NFL Win Totals Odds: Regular Season Win Projections Following Schedule Release

Kyle LaRusic - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Kyle LaRusic • Betting Analyst 5+ years betting experience
Updated: May 14, 2026 , 08:15 PM ET • 4 min read

See every NFL team's Over/Under win totals following the release of the 2026 schedule.

Lamar Jackson Baltimore Ravens NFL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Lamar Jackson in NFL action.

NFL win total odds are beginning to take shape following tonight's release of the complete schedule, giving fans a clearer outlook on what to expect.

The Ravens and Rams are both projected for 11.5 wins, with the Miami Dolphins having the lowest at 4.5.

Check out the rest of those NFL odds below.

Updated NFL win total odds 

View current NFL win total odds for all 32 teams below.

Team Total Over Under
Cardinals Cardinals 4.5 +115 -145
Falcons Falcons 7.5 +105 -135
Ravens Ravens 11.5 +110 -140
Bills Bills 10.5 -130 +100
Panthers Panthers 6.5 -130 +100
Bears Bears 9.5 +100 -130
Bengals Bengals 9.5 -130 +100
Browns Browns 6.5 +130 -165
Cowboys Cowboys 8.5 -150 +120
Broncos Broncos 9.5 -130 +100
Lions Lions 10.5 -130 +100
Packers Packers 10.5 +105 -135
Texans Texans 9.5 -115 -105
Colts Colts 8.5 +105 -135
Jaguars Jaguars 9.5 +110 -140
Chiefs Chiefs 10.5 +110 -140
Chargers Chargers 10.5 +115 -145
Rams Rams 11.5 +105 -135
Raiders Raiders 5.5 -130 +100
Dolphins Dolphins 4.5 -110 -110
Vikings Vikings 8.5 -105 -115
Patriots Patriots 9.5 -135 +105
Saints Saints 7.5 -115 -105
Giants Giants 7.5 +100 -130
Jets Jets 5.5 -110 -110
Eagles Eagles 10.5 +110 -140
Steelers Steelers 8.5 +110 -140
49ers 49ers 10.5 +105 -135
Seahawks Seahawks 10.5 -135 +105
Buccaneers Buccaneers 8.5 -105 -115
Titans Titans 6.5 -115 -105
Commanders Commanders 7.5 -130 +100

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    NFL win total prediction

    Pick: Patriots Under 9.5 wins (+105 at bet365)

    The New England Patriots have anything but a cupcake schedule in 2026, kicking things off in Week 1 against the very team that slapped them silly in the Super Bowl.

    The Pats are Top 5 in miles traveled, and they have to deal with a No. 1-place schedule rather than No. 4. A 9-8 record seems very likely for New England, as regression is expected from a team that overperformed last year.

    Which NFL team is expected to have the most wins in 2026?

    The Baltimore Ravens and Los Angeles Rams have the highest win totals heading into the 2026 season at 11.5.

    Which NFL team is expected to have the fewest wins in 2026?

    The Miami Dolphins and Arizona Cardinals have the lowest win totals heading into the 2026 season at 4.5.

    When do sportsbooks release NFL win totals?

    NFL win totals were released in April 2026.


    Popular NFL futures markets


    How to bet NFL season win totals

    Season win totals are somewhat self-explanatory: betting on how many wins a team will have that regular season. 

    Oddsmakers set a projected number of wins for each team — based on past success, returning personnel and strength of schedule — and offer Over/Under betting options, allowing you to wager on if a team will exceed that win total (Over) or fall short of it (Under). This total does not include postseason games.

    On top of the season win total itself, oddsmakers set an assigned cost to the Over and Under bets — also known as vig or juice — depending on the implied probability of the team winning more or less than that total.

    For example, oddsmakers calculate TEAM A to win nine games this upcoming season, but do feel like there’s a better chance of them winning 10 games rather than 8. Therefore, they set TEAM A with a win total of 9 but increase the vig on the OVER to -130 (bet $1.30 to win $1) and decrease the vig on the UNDER to +110 (win $1.10 for every $1 bet).  

    OVER 9 WINS (-130)
    UNDER 9 WINS (+110)

    Season win totals are considered futures betting odds and sportsbooks will take action on season win totals from the time they post the odds until the start of the season. Futures bets are then graded at the end of the season, when all results are final

    NFL win totals trends

    • There have been four teams in NFL history who have had an undefeated regular season, and the 2007 New England Patriots were the latest team to accomplish the feat. 
    • Five teams have gone winless in NFL history, with the 2017 Cleveland Browns being the last to do so.
    • The Kansas City Chiefs have the most regular-season wins in the last 10 years.

    Win total history

    Here's a quick look at recent NFL win total leaders.

    Season Record Team(s)
    2025/26 14-3 Broncos Broncos
    Patriots Patriots
    Seahawks Seahawks
    2024/25 15-2 Lions Lions
    Chiefs Chiefs
    2023/24 13-4 Ravens Ravens
    2022/23 14-3 Eagles Eagles
    2021/22 13-4 Buccaneers Buccaneers
    Packers Packers
    2020/21 14-2 Chiefs Chiefs
    2019/20 14-2 Ravens Ravens
    2018/19 13-3 Saints Saints
    Rams Rams
    2017/18 13-3 Four teams
    2016/17 14-2 Patriots Patriots
    2015/16 15-1 Panthers Panthers
    2014/15 12-4 Five teams
    2013/14 13-3 Broncos Broncos
    Seahawks Seahawks
    2012/13 13-3 Broncos Broncos
    Falcons Falcons
    2011/12 15-1 Packers Packers

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    Kyle LaRusic - Covers
    Betting Analyst

    Kyle LaRusic joined Covers in 2020 with a Holland College diploma in Journalism and a Mount Saint Vincent Degree in Public Relations. Stints at Amherst News and the Cape Breton Post helped sharpen his skills in a newsroom setting, while working for MSVU and Dalhousie’s athletic departments landed Kyle in his comfort zone.

    Kyle has been an avid bettor for over five years, starting with just one Sports Interaction account before discovering both the beauty and importance of price shopping. bet365 and Pinnacle are his go to books, but accounts at 10+ sportsbooks give him an array of options. “Rusty” will bet on anything under the sun as long as there’s value and good reasoning behind it, but NHL and NFL are his two favorite leagues to watch and wager on — especially with friends.

    Kyle’s biggest tip for any bettor is simple: gamble responsibly. Only bet what you’re willing to lose and make sure to install a proper bankroll method to keep track of your ROI. If you’re still dwelling on the amount you lost the next day, it’s time to decrease your spending.

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