NFL Playoff Odds 2026-27: Chargers Tumble After Surprise Opening Loss

Robert Criscola - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Betting Analyst 11+ years betting experience
Updated: Sep 15, 2026 , 09:41 AM ET • 4 min read

NFL playoff odds will see dramatic shifts all season long. See why the 49ers and Chargers were two of the biggest movers following Week 1 action.

NFL playoff odds Jim Harbaugh
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Los Angeles Chargers head coach Jim Harbaugh reacts after a play against the Arizona Cardinals.

NFL playoff odds have seen some major shifts after a wild Week 1.

The San Francisco 49ers were able to boost their stock after upsetting the Los Angeles Rams, while the Los Angeles Chargers suffered a major setback at the hands of the Arizona Cardinals.

Let's take a look at the latest NFL playoff odds.

Latest NFL playoff odds

 

Team Yes
Cardinals Arizona Cardinals 8%
Falcons Atlanta Falcons 19%
Ravens Baltimore Ravens 79%
Bills Buffalo Bills 80%
Panthers Carolina Panthers 27%
Bears Chicago Bears 61%
Bengals Cincinnati Bengals 73%
Browns Cleveland Browns 6%
Cowboys Dallas Cowboys 41%
Broncos Denver Broncos 58%
Lions Detroit Lions 68%
Packers Green Bay Packers 43%
Texans Houston Texans 61%
Colts Indianapolis Colts 34%
Jaguars Jacksonville Jaguars 60%
Chiefs Kansas City Chiefs 74%
Raiders Las Vegas Raiders 21%
Chargers Los Angeles Chargers 39%
Rams Los Angeles Rams 76%
Dolphins Miami Dolphins 4%
Vikings Minnesota Vikings 49%
Patriots New England Patriots 58%
Saints New Orleans Saints 36%
Giants New York Giants 41%
Jets New York Jets 23%
Eagles Philadelphia Eagles 71%
Steelers Pittsburgh Steelers 38%
49ers San Francisco 49ers 70%
Seahawks Seattle Seahawks 70%
Buccaneers Tampa Bay Buccaneers 43%
Titans Tennessee Titans 6%
Commanders Washington Commanders 25%

Odds as of 9-15. Percentages courtesy of Kalshi.
Kalshi is a regulated financial exchange where you trade on real-world event outcomes. Instead of traditional odds, prices are listed as percentages (0-100%), representing the market’s estimated probability of an event occurring.

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NFL playoffs odds movement

  • The 49ers grabbed a key divisional win over the Rams to open their season. They went from 54% to 70% to make the playoffs.
  • The Jets stomped the Titans in Week 1 to more than double their chances of making the postseason, with Kalshi traders moving them from 10% to 23%.
  • The Bears dropped 59 points on the Panthers to boost their playoff stock from 49% to 61%.
  • The Dolphins dropped to last in this race, from 7% to 4%, after losing to the Raiders.

NFL playoff predictions

The Dallas Cowboys were done in by their defense last season, as the unit allowed a franchise-worst 511 points. But the Cowboys have overhauled their stop unit, replacing over 46% of defensive snaps from last year. 

Dallas selected both safety Caleb Downs and linebacker Malachi Lawrence high in the 2026 NFL Draft, and picked up edge rusher Rashan Gary in free agency.

With Dak Prescott still having both CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens to throw to, the Cowboys have the firepower to contend with the best offenses in the league.

Pick: Cowboys to make the playoffs (55% at Kalshi)

Pick made on 9-8.

NFL playoffs key dates

Here is a look at the NFL playoff schedule for January and February 2027.

  • Wild Card Weekend: January 16-18
  • Divisional Round: January 23-24
  • Conference Championship Round: January 31
  • Super Bowl 61: February 14

Popular NFL futures markets


NFL playoffs format

The NFL playoffs expanded prior to the 2020 season and will run the same format in 2026-27, with 14 teams in the postseason — seven from each conference.

In each conference, the division winners will comprise the Nos. 1-4 spots, while the Nos. 5-7 spots will come via wild cards. The top seed in both the AFC and the NFC will get a first-round bye, with the other matchups proceeding as follows:

  • No. 2 seed vs. No. 7 seed (lowest-ranked wild card)
  • No. 3 seed vs. No. 6 seed
  • No. 4 seed (lowest-ranked division winner) vs. No. 5 seed (highest-ranked wild card)

After the first round, the No. 1 seed will face the lowest remaining seed in their conference, while the other two teams will square off. Those winners will meet in the conference championship, and then the winners of those games — the AFC and NFC champions — will meet at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, Calif., on Feb. 14, 2027.

NFL playoff odds history

Check out Sports Odds History for a look at 2025 playoff odds information, including opening lines and final results.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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