The 2024 NFL season is right around the corner, and regular season win totals are always a hot topic in the NFL odds.
Projected win totals offer an early barometer for how strong or weak teams are perceived to be entering the season, and how well they're likely to finish as the campaign progresses.
The usual suspects are atop the board as the reigning conference winners lead the charge with 11.5 projected wins. On the other end, books are anticipating an especially rough season for the New England Patriots, who sit at 4.5 in their first year without Bill Belichick manning the sidelines.
With that said, here is every team's NFL Over/Under win total odds for the 2024-25 season heading into Week 1.
2024 NFL win totals
| Team | Total | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
 Arizona Cardinals |
7.5 | +124 | -152 |
 Atlanta Falcons |
9.5 | -148 | +120 |
 Baltimore Ravens |
10.5 | -138 | +112 |
 Buffalo Bills |
10.5 | +122 | -150 |
 Carolina Panthers |
5.5 | -124 | +102 |
 Chicago Bears |
8.5 | -160 | +130 |
 Cincinnati Bengals |
10.5 | -134 | +110 |
 Cleveland Browns |
8.5 | -138 | +112 |
 Dallas Cowboys |
10.5 | +164 | -205 |
 Denver Broncos |
5.5 | -102 | -120 |
 Detroit Lions |
10.5 | -134 | +110 |
 Green Bay Packers |
9.5 | -138 | +112 |
 Houston Texans |
9.5 | -150 | +122 |
 Indianapolis Colts |
8.5 | -104 | -118 |
 Jacksonville Jaguars |
8.5 | -115 | -105 |
 Kansas City Chiefs |
11.5 | -118 | -104 |
 Los Angeles Chargers |
8.5 | -144 | +118 |
 Los Angeles Rams |
8.5 | -144 | +118 |
 Las Vegas Raiders |
6.5 | -128 | +104 |
 Miami Dolphins |
9.5 | -122 | +100 |
 Minnesota Vikings |
7.5 | +138 | -170 |
 New England Patriots |
4.5 | -150 | +122 |
 New Orleans Saints |
7.5 | -130 | +106 |
 New York Giants |
6.5 | +122 | -150 |
 New York Jets |
9.5 | -162 | +132 |
 Philadelphia Eagles |
10.5 | -110 | -110 |
 Pittsburgh Steelers |
8.5 | +122 | -150 |
 San Francisco 49ers |
11.5 | +116 | -142 |
 Seattle Seahawks |
7.5 | -138 | +112 |
 Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
7.5 | -150 | +122 |
 Tennessee Titans |
6.5 | +110 | -134 |
 Washington Commanders |
6.5 | -115 | -105 |
Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook on July 8, 2024.
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Which NFL team is expected to have the most wins in 2024?
The Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers are once again the teams to beat, boasting win totals of 11.5. The Chiefs have surpassed this total in five of their last six seasons under Patrick Mahomes, while the 49ers have done so in two straight campaigns.
Close behind are six other teams projected to win 10.5 games, including the Dallas Cowboys and Philadelphia Eagles, both rivals in the NFC East.
Which NFL team is expected to have the least wins in 2024?
Bottom-of-the-barrel honors go to the New England Patriots, who have a win projection of 4.5 entering Jerod Mayo's first season as head coach. Last year saw the Pats finish 4-13, well below their 2023 pre-season win total of 7.5.
Meanwhile, the rebuilding Carolina Panthers and Denver Broncos both check in at 5.5. Bryce Young has plenty to prove after a rocky rookie year in Charlotte, while the Broncos starting QB for Week 1 remains up in the air with competition brewing between Jarrett Stidham, Bo Nix, and Zach Wilson.
When does Vegas release NFL win totals?
Traditionally, sportsbooks opened NFL regular season win totals odds soon after the free agency period and the NFL Draft. However, many sportsbooks have started offering this wager even earlier, releasing NFL props as soon as the week following the Super Bowl.
Popular NFL futures markets
How to bet NFL season win totals
Season win totals are somewhat self-explanatory: betting on how many wins a team will have that regular season.
Oddsmakers set a projected number of wins for each team — based on past success, returning personnel and strength of schedule — and offer Over/Under betting options, allowing you to wager on if a team will exceed that win total (Over) or fall short of it (Under). This total does not include postseason games.
On top of the season win total itself, oddsmakers set an assigned cost to the Over and Under bets — also known as vig or juice — depending on the implied probability of the team winning more or less than that total.
For example, oddsmakers calculate TEAM A to win nine games this upcoming season but do feel like there’s a better chance of them winning 10 games rather than 8. Therefore, they set TEAM A with a win total of 9 but increase the vig on the OVER to -130 (bet $1.30 to win $1) and decrease the vig on the UNDER to +110 (win $1.10 for every $1 bet).
OVER 9 WINS (-130)
UNDER 9 WINS (+110)
Season win totals are considered futures betting odds and sportsbooks will take action on season win totals from the time they post the odds until the start of the season. Futures bets are then graded at the end of the season, when all results are final.
NFL win totals trends
- There have been four teams in NFL history who have had an undefeated regular season, and the 2007 New England Patriots were the latest team to accomplish the feat.
- Five teams have gone winless in NFL history, with the 2017 Cleveland Browns being the last to do so.
- The Kansas City Chiefs have the most regular season wins in the last 10 years (117).
Win total history
Here's a quick look at recent NFL win total leaders.
| Season | Best record | Team(s) |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-24 | 13-4 | Baltimore Ravens |
| 2022-23 | 14-3 | Philadelphia Eagles |
| 2021-22 | 13-4 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers Green Bay Packers |
| 2020-21 | 14-2 | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 2019-20 | 14-2 | Baltimore Ravens |
| 2018-19 | 13-3 | New Orleans Saints Los Angeles Rams |
| 2017-18 | 13-3 | Four separate teams shared the honor |
| 2016-17 | 14-2 | New England Patriots |
| 2015-16 | 15-1 | Carolina Panthers |
| 2014-15 | 12-4 | Five separate teams shared the honor |
| 2013-14 | 13-3 | Denver Broncos Seattle Seahawks |
| 2012-13 | 13-3 | Denver Broncos Atlanta Falcons |
| 2011-12 | 15-1 | Green Bay Packers |
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