Texas A&M vs Notre Dame Prediction, Picks & Odds for September 13 — College Football Week 3

Farmer's prediction: Fighting Irish will dominate the line of scrimmage on Saturday night.

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst
Sep 12, 2025 • 14:31 ET • 4 min read

NCAAF

Match starts: 26 hrs
ND
47 %
TAM
53 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Jeremiyah Love o76.5  Rushing Yards (-114) Jeremiyah Love o76.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Read Analysis
Jeremiyah Love Notre Dame Fighting Irish NCAAF
Photo By - Imagn Images. Notre Dame Fighting Irish running back Jeremiyah Love (4).

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish may face the biggest must-win game of the weekend, not only an 0-2 start at risk but also possibly their last chance to notch a notable win this season.

Losing to the Texas A&M Aggies is one thing, but not beating the Aggies is actually the greater risk for the Irish résumé.

My Texas A&M vs. Notre Dame predictions expect the Irish to throw the kitchen sink at Mike Elko & Co., starting with the running game that was surprisingly neglected in Week 1. 

Find out more in my college football picks for Saturday, September 13.

Texas A&M vs Notre Dame prediction

Texas A&M vs Notre Dame best bet: Jeremiyah Love Over 76.5 rushing yards (-114)

Notre Dame did not trust its offensive line at Miami in Week 1, and at first, that was quite the surprise.

The Irish entered the season with what was heralded, including by yours truly, as possibly the best offensive line in the country. With a first-time starter at quarterback who had never thrown a collegiate pass, why would Notre Dame go to the air and not hand off the ball to supposed Heisman candidate Jeremiyah Love?

By the end of that 27-24 loss at Miami, it was clear. The Irish coaching staff knew its offensive line would not win against the Hurricanes’ defensive line; instead of hearing that as a criticism of Notre Dame’s offensive line, hear it as praise of Miami’s defensive front.

Texas A&M lacks that same stout front. The Aggies have given up successful rushing days to both UTSA and Utah State.

The Roadrunners should not be averaging 0.20 expected points added (EPA) per rush attempt against an SEC Playoff hopeful. Utah State managing 0.07 EPA per rush sounds dismal, but that being above zero at all should be a concern for A&M head coach Mike Elko.

Do not overreact to Notre Dame’s playcalling in Week 1. It was a credit to Miami.

Capitalize on this deflated number this weekend.

Texas A&M vs Notre Dame same-game parlay

Notre Dame's defense was never the problem in its season-opening loss to Miami, holding the Hurricanes to 0.01 expected points added per play. Texas A&M's offense is nowhere near as intriguing as Miami's.

Until this game gets wonky in the second half, look for Irish head coach Marcus Freeman to play at least one unexpected card on special teams in a game of this magnitude, while Notre Dame’s run game and defense set all the terms.

Texas A&M vs Notre Dame 3-leg SGP

  • Jeremiyah Love Over 76.5 rushing yards
  • 1H Under 26.5
  • Notre Dame -6.5

Our deep-ball SGP: All Irish

Jordan Faison tied for the Irish lead with five catches in their Week 1 loss to Miami, and his ability to find space against any defense should turn him into a security blanket for first-year quarterback CJ Carr. 

Texas A&M vs Notre Dame 4-leg SGP

  • Jeremiyah Love Over 76.5 rushing yards
  • 1H Under 26.5
  • Notre Dame -6.5
  • Jordan Faison anytime touchdown

Texas A&M vs Notre Dame odds

  • Spread: Texas A&M +6.5 (-110) | Notre Dame -6.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Texas A&M +195 | Notre Dame -240
  • Over/Under: Over 50.5 (-110) | Under 50.5 (-110)

Texas A&M vs Notre Dame trend to know

Texas A&M has not covered the spread in any of its last seven games, falling short of bookmakers’ expectations by an average of 9.3 points per game. Find more college football betting trends for Texas A&M vs Notre Dame.

How to watch Texas A&M vs Notre Dame

Location Notre Dame Stadium, Notre Dame, IN
Date Saturday, September 13, 2025
Kickoff 7:30 p.m. ET
TV NBC

Texas A&M vs Notre Dame latest injuries

Texas A&M vs Notre Dame weather

Monitor gametime conditions with our College football weather info.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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