2023 NFL Win Totals: Eagles Hold Highest Projections at 13.5

The 2023 NFL season is through the midway point, and among the more popular future wagers are the win totals posted for each club. See every NFL team's win total for the 2023 season — highlighted by the Philadelphia Eagles.

Nov 21, 2023 • 14:44 ET • 4 min read
Patrick Mahomes Kansas City Chiefs NFL
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Week 11 of the NFL season has come and gone, and the NFL odds regular season win totals have shifted rapidly for some teams.

Win total odds offer an early barometer for how strong or weak teams are perceived to be entering the season, and how well they're likely to finish as the campaign progresses.

The usual suspects are atop the board with the Philadelphia Eagles leading the charge with 13.5 projected wins and a pair of teams sitting at 12.5. On the other end, books are anticipating an especially rough finish to the season for Carolina and Arizona, who both sit with win projections of 3.5.

With that said, here is every team's NFL Over/Under win total odds for the 2023-24 season heading into Week 12. Be sure to also check out our Super Bowl odds page!

2023 NFL win totals

Team Total Over Under
Cardinals Arizona Cardinals 3.5 -170 +140
Falcons Atlanta Falcons 7.5 -110 -110
Ravens Baltimore Ravens 11.5 -125 -105
Bills Buffalo Bills 8.5 -170 +140
Panthers Carolina Panthers 3.5 -110 -110
Bears Chicago Bears 5.5 +110 -140
Bengals Cincinnati Bengals 7.5 -150 +120
Browns Cleveland Browns 10.5 -140 +110
Cowboys Dallas Cowboys 11.5 -110 -110
Broncos Denver Broncos 8.5 +110 -140
Lions Detroit Lions 12.5 -140 +110
Packers Green Bay Packers 7.5 +100 -130
Texans Houston Texans 9.5 -150 +120
Colts Indianapolis Colts 8.5 -140 +110
Jaguars Jacksonville Jaguars 11.5 +110 -140
Chiefs Kansas City Chiefs 12.5 +110 -140
Chargers Los Angeles Chargers 7.5 -140 +110
Rams Los Angeles Rams 7.5 -110 -110
Raiders Las Vegas Raiders 6.5 -140 +110
Dolphins Miami Dolphins 11.5 -115 -105
Vikings Minnesota Vikings 8.5 -160 +130
Patriots New England Patriots 4.5 -130 +100
Saints New Orleans Saints 9.5 +125 -155
Giants New York Giants 4.5 -150 +120
Jets New York Jets 6.5 -155 +125
Eagles Philadelphia Eagles 13.5 -160 +130
Steelers Pittsburgh Steelers 9.5 -110 -110
49ers San Francisco 49ers 11.5 -150 +120
Seahawks Seattle Seahawks* 8.5 -130 +100
Buccaneers Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7.5 -115 -105
Titans Tennessee Titans 5.5 -145 +115
Commanders Washington Commanders 5.5 -150 +120

Odds courtesy of bet365 on November 21, 2023.
* Odds displayed were last registered on October 21, now OTB

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Which NFL team is expected to have the most wins in 2023?

The Philadelphia Eagles' impressive 9-1 start has them projected to get the highest win total at 13.5, with the Over paying out at -160. Close behind at 12.5 are the Kansas City Chiefs and Detroit Lions, with five others projected to eclipse 11.5.

Which NFL team is expected to have the least wins in 2023?

Bottom-of-the-barrel honors go to the Carolina Panthers and Arizona Cardinals, who have win projections of a measly 3.5. With that said, Arizona's Over is paying -170 while the Panthers Over can be gotten at just -110. The New England Patriots and New York Giants are just behind them with 4.5 projected wins.

When does Vegas release NFL win totals?

Traditionally, sportsbooks opened NFL regular season win totals odds soon after the free agency period and the NFL Draft. However, many sportsbooks have started offering this wager even earlier, releasing NFL props as soon as the week following the Super Bowl.

How to bet NFL season win totals

Season win totals are somewhat self-explanatory: betting on how many wins a team will have that regular season. 

Oddsmakers set a projected number of wins for each team — based on past success, returning personnel and strength of schedule — and offer Over/Under betting options, allowing you to wager on if a team will exceed that win total (Over) or fall short of it (Under). This total does not include postseason games.

On top of the season win total itself, oddsmakers set an assigned cost to the Over and Under bets — also known as vig or juice — depending on the implied probability of the team winning more or less than that total.

For example, oddsmakers calculate TEAM A to win nine games this upcoming season but do feel like there’s a better chance of them winning 10 games rather than 8. Therefore, they set TEAM A with a win total of 9 but increase the vig on the OVER to -130 (bet $1.30 to win $1) and decrease the vig on the UNDER to +110 (win $1.10 for every $1 bet).  

OVER 9 WINS (-130)
UNDER 9 WINS (+110)

Season win totals are considered futures betting odds and sportsbooks will take action on season win totals from the time they post the odds until the start of the season. Futures bets are then graded at the end of the season, when all results are final. 

NFL win totals trends

  • There have been four teams in NFL history who have had an undefeated regular season, with the 2007 New England Patriots being the most recent.
  • Five teams have gone winless in NFL history, with the 2017 Cleveland Browns being the most recent.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have the most regular season wins in the last 10 years (117).

Win total history

Here's a quick look at recent NFL win total leaders.

Season Best record Team(s)
2022-23 14-3 Eagles Philadelphia Eagles
2021-22 13-4 Buccaneers Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Packers Green Bay Packers
2020-21 14-2 Chiefs Kansas City Chiefs
2019-20 14-2 Ravens Baltimore Ravens
2018-19 13-3 Saints New Orleans Saints
Rams Los Angeles Rams
2017-18 13-3 Four separate teams shared the honor
2016-17 14-2 Patriots New England Patriots
2015-16 15-1 Panthers Carolina Panthers
2014-15 12-4 Five separate teams shared the honor
2013-14 13-3 Broncos Denver Broncos
Seahawks Seattle Seahawks
2012-13 13-3 Broncos Denver Broncos
Falcons Atlanta Falcons
2011-12 15-1 Packers Green Bay Packers

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