We have an exciting Week 13 Thursday Night Football clash with the Seahawks traveling to Dallas to face the Cowboys as large underdogs in the TNF odds. The Cowboys are 8-3, two wins ahead of the Seahawks in the Wild Card race, but there’s more to it than just those wins. The Cowboys have looked sensational at times, in part due to QB Dak Prescott playing at a high level.
Dak Prescott TNF prop picks
- Dak Prescott Over 12.5 rushing yards
- D. Prescott Over 13.5 rush yds/D. Prescott Over 24.5 pass completions/C. Lamb anytime TD
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Dak Prescott TNF prop pick
Dak Prescott Over 12.5 rushing yards (-114)
Since the Cowboys’ Week 7 bye, we’ve seen Dak Prescott play at a very high level. They’ve picked up four wins from those five games, with Prescott throwing for at least 300 yards in four of five games. He’s added 17 touchdown passes and had a QB rating of 130+ on three occasions, with his lowest only being 95.2 in a game against the Panthers in which the team relied upon the rushing attack.
Given how exceptional he’s been, particularly with his arm, it may shock you to know that our best bet on Dak Prescott’s prop markets involve the Over on his rushing yard line of 12.5. He’s topped this number in three of those five games since the bye.
When it comes to stopping QBs rushing, the Seahawks rank 11th in the NFL for most rushing yardage allowed to quarterbacks. They’ve allowed a total of 249 rushing yards to QBs through 11 games, averaging just over 22 yards per game.
We know that the ground game isn’t Prescott’s specialty, but he’s capable with his feet and has rushed at least once per game all season, with 34 total carries through 11 games. That’s an average of just over three times per game. In games where he has rushed three or more times, he’s exceeded the 12.5 line each time.
We’re going to see Prescott scramble at some point to escape the Seahawks’ defensive line, and I think there’s a good chance that he manages to rush 13 or more yards.
Prop: Dak Prescott Over 12.5 rushing yards (-114 at FanDuel)
Dak Prescott TNF same-game parlay
Dak Prescott Over 13.5 rushing yards
Dak Prescott Over 24.5 passing completions
CeeDee Lamb anytime TD
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I’ve got a Prescott themed same-game parlay for you ahead of the Thursday Night Football and it comes in at +475.
Our best bet saw Over 12.5 rushing yards but here we’re going for Over 13.5 rushing yards because that’s the line on offer with this site. We’ve discussed it above, but this is a number Prescott has covered in 60% of his previous five games, and the Seahawks are allowing over 22 rushing yards to QBs per game.
Secondly, we’re going to back Dak to do what he does best, and that’s pass. His pass completion line sits at 24.5 here. It’s a number that he’s covered in seven of 11 games so far this season. However, if you look closer at the numbers, you can see that since the Week 7 bye he’s covered this in four of five games, a period that coincided with him showing his best form of the season.
Finally, we’re going to be backing somebody to catch these passes and get a touchdown. There’s one man on the Cowboys roster who really leaps out and that’s CeeDee Lamb. He’s scored six touchdowns in the five games since the Week 7 bye and only had one touchdown in the six games before that.
He’s a playing at a great level and has had at least nine targets in every game since that bye week. If he continues to get that level of volume, then the chances of him scoring are very high.
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