Monday Night Football Computer Picks: Our Best Week 13 Player Prop Projections

Two of the league's most exciting young QBs face off tonight, and our NFL player prop projections like both Jaxson Dart and Drake Maye to hit their rushing yard totals.

Jared Hochman - Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Jared Hochman • Content Manager
Dec 1, 2025 • 11:56 ET • 4 min read
Giants vs Patriots computer picks Jaxson Dart
Photo By - Imagn Images. New York Giants quarterback Jaxson Dart (6) rushes the ball.

Week 13 wraps up with a matchup between two of the most exciting young signal-callers in the league, as Drake Maye and the Patriots host Jaxson Dart and the Giants.

Our NFL player prop projections have identified the best MNF prop values for tonight, including both quarterbacks making a big impact with their legs.

Giants vs Patriots computer picks for Monday Night Football

Giants Giants Patriots Patriots
Dart o27.5 rush
-110
Maye o21.5 rush
-110
Tracy o48.5 rush
-110
Henderson o16.5 rec
-110
Robinson u60.5 rec
+100
Diggs o48.5 rec
-110
Johnson o30.5 rec
-110
Henry o39.5 rec
-110
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Giants MNF computer picks

Jaxson Dart Over 27.5 rushing yards (-110)

Projection: 32.89 yards

Dart has rushed for 50+ yards in five of his seven career starts, and our projections expect him to again run past a much lower total tonight.

Tyrone Tracy Over 48.5 rushing yards (-110)

Projection: 51.22 yards

Tracy has surpassed 60 yards in three straight games and while we don't project him to finish that high, we do expect him to finish around 50 yards.

Wan'Dale Robinson Under 60.5 receiving yards (+100)

Projection: 57.58 yards

We're forecasting a quiet day for the Giants receiver, falling just short of his posted total.

Theo Johnson Over 30.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 36.13 yards

The second-year TE has hit at least 27 yards in seven of his last eight games (45.1 yards per game), and we're projecting him to finish in the 30s tonight.


More Monday Night Football picks from Covers


Patriots MNF computer picks

Drake Maye Over 21.5 rushing yards (-110)

Projection: 29.34 yards

Our projections weren't big on Maye's passing yards, but they did like him to finish above his posted rushing yardage line.

Alternate-total bet
30+ yards (+165) - This number shows decent value.

TreVeyon Henderson Over 16.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 19.93 yards

Henderson has hit 30+ receiving yards in two of his last four games, and we're expecting him to post another solid effort tonight.

Alternate-total bet
20+ yards (+120) - This price shows OK value.

Stefon Diggs Over 47.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 51.47 yards

We're projecting the veteran receiver to finish just above his line vs. a weak Giants secondary.

Hunter Henry Over 38.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 40.62 yards

It's the same thing for the reliable TE, who has topped this number in three of his last four outings.

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Jared Hochman Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Content Manager

Before Jared Hochman joined the Covers team in 2020, he worked for newspaper outlets such as the Chronicle Herald and The Coast, worked in marketing for SkipTheDishes and Vivid Seats, and previously ran a magazine. A journalism graduate from the University of King's College in, Halifax, N.S., "Hoch" brings more than a decade of experience in sports betting, having worked as a freelance handicapper, making appearances on Monumental Sports Network and the Sharp 600 podcast, and now also filling in occasionally as host of Covers' NHL Puck Props. 

Awarded Covers' company MVP for 2023, Jared is an avid bettor of MLB, NFL, NHL, and NBA, while also wagering on some soccer and WNBA. His best advice for sports bettors? Price shop, which is something he does daily across 10 different sportsbook apps.

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