All Content From

Douglas Farmer

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers

Douglas Farmer

Covers Email Icon Twitter Icon
Betting Analyst Article Icon337 Articles
Betting Analyst
Article Icon337 Articles Covers Email Icon Twitter Icon

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds. In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets. While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

Favorites
Team: Minnesota Timberwolves
Sport to bet on: College football
Sports movie: Finding Forrester
Sports snack: Whiskey
Covers feature: Line movement tracker
A "return to living" trip to Vegas before the 2021 football season started by seeing value on Georgia to win the national championship at +800. By then, mid-August, the consensus line was +650. So, I took my entire weekend's bankroll and put it on what I affectionately referred to as "Clifford." The logic was, Georgia should make the Playoff and by then, I'll be sitting on great value to hedge out. Except, I never hedged out. I just added to the investment all season long, including with live odds of +140. The joy was not in the win, but in the five months of vindicated conviction.
Best Betting Memory Icon Best Betting Memory
This may seem trivial, but it is the one that still aggravates me years later. There are few better bets in life than fading a Brian VanGorder defense. So when Bowling Green visited Notre Dame in 2019, I trusted the Irish to run it up on their former defensive coordinator, betting the Notre Dame team total Over 54.5. I think I am the only person in the world who vividly remembers Javon McKinley dropping an open crossing route inside the 10-yard line, forcing the Irish to settle for a field goal en route to a 52-0 win.
Best Betting Memory Icon Worst Beat

New 2025 College Football Playoff Bracket: 12 Teams Will Compete

Jul 25, 2024 • 5:54 PM ET

The all-new CFP format has set NCAA football fans abuzz trying to predict which teams will compete in this expanded format.

A's vs Angels Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s MLB Game

Jul 25, 2024 • 2:51 PM ET

Ross Stripling isn't likely to stick around too long tonight, and our A's vs. Angels predictions are leaning on a shaky Oakland bullpen to collapse.

Tigers vs Guardians Prediction, Picks, & Odds for Tonight’s MLB Game

Jul 24, 2024 • 3:18 PM ET

Jack Flaherty might be on the move at the trade deadline but he's got at least one more Tigers outing in him and he has the edge over the Guardians and starter Tanner Bibee in our MLB picks tonight.

Men's Olympic Basketball Picks, Odds & Best USA Bets: LeBron Shares the Wealth

Jul 24, 2024 • 3:00 PM ET

Get the best bets for the men's Olympic basketball tournament in Paris, France, including LeBron James and Anthony Davis to help lead Team USA.

Phillies vs Twins Prediction, Picks, & Odds for Tonight’s MLB Game

Jul 23, 2024 • 3:14 PM ET

Zack Wheeler is one of the top NL Cy Young candidates for a reason. He's been one of the most consistently effective pitchers in MLB this season. Meanwhile, Simeon Woods Richardson is showing he can hold his own, and we like a low-scoring affair.

Make Smarter Summer Olympics Bets

Jul 22, 2024 • 5:02 PM ET

The 2024 Paris Summer Olympics kick off on July 26, 2024 as the nations of the world compete on the biggest stage.

Phillies vs Twins Prediction, Picks, & Odds for Tonight’s MLB Game

Jul 22, 2024 • 3:03 PM ET

The Minnesota Twins are pretenders and should level with a notch in the loss column, but Ranger Suarez's recent struggles will help keep Minnesota in this game early.

Fever vs Wings Predictions, Picks, & Odds for Tonight’s WNBA Game

Jul 17, 2024 • 3:09 PM ET

For the WNBA finale entering a month-long hiatus, Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever will look to feast on the Dallas Wings and the league's worst defense. The Fever have found a groove and we like that to continue with our WNBA picks.

Best WNBA Player Props Today: Ogunbowale Takes Aim...Repeatedly

Jul 17, 2024 • 12:22 PM ET

With a month-long break that includes the WNBA All-Star Game and the Olympics looming, we've got a trio of WNBA player prop picks, including Dallas Wings guard Arike Ogunbowale, who will keep shooting threes even if her efficiency is the pits.

Sun vs Liberty Predictions, Picks, & Odds for Tonight’s WNBA Game

Jul 16, 2024 • 9:15 AM ET

With Breanna Stewart possibly not playing, our WNBA betting picks see Jonquel Jones stuffing the stat sheet as the New York Liberty host the Connecticut Sun tonight.

Best WNBA Player Props Today: Jones Lights Up Connecticut

Jul 16, 2024 • 9:03 AM ET

Jonquel Jones headlines our favorite WNBA picks today and her scoring prowess should come up huge against the Sun. In addition, we also like a pair of long-range scorers to get the job done.

Storm vs Sparks Predictions, Picks, & Odds for Tonight’s WNBA Game

Jul 16, 2024 • 8:43 AM ET

The Storm have just the answer for Dearica Hamby, the Sparks' top offensive weapon, with defensive stalwarts Ezi Magbegor and Nneka Ogwumike on the job. Expect Seattle's elite defense to do its job this afternoon with our WNBA picks.

Mercury vs Mystics Predictions, Picks, & Odds for Tuesday’s WNBA Game

Jul 15, 2024 • 5:06 PM ET

A Tuesday morning tip-off sees the Phoenix Mercury take on the Washington Mystics as 4.5-point favorites. With that said, our WNBA picks expect shotmaking to be the name of the game, with the total just a couple of points too low.

Best WNBA Player Props Today: Can't Pass Up Caitlin Clark

Jul 14, 2024 • 2:01 PM ET

Caitlin Clark has had an up-and-down start to her WNBA career but has found a groove as one of the association's premier passers. Her assists prop is still below double digits, which she clears regularly.

Fever vs Lynx Predictions, Picks, & Odds for Today’s WNBA Game

Jul 14, 2024 • 12:30 PM ET

Despite being without star Napheesa Collier, the Lynx have managed a 2-1 record over their last three games and find themselves as 5.5-point favorites against Caitlin Clark & Co. on Sunday. We break it all down in our WNBA picks below.

Lynx vs Storm Predictions, Picks, & Odds for Tonight’s WNBA Game

Jul 12, 2024 • 1:33 PM ET

The Minnesota Lynx have shown no signs of slowing down after losing Napheesa Collier, but the style of play has changed. One player who has suffered is Kayla McBride and our WNBA expert is not banking on her production to pick back up tonight vs. the Storm.

Sky vs Liberty Predictions, Picks, & Odds for Tonight’s WNBA Game

Jul 11, 2024 • 3:24 PM ET

Our WNBA betting picks believe a veteran New York Liberty team that can score with the best of them is better-equipped to handle the rigors of a back-to-back than an inexperienced Chicago Sky squad. The situation should help ensure points aplenty.

Pirates vs Brewers Prediction, Picks, & Odds for Tonight’s MLB Game

Jul 10, 2024 • 4:48 PM ET

Bryan Reynolds has been on fire lately, and against a Brewers starter that the league might be onto, our MLB picks like the Pirates slugger to keep surging.

Wings vs Mercury Predictions, Picks, & Odds for Today’s WNBA Game

Jul 10, 2024 • 1:10 PM ET

Arike Ogunbowale's been stretched thin carrying the Wings offense, and our WNBA picks are backing the Mercury defense to clip her scoring numbers today.

Best WNBA Player Props Wednesday: Reese's Double Delight

Jul 9, 2024 • 7:22 PM ET

With a full slate of games set for Wednesday, our WNBA expert has combed through the odds and found three WNBA props with good value. Find out why he's backing Jonquel Jones, Caitlin Clark, and Angel Reese on Wednesday.

Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo