Super Bowl MVP Odds: Darnold Remains Favored for Big Game MVP

As the Super Bowl approaches, Seahawks QB Sam Darnold leads the MVP odds, with Patriots signal caller Drake Maye chasing from second.

Robert Criscola - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Betting Analyst
Feb 3, 2026 • 16:27 ET • 4 min read
Seattle Seahawks Sam Darnold NFL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Seattle Seahawks quarterback Sam Darnold (14) runs against the Los Angeles Rams.

Quarterbacks predictably dominate the latest Super Bowl MVP odds, as Seahawks quarterback Sam Darnold sits atop the board at +115, ahead of Patriots signal caller Drake Maye at +240.

Seattle also has a pair of skill-position players in the mix, with wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba and running back Kenneth Walker III rounding out the top tier in Super Bowl odds contenders before a noticeable drop-off to the rest of the field.

With the Big Game set for Sunday, February 8 at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California, let’s break down the latest Super Bowl MVP odds.

Canada Looking to bet on Super Bowl MVP in Canada? Click here to see the odds from our featured Canadian sportsbook. 

Latest Super Bowl MVP odds 

Player DraftKings Implied Probability
Sam Darnold +115 45.5%
Drake Maye +240 29.9%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba +550 15.4%
Kenneth Walker III +800 13.3%
Rhamondre Stevenson +2800 3.4%
Rashid Shaheed +3000 3.2%
Stefon Diggs +5000 1.8%
Marcus Jones +6000 1.6%
TreVeyon Henderson +7500 1.3%
Nick Emmanwori +7500 1.3%

Odds as of 2-3.

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Super Bowl MVP favorites

Seahawks Sam Darnold (+115)

With the season on the line, Sam Darnold brought out his A-game vs. Los Angeles Rams, connecting on 25 of 36 passes for 346 yards and three touchdowns in the NFC Championship Game. 

It hasn't been all that long since he was labeled a "bust" with the New York Jets. Now, he's starting Super Bowl 60 for the Seattle Seahawks and is favored to take home the MVP trophy.  

Patriots Drake Maye (+240)

Drake Maye had a horrible stat line vs. the Denver Broncos in the AFC Championship Game, completing only 10 of 21 passes for just 86 yards, but most of the second half was played in a blizzard.

While Maye doesn't have the same caliber of weapons as Darnold, he is more agile and can help his MVP case with his legs as well as his arm.

Seahawks Jaxon Smith-Njigba (+550)

If a quarterback isn't standing tall with the MVP trophy, why not explosive Seahawks WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba

JSN has been Darnold's top target all season, and he didn't disappoint in the NFC Championship Game, hauling in 10 receptions for 153 yards and a touchdown in the 31-27 victory over the Rams. 

While another performance like that may tilt the scales in Darnold's direction, JSN shouldn't be automatically passed over. And if Darnold is otherwise shaky, that might help seal the deal for the wideout.

It hasn't been all that long since a WR won the award, as Cooper Kupp became the eighth wideout to do so in 2022.

Super Bowl MVP opening odds

These numbers reflect where the Super Bowl MVP market opened before the playoff field narrowed and odds began condensing around quarterbacks on the top teams.

  • Sam Darnold (+600)
  • Matthew Stafford (+650)
  • Bo Nix (+1100)
  • Josh Allen (+1200)
  • Drake Maye (+1200)
  • Jalen Hurts (+1500)
  • Trevor Lawrence (+1700)
  • C.J. Stroud (+2000)
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba (+2500)
  • Jordan Love (+3000)

Super Bowl MVP odds in Canada

BET99 is the best place to wager on the Super Bowl MVP in Canada. Check out the latest odds below.

Player Bet99 Implied Probability
Sam Darnold +120 45.5%
Drake Maye +235 29.9%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba +550 15.4%
Kenneth Walker III +640 13.5%
Rhamondre Stevenson +3000 3.2%
Rashid Shaheed +3000 3.2%
Stefon Diggs +6000 1.6%
Marcus Jones +6000 1.6%
Nick Emmanwori +7500 1.3%
TreVeyon Henderson +7500 1.3%

Odds as of 2-2.

How to read Super Bowl MVP odds

When learning how to bet on the Super Bowl, bettors must first understand how the odds are displayed and how to read them. The Super Bowl MVP odds are displayed in a list format with corresponding odds for each player considered an MVP candidate. The odds will reflect the implied probability of that player winning MVP.

Some sportsbooks will have a very long and detailed list with plenty of players available. Other books will list just the skill positions and key defensive contributors while adding a "field" or "other" option, which includes any player not officially listed. 

Most sportsbooks in North America will list Super Bowl MVP odds in American format:

  • Sam Darnold +250
  • Drake Maye +280

This means that a $100 bet on Darnold will result in $250 of profit if he wins, or a $100 bet on Maye will result in $280 if he wins. Use our odds converter to switch American odds to decimal or fractional and to see how much you could win using different odds.


Covers Super Bowl betting tools


List of previous Super Bowl MVP winners

A Super Bowl MVP has been named in all 59 championship games, going back to 1967 when Green Bay Packers quarterback Bart Starr was named the very first Super Bowl Most Valuable Player. 

Starr is one of the 33 quarterbacks to be named Super Bowl MVP. Running backs and wide receivers have each won MVP eight times, while a defensive player has been named MVP five times and a special teams player has won the award once. 

Betting on the Super Bowl MVP odds was made popular in the late 1990s, as online sports betting began to boom, but has only recently been allowed in regulated land-based sportsbooks (such as Las Vegas/Nevada) since 2016.

Super Bowl MVP Odds Position
59 Eagles Jalen Hurts +375 QB
58 Chiefs Patrick Mahomes +130 QB
57 Chiefs Patrick Mahomes +130 QB
56 Rams Cooper Kupp +600 WR
55 Buccaneers Tom Brady +187 QB
54 Chiefs Patrick Mahomes +110 QB
53 Patriots Julian Edelman +2000 WR
52 Eagles Nick Foles +325 QB
51 Patriots Tom Brady +150 QB
50 Broncos Von Miller +2200 LB

Super Bowl MVP Odds FAQs

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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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