bets on NFL regular season win totals. Check out the best sportsbooks available where you live.