Wisconsin vs Notre Dame Picks & Props
WIS vs ND Picks
NCAAF PicksThe key to the Under will be Wisconsin's defense. The Badgers' offense is going to struggle to score more than 13 points at Lambeau Field against a Notre Dame defense with the best secondary in the country. But even while Wisconsin has struggled during the Luke Fickell era, the defense has been solid. It was ranked 35th by SP+ last year, and as long as it can keep Notre Dame to 35 or fewer points, the Under will be in good shape.
Notre Dame is arguably the most talented team in the country and ranks No. 1 nationally in returning production (72%). The Fighting Irish have a Heisman contender at QB and a defense full of NFL talent, including the country's best secondary. Luke Fickell's team is heavily relying on transfers, and if Old Dominion's Colton Joseph isn't at his best, the Badgers won't keep this close at Lambeau. Wisconsin was 122nd in SP+ on offense last season.
Notre Dame's defense is full of players who could be playing for the Green Bay Packers on Sundays at Lambeau Field instead of for the Fighting Irish. Notre Dame is No. 2 nationally in returning defensive production (77%), with a secondary that should fluster new Wisconsin QB Colton Joseph. As long as the Irish slow the Badgers' run game, a blowout win led by their defense seems likely.
WIS vs ND Consensus Picks
51% picking Wisconsin
Total Picks WIS 217, ND 212
WIS vs ND Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
TOTAL
Under
46.5 Total
46.37 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
10.02%
EV
|
|||||||
|
MONEYLINE
|
|||||||
|
PASSING YARDS
ND
C. Carr
(QB)
o226.5 Passing Yards
239.79 OVER
PROJECTION
+13.3
DIFFERENCE
22.07%
EV
|
|||||||
|
PASSING YARDS
WIS
C. Joseph
(QB)
o146.5 Passing Yards
151.92 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.4
DIFFERENCE
13.46%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
WIS
A. Sama III
(RB)
o32.5 Rushing Yards
44.41 OVER
PROJECTION
+11.9
DIFFERENCE
25.52%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
WIS
C. Joseph
(QB)
o29.5 Rushing Yards
34.42 OVER
PROJECTION
+4.9
DIFFERENCE
23.53%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
ND
A. Williams
(RB)
o79.5 Rushing Yards
86.80 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.3
DIFFERENCE
21.45%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
WIS
T. Henry
(WR)
o16.5 Receiving Yards
31.88 OVER
PROJECTION
+15.4
DIFFERENCE
27.2%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
WIS
A. Sama III
(RB)
o0.5 Receiving Yards
9.09 OVER
PROJECTION
+8.6
DIFFERENCE
26.23%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
WIS
E. Hilton Jr.
(WR)
o22.5 Receiving Yards
35.21 OVER
PROJECTION
+12.7
DIFFERENCE
26.14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
WIS
J. Harris
(TE)
o11.5 Receiving Yards
18.13 OVER
PROJECTION
+6.6
DIFFERENCE
25.42%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
ND
J. Faison
(WR)
o59.5 Receiving Yards
63.15 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.6
DIFFERENCE
14.3%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
ND
J. Faison
(WR)
u4.5 Receptions
4.47 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
10.48%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
WIS
E. Hilton Jr.
(WR)
o2.5 Receptions
2.55 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
10.04%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
WIS
T. Henry
(WR)
o1.5 Receptions
2.41 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
9.47%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
WIS
A. Sama III
(RB)
o0.5 Receptions
1.15 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
8.23%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
WIS
J. Harris
(TE)
o1.5 Receptions
1.61 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-0.05%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
WIS
A. Sama III
(RB)
o8.5 Carries
11.27 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.8
DIFFERENCE
21.15%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
WIS
C. Joseph
(QB)
o12.5 Carries
13.44 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
-2.79%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Under is 9-0 in Badgers last 9 games overall.
Under is 9-0 in Badgers last 9 games overall.
Under is 7-0 in Badgers last 7 games as an underdog.
Over is 4-0 in Fighting Irish last 4 neutral site games as an underdog.
Badgers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Over is 4-0 in Badgers last 4 games on grass.
Over is 6-1 in Fighting Irish last 7 games on grass.
Over is 4-0 in Fighting Irish last 4 games in September.
ROI Trends
WIS vs ND Top User Picks
Wisconsin Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| All Badgers Money Leaders | |||
Notre Dame Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| All Fighting Irish Money Leaders | |||