Coming off its most impressive win of the season, Georgia hosts a down-on-its-luck Missouri team at Sanford Stadium in Athens, Ga., on Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET (ABC/Disney+).
The Bulldogs are 14.5-point favorites "between the hedges," and my Missouri vs. Georgia prediction and college football picks back the best team in the country to win another Top 25 matchup decisively.
TOP PICK
Who will win Missouri vs Georgia: Georgia -14.5
Though this is one of five ranked matchups in college football this week, it's not among the must-watch games in my Top 25 predictions because I don't think Missouri stands a chance. Georgia is a well-oiled machine that has steamrolled ranked opponents... I'd take the Bulldogs to cover as much as -16.5.
Missouri is 1-3 ATS against Top 25 teams this season, 0-2 on the road, and was outscored in its last two ranked matchups 65-23. Georgia has a far better defense than Ole Miss, ranking 20th in defensive success rate (40.1%), and a far better offense than Texas, ranking third in offensive success rate (51.7%).
The Bulldogs are the most well-rounded team in college football and have gone 3-0 ATS in ranked matchups, allowing just 10.7 points per game in those games.
COVERS INTEL: Missouri's issues on money downs will be a massive problem against Georgia. The Tigers are ranked 94th in third/fourth-down success rate on offense (40.8%) and 72nd in third/fourth-down success rate on defense (44.7%).
Missouri vs Georgia Over/Under pick: Over 47.5
With how impressive Georgia's defense has been against ranked opponents this season, I would only play the Over at 47.5 or better. I expect the Bulldogs to do most of the scoring in this matchup, but Missouri has one of the most talented QBs in the country in Austin Simmons.
The potential first-round pick played a clean game last week against a Texas defense ranked No. 1 nationally in adjusted EPA per play, with two TD passes, zero turnover-worthy plays, and a 75.6 QBR. If he's that efficient against Georgia, Missouri should be able to score 13+ points, and I like the Bulldogs to do the rest.
Georgia has scored 38+ points in six of nine games this season and is ranked third nationally in points per opportunity (4.91). When the Bulldogs put together a quality drive, they come away with points.
Missouri vs Georgia combo
Missouri has struggled to finish games against quality opponents and lacks the talent to keep this game close against a Georgia defense full of NFL prospects.
The Bulldogs' defense is ranked top 25 nationally in havoc rate (19.4%), points allowed per opportunity (2.68), and available yards percentage (33.5%), and this matchup isn't ideal for Missouri's offense.
Georgia's defense ranks third in the country in early down EPA per play and seventh in average third-down distance (7.92), and the Tigers have struggled to convert on money downs.
The Bulldogs have outscored their three ranked opponents by an average of 19 points this season.
Missouri vs Georgia combo
- Georgia -14.5
- Georgia TT Over 31.5
- Missouri TT Under 16.5
- Top picks: 23-17, +3.2 units
- Combos: 10-30, -0.14 units
Missouri vs Georgia odds
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
- Spread: Missouri +14.5 | Georgia -14.5
- Over/Under: Over 47.5 (53%) | Under 47.5 (47%)
- Moneyline: Missouri 13% | Georgia 87%
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Missouri vs Georgia weather
Weather isn't expected to affect the game in Athens, Ga., on Saturday afternoon.
Check out our college football weather page for up-to-date info on every matchup.
Missouri vs Georgia trend to know
Georgia has covered the spread in nine of its last 14 games. Find more college football betting trends for Missouri vs. Georgia.
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How to watch Missouri vs Georgia
| Location | Sanford Stadium, Athens, Ga. |
| Date | Saturday, Nov. 14, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 3:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ABC/Disney+ |
Missouri vs Georgia latest injuries
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