Wisconsin vs Notre Dame Prediction, Picks & Odds: College Football Week 1

Rob Paul - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rob Paul • Betting Analyst 5+ years betting experience
Updated: Sep 5, 2026 , 05:00 AM ET • 4 min read

Notre Dame should look right at home playing on a Sunday at an NFL stadium, boasting far more pro-level talent than Wisconsin.

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Match starts: 33 hrs
CJ Carr Notre Dame college football
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Notre Dame quarterback CJ Carr (13) passes.

For the first time in a decade, Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisc., is hosting a college football game, and both Wisconsin and Notre Dame will be embracing the historic event with alternate uniforms when they hit the gridiron on Sunday at 7:30 p.m. ET (NBC).

With Notre Dame donning an "Acme Packers" inspired uniform as a 20.5-point favorite, my Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame prediction expects the Fighting Irish to look good, feel good, and play good against a Badgers team set to rep an all-red fit.

Find out more in my college football picks for Sept. 6.

 TOP PICK
Who will win Wisconsin vs Notre Dame: Notre Dame -20.5 

It's fitting that Notre Dame, the college football national championship odds favorite, opens the season at an NFL stadium on a Sunday because half its starters will be playing in the pros next season.

Marcus Freeman's program has no shortage of proven talent, with the Fighting Irish leading the country in returning production (72%). That includes having the Heisman Trophy odds leader at QB (CJ Carr) and an offensive line that's my pick to win the Joe Moore Award this year.

Notre Dame is ranked No. 3 on offense by SP+ heading into Week 1, but its defense should make the bigger difference against Wisconsin. The Irish have the best secondary in the country, and Colton Joseph is making his first start at Wisconsin.

I would take Notre Dame to cover by as many as 22.5.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Notre Dame finished Top five nationally in EPA per pass, available yards percentage, early-down EPA per play, and third/fourth-down EPA per play last season.

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Wisconsin vs Notre Dame Over/Under pick: Under 46.5

Freeman and Wisconsin head coach Luke Fickell know a thing or two about defense; they were the masterminds behind Cincinnati's rise to becoming the first non-Power program to reach the College Football Playoff in 2021.

It's no surprise that both have continued to produce strong defenses as Power Four head coaches, but it's Notre Dame's that should really set the tone at Lambeau Field. Last season, the Fighting Irish ranked Top 20 in both EPA per pass and rush on defense, and this season, they are projected to have a Top 10 unit by SP+.

And for all of Wisconsin's problems under Fickell, the defense has remained solid. It was ranked 35th by SP+ in 2025 and added plenty of portal talent around returning star Mason Posa.

However, I wouldn't touch the Under if it drops any lower.

Wisconsin vs Notre Dame combo

There's excitement around Wisconsin's offense with Joseph starting, but it's a huge ask for him to produce against Notre Dame in his first start as a P4 QB.

Notre Dame has the best defensive player in the country (Leonard Moore) leading the best secondary in the country, with a front seven that features multiple projected NFL draft picks, including potential Top 50 selection Boubacar Traore.

Traore and the Irish D-line will create havoc against a Badgers O-line dealing with injuries and new starters. That spells trouble for Joseph, who was a big-play hunter at Old Dominion.

While he looked to hit home runs, it led to him missing out on singles and doubles. Joseph had the second-lowest adjusted completion percentage in the country among the 99 QBs who took 300+ dropbacks in 2025 (65.1).

Wisconsin vs Notre Dame combo

  • Notre Dame -20.5
  • Under 46.5
  • Wisconsin team total Under 13.5

Wisconsin vs Notre Dame odds

For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.

  • Spread: Wisconsin +20.5 | Notre Dame -20.5
  • Over/Under: Over 46.5 (50%) | Under 46.5 (50%)
  • Moneyline: Wisconsin 9% | Notre Dame 91%

For the full slate of college football matchups, check out our college football odds board!

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Wisconsin vs Notre Dame weather

The weather in Green Bay isn't expected to be a factor in this matchup.

Check out our college football weather page for up-to-date info on every matchup.

Wisconsin vs Notre Dame trend to know

The Under is 7-0 in Wisconsin's last seven games as an underdog. Find more college football betting trends for Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame.

How to watch Wisconsin vs Notre Dame

Location Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
Date Sunday, Sept.6, 2026
Kickoff 7:30 p.m. ET
TV NBC

Wisconsin vs Notre Dame latest injuries

Check out our college football injuries page for updates on every team. 

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Rob Paul - Contributor at Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Rob Paul has worked in the sports betting industry for several years, primarily covering collegiate sports with a sprinkle of NFL, NBA, WNBA, and CFL. He uses a combination of advanced stats and film to find betting value, and aims to exploit specific matchups with plus-money player props.

A college sports junky, Rob's betting process tends to revolve around which games he plans on watching on a given day/week. He begins the process by looking at the college football/basketball schedule and making a list of what he plans on watching before diving into advanced numbers to help inform how to bet each matchup.

Typically, Rob bets at FanDuel and bet365, as they tend to offer a wider array of collegiate player props. Rob loves the way sports betting can act as a catalyst for telling stories and growing interest in certain sports, particularly Group of Six and FCS football, WNBA, and mid-major college basketball.

Before joining Covers, he contributed to various sports outlets, including FanSided and Pro Football Network, building his college football and NFL experience and expertise while working as a full-time local community journalist.

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