Drake Maye Picks, Predictions & Best Bets for Monday Night Football

Monday Night Football gives Drake Maye another chance to strengthen his MVP case, and we expect the Patriots quarterback to use his legs against the Giants.

Sam Farley - Contributor at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Nov 30, 2025 • 15:39 ET • 4 min read
Drake Maye New England Patriots NFL
Photo By - Imagn Images. New England Patriots quarterback Drake Maye (10) runs for a first down.

Gillette Stadium is the home for Monday Night Football in Week 13, as the New England Patriots and New York Giants are set to square off.

This gives us a chance to watch two of the league’s most exciting young quarterbacks go head-to-head, with our eyes especially on Drake Maye, the sophomore who’s firmly in this season’s MVP conversation.

I’ve taken a close look at the Drake Maye odds to find the best ways for you to get involved with the Patriots QB on December 1.

Drake Maye prop pick

Drake Maye best bet: Over 21.5 rushing yards (-110 at bet365)

It’s been an impressive season for Drake Maye. He’s a serious MVP candidate alongside Matthew Stafford, and his New England Patriots sit atop the AFC East with a 10–2 record. 

We saw Maye use his legs often last season, and he’s averaged 6.8 carries over the past seven weeks. Meanwhile, the New York Giants are giving up more rushing yards to opposing quarterbacks than any other team in the NFL. Through 12 games, they’ve allowed quarterbacks to scamper for 302 yards — an average of 25.1 per game. 

Maye cleared this week’s rushing line of 21.5 in his last game and has done so in four of his past seven, averaging 25.5 rushing yards per outing this season.

Considering Maye’s rushing ability and the Giants’ struggles against mobile quarterbacks, it’s the smart play on MNF.

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Drake Maye same-game parlay

Drake Maye Over 21.5 rushing yards

Drake Maye Over 244.5 passing yards

Drake Maye Over 0.5 interceptions

In addition to the best bet, we’re taking Maye to throw for Over 244.5 passing yards. The Giants have allowed 227.8 passing yards per game, but Maye has been putting up serious numbers. He’s hit 245 or more passing yards in five straight contests, including nine of 12 overall.

For the final leg, we’re backing Maye to be intercepted at least once. He’s been picked off six times this season, with four of those coming in his past five games, as his ball security has looked a bit shaky.

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Sam Farley
Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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