The Minnesota Timberwolves already sprung one upset this postseason, three of their four wins against the Nuggets in the first round coming as underdogs. Now the San Antonio Spurs await, with both a rest advantage and homecourt advantage.
This Timberwolves vs. Spurs same-game parlay anticipates Minnesota preemptively adjusting before Game 1 on Monday, May 4.
Our best Timberwolves vs Spurs SGP for Game 1
SGP leg #1: Rudy Gobert Under 10.5 Rebounds (+102)
This is not a knock on the Minnesota Timberwolves or Rudy Gobert. This is a reality of facing Victor Wembanyama and the San Antonio Spurs. If Minnesota wants to get to the rim, it needs Wembanyama out of the paint.
When Gobert is on the court, Wembanyama can set up in the paint. So, quite frankly, Gobert’s minutes should fall in this series. Playing a five-out lineup will be the Timberwolves’ best approach to dragging Wembanyama out of the paint.
SGP leg #2: Rudy Gobert Under 8.5 Points (-110)
Even when Gobert is on the court, he will likely be playing against one of the few players taller and longer than he is, not to mention the Defensive Player of the Year. Do not expect Gobert to reach double-digit points unless Minnesota plays him directly counter to Wembanyama’s minutes.
That approach may come, but seeing such a bold thought in Game 1 would be a surprise.
SGP leg #3: Julius Randle Over 6.5 Rebounds (-140)
If Gobert’s minutes do fall, someone else's have to rise. Julius Randle may give up seven inches to Wembanyama (and three to Gobert), but he has the physical strength to perhaps keep Wembanyama away from the rim.
This is going to be a challenge for Randle, but the sheer minutes and position of it should yield an opportunity.
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