Valkyries vs Dream Prediction & Odds Tonight: WNBA Picks

Zak Hanshew - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Zak Hanshew • Betting Analyst 8+ years betting experience
Updated: Oct 20, 2026 , 05:47 PM ET • 4 min read

Angel Reese is coming off a historic 30-point performance, and we're backing the Dream star to deliver again in Game 3 of the WNBA Finals.

wnba

Match starts: 21 hrs
Valkyries vs. Dream prediction. Angel Reese, Atlanta Dream, WNBA.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Angel Reese, Atlanta Dream, WNBA.

Angel Reese's historic performance propelled the Atlanta Dream to victory in Game 2, evening the WNBA Finals against the Golden State Valkyries.

Reese's scoring line offers value once again, and my Valkyries vs. Dream Game prediction and WNBA picks go back to the well with Over points props for Reese and Allisha Gray.

I'm also backing Atlanta to take a 2-1 series lead with a low-scoring victory on Wednesday, Oct. 21.

 TOP PICK
Valkyries vs Dream prediction: Angel Reese Over 14.5 points

For the third straight game, I'm targeting Angel Reese's points prop. I traded it at 49% on Monday, and I'm willing to trade it at 56% for Game 3, where it still offers solid value based on her recent production.

Reese delivered on her promise to be more aggressive in Game 2, scoring a game-high 30 points on the road. She was a more productive scorer at home during the regular season, but despite that success, her points line hasn't moved from 14.5.

She's scored 15+ points in five of seven playoff games and reached that mark in 28 of 43 regular-season games. Reese's interior presence has been a huge reason for the Atlanta Dream's postseason success. She's getting out in transition, punishing the Golden State Valkyries on the offensive glass, and getting Golden State into foul trouble, with 18 trips to the charity stripe.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Reese has been an analytical standout in the Finals, averaging 14.0 points in the paint, 5.5 fast-break points, 4.5 second-chance points, and 7.0 points off turnovers, leading all players in those categories through Games 1 and 2.

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Valkyries vs Dream same-game combo

The Dream and Valkyries went Under in Games 1 and 2, combining for 132 and 144 points, respectively. Golden State has the top-rated defense in the playoffs, while Atlanta ranks third. In the Finals, Atlanta's defense has been suffocating, posting an 85.8 Defensive Rating. Buckets will be tough to come by for both teams in Game 3, and I'll trade this total down to 149.5.

Including the playoffs, the Dream are 17-6 SU as home favorites but just 10-13 ATS in that situation. For that reason, I'm taking Atlanta on the safer moneyline trade rather than backing the 4.5-point spread. The Dream have turned defense into offense, forcing 14 turnovers and converting them into 15 points per game.

Valkyries vs Dream combo

  • Angel Reese Over 14.5 points
  • Under 151.5
  • Dream moneyline

Want more basketball combos? Check out our WNBA parlay picks page!

Zak Hanshew's 2026 Transparency Record
  • Top picks: 40-47, -12.07 units
  • Combos: 10-77, -22.10 units
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Valkyries vs Dream odds

  • Spread: Valkyries +4.5 | Dream -4.5
  • Moneyline: Valkyries 41% | Dream 60%
  • Over/Under: Over 151.5 | Under 151.5

Valkyries vs Dream trend

Golden State and Atlanta have hit the game total Under in six of their last seven head-to-head meetings. Find more WNBA betting trends.

How to watch Valkyries vs Dream

Location State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA
Date Wednesday, Oct. 21, 2026
Tip-off 8:00 p.m. ET
TV USA Network, CNBC, Peacock

Valkyries vs Dream latest injuries

Valkyries: None to report. 
Dream: None to report. 
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Zak Hanshew - Covers
Betting Analyst

Zak Hanshew has been covering fantasy sports and sports betting since 2018. In addition to Covers, he has also written for Rotoworld and has spent time at FantasyPros, RotoWire, OwnersBox and Sportsbook Review. In his spare time, he can be found spending time with his wife and four kids, playing his guitar, watching Simpsons re-runs, or getting some shots up on the court.

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