NBA Best Bets Today: Top Picks From Every Game Preview

Aisha Quiñones - Betting Analyst at Covers
Aisha Quiñones • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: Nov 14, 2026 , 04:00 PM ET • 4 min read

Find out our NBA experts' top plays for Saturday, Nov. 14.

Nikola Jokic Denver Nuggets Ausar Thompson Detroit Pistons LaMelo Ball Minnesota Timberwolves NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. NBA Best Bets for Saturday. Nikola Jokic Denver Nuggets Ausar Thompson Detroit Pistons LaMelo Ball Minnesota Timberwolves NBA

Saturday features a five-game NBA slate, with the action starting in New Orleans before wrapping up with a trio of 8 p.m. ET tipoffs across Miami, Memphis, and Minneapolis.

Our NBA predictions highlight the featured picks from Covers analysts across the slate.

See more expert betting angles in our free NBA picks for Nov. 14.

NBA top picks at a glance (Saturday, Nov. 14)

Matchup & time Top pick & analyst
Nuggets vs. Pelicans
7 p.m.
Nuggets -12.5
Chris Walder
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
7:30 p.m.
Mavericks moneyline
Phil Naessens
Pistons vs. Heat
8 p.m.
Pistons -4.5
Chris Walder
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
8 p.m.
Over 235.5
Quinn Allen

Picks courtesy of Polymarket, one of our best prediction market apps.

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Nuggets vs Pelicans pick: Nuggets -12.5

  • Time: 7 p.m.
  • TV: GCSEN, Pelicans.com
  • Analyst: Chris Walder

Top pick: Nuggets -12.5

Play up to 65%.

The Denver Nuggets head into Smoothie King Center looking to dismantle a fatigued New Orleans Pelicans squad playing on the second night of a back-to-back.

New Orleans is producing 11.5 fewer points in the paint and enters on a five-game losing skid, creating a favorable matchup for Denver to win by margin.

Read Chris Walder's full Nuggets vs. Pelicans predictions for more picks.

Mavericks vs Cavaliers pick: Mavericks moneyline

Top pick: Mavericks moneyline

Play up to 50%.

The Dallas Mavericks were embarrassed 133-94 by Minnesota on Thursday, but they had extra recovery time, while the Cleveland Cavaliers face a brutal turnaround after Friday's 133-121 loss in Miami and disrupted overnight travel.

Dallas has faced the NBA's seventh-toughest schedule according to CraftedNBA's strength-of-schedule model—compared with Cleveland's 14th-toughest—and its 7-5 record deserves more respect considering the quality of its opposition.

With Cleveland struggling defensively and Dallas enjoying fresher legs at Rocket Arena, I'll take the rested Mavericks to win outright up to 50%.

Read Phil Naessens' full Mavericks vs. Cavaliers predictions for more picks.

Pistons vs Heat pick: Pistons -4.5

Top pick: Pistons -4.5

The Detroit Pistons already have a 17-point win in South Beach this season, a game in which the Miami Heat converted just 38% from the field. That gives Detroit a psychological edge, as Miami was fully healthy and Jalen Duren (hamstring) only played 10 minutes before getting hurt. 

I'll back the Pistons up to -7.5, a number in which they've covered three out of five times. 

Read Chris Walder's full Pistons vs. Heat predictions for more picks.

Bulls vs Timberwolves pick: Over 235.5

Top pick: Over 235.5

Play up to 58%.

The Chicago Bulls are 30th in defensive rating, allowing a league-worst 127.7 points per game. That sets up well for the Minnesota Timberwolves, who rank third in scoring (119.3 PPG) and seventh in offensive rating.

While Minnesota's defense is solid, Chicago can contribute offensively after scoring 125 against Atlanta on Friday and 119 against San Antonio on Wednesday. Both teams also rank in the top six in pace, creating plenty of scoring opportunities.

Even without Anthony Edwards, Minnesota just dropped 133 points on Dallas. Expect an up-tempo game at Target Center with no shortage of points.

Read Quinn Allen's full Bulls vs. Timberwolves predictions for more picks.

More NBA picks

Want to build a bigger card? These Covers roundups cover every bet type for today's games:

Check the NBA injury report before finalizing today's picks.

All of today’s matchups are also on the NBA scores and matchups page, and the full pick archive lives in free NBA picks.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Aisha Quiñones - Covers
Betting Analyst

Hailing from Harlem, New York, Aisha Quiñones joined Covers in 2024 after an illustrious career with several other major media outlets. A proud Johnnie, after graduating from the Big East basketball powerhouse St. John's University, Quiñones earned her bachelor's degree in sport management and journalism, then obtained her master's degree in media studies from The New School.

Over a span of 12+ years, Quiñones has built her portfolio as a writer, dipped her toe into on-camera work, and also been behind the scenes in producing sports content.

Despite being a New Yorker, Quiñones has always been a lifelong Los Angeles Lakers fan thanks to her mom's joy of watching Kobe Bryant play — so much of a fan to the point that Quiñones named her toy poodle after the late-great legend.

Her hometown roots stay true to her MLB and WNBA choice in teams, as a Yankees and Liberty fan, due to her uncle and grandmother's love for the sports throughout her childhood.

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