You had my interest, but now you have my attention, Portland Trail Blazers.
While no one is glad Victor Wembanyama suffered a concussion in Game 2, the San Antonio Spurs suddenly have a series on their hands.
My Spurs vs. Trail Blazers predictions and NBA picks should hold up regardless of whether Wembanyama takes the court on Friday, April 24.
Spurs vs Trail Blazers prediction
Spurs vs Trail Blazers best bet: De’Aaron Fox Over 19.5 points (-110)
Victor Wembanyama has traveled with the San Antonio Spurs to the Pacific Northwest. That is the first step toward him playing this weekend, though one has to remain skeptical that he will play Game 3.
The Spurs are plenty competitive without Wembanyama. Playing the Portland Trail Blazers without him will not assure a loss in any regard, and concussions are not something to rush back from.
Wembanyama’s availability won’t be entirely up to San Antonio; once in concussion protocols, a league doctor also has to sign off on his ability to play. He very well might play, but the savvy bettor finds a bet that could cash with Wembanyama playing and has even better odds with him sidelined.
A bet like trusting De’Aaron Fox to pour in some points.
In 54 games alongside Wembanyama this regular season, Fox averaged 16.5 points. In 18 contests with Wembanyama sidelined, Fox averaged 24.6 points.
Fox attempted 4.2 more shots per game without Wembanyama on the court, including two additional 3-pointers.
Do not fret that this is the result of a few high-scoring matches. Fox scored 20 or more points in 15 of those 18 games without Wembanyama.
Even with his star Frenchman center on the court, Fox could very well clear this modest points prop, and the number becomes even more favorable if Wembanyama misses Game 3.
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Spurs vs Trail Blazers same-game parlay
Similar to the logic of Fox averaging 8.1 more points in games without Wembanyama, Stephon Castle averaged 6.8 rebounds per contest in eight games without the Spurs’ centerpiece, compared to just 5.1 across 60 with him.
This prop could cash if Wemby plays, but looks far more likely if he doesn’t.
And unsurprisingly, San Antonio’s defensive rating spikes without Wembanyma on the court, 6.6 points worse per 100 possessions in 18 games without him.
Somewhat surprisingly, the Spurs’ offensive rating does not waver.
Spurs vs Trail Blazers SGP
- De'Aaron Fox Over 19.5 points
- Stephon Castle Over 5.5 rebounds
- Over 220.5
Our "from downtown" SGP: Rose City
If Wembanyama is sidelined or even just limited, this is Portland's chance to see a path to the second round.
You cannot let this opportunity pass you by. Desperation needs to be the Blazers' default.
A spread of +1.5 is effectively a tilted pick’em, and it is undervaluing what Wembanyama means.
San Antonio was favored by 10.5 in Game 2. Adjusting for homecourt, a quick line of +4.5 would make sense on Friday night.
Is Wembanyama really worth only three points? Until Portland is favored, lean into this, via spread or moneyline.
Spurs vs Trail Blazers SGP
- De'Aaron Fox Over 19.5 points
- Over 220.5
- Trail Blazers moneyline
Spurs vs Trail Blazers odds for Game 3
- Spread: Spurs -1.5 (-110) | Trail Blazers +1.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Spurs -130 | Trail Blazers +110
- Over/Under: Over 220.5 (-110) | Under 220.5 (-110)
Spurs vs Trail Blazers betting trend to know
Portland went 25-16 against the spread at home this season. Find more NBA betting trends for Spurs vs. Trail Blazers.
How to watch Spurs vs Trail Blazers Game 3
| Location | Moda Center, Portland, OR |
| Date | Friday, April 24, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 10:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | Prime Video |
Spurs vs Trail Blazers latest injuries
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