Pelicans vs Lakers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

The L.A. Lakers can build momentum versus the New Orleans Pelicans, whose bottom-tier defense sets up LeBron James to top his playmaking prop tonight.

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst
Mar 3, 2026 • 14:59 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 5 hrs
NO
50 %
LAL
50 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
LeBron James o5.5  Total Assists (-150) LeBron James o5.5 Total Assists (-150)
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Los Angeles Lakers forward LeBron James NBA.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Los Angeles Lakers forward LeBron James NBA.

LeBron James and the Los Angeles Lakers are using a softer stretch of schedule to build momentum in the Western Conference.

Los Angeles has won two in a row and hosts the New Orleans Pelicans for an extended stay in La-La Land on Tuesday.

James’ offensive outputs have been tempered since the All-Star break, with Los Angeles running into some stronger defensive foes before two blowout wins. 

New Orleans is way down the NBA’s defensive metrics, so my Pelicans vs. Lakers predictions and NBA picks call for a return to form for “King James”, most notably when it comes to his playmaking.

Pelicans vs Lakers prediction

Pelicans vs Lakers best bet: LeBron James Over 5.5 assists (-150)

This prop bounces between 5.5 and 6.5 assists from LeBron James. And while the lower end of that number carries a hefty -150 ask, projections for the Los Angeles Lakers’ veteran are too good to ignore.

James has dished out six or more dimes just twice in the six post-break outings, with his potential assists slipping from 12.0 pre-break to 8.7 in this current span. That said, the New Orleans Pelicans' defense is dreadful and allows an average of 28 assists.

LeBron’s forecasts range from 6.2 to 7.5 assists, and he handed out eight the last time he faced NOLA.

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Pelicans vs Lakers same-game parlay

The Lakers are actually healthy for once and have a chance to build momentum with a third straight victory. The Pelicans are playing their fourth straight road game and third game in four days.

James’ potential assists took a hit against some tougher defenses post-break (Boston, Orlando, Phoenix), but NOLA is among the worst defensive clubs, and LeBron is pegged for more than seven dimes tonight.

Rui Hachimura is at his best when the L.A. stars are on the floor and drawing extra attention from the defense. He’s forecast for as many as 12 points tonight.

Pelicans vs Lakers SGP

  • Lakers moneyline
  • James Over 5.5 assists
  • Hachimura Over 8.5 points

Our "from downtown" SGP: The James gang

LeBron went for eight rebounds and eight assists in his last run-in with the Pelicans, and game projections call for “King James” to top those props while powering L.A. to a win and cover in a low-scoring finish (237 points).

Pelicans vs Lakers SGP

  • Lakers -8.5
  • Under 242.5
  • James Over 5.5 assists
  • James Over 5.5 rebounds

Pelicans vs Lakers odds

  • Spread: Pelicans +8.5 | Lakers -8.5
  • Moneyline: Pelicans +280 | Lakers -360
  • Over/Under: Over 242.5 | Under 242.5

Pelicans vs Lakers betting trend to know

The L.A. Lakers are 10-1 SU and 8-3 ATS versus the New Orleans Pelicans over the last three seasons. Find more NBA betting trends for Pelicans vs. Lakers.

How to watch Pelicans vs Lakers

Location Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
Date Tuesday, March 3, 2026
Tip-off 10:30 p.m. ET
TV GCSEN, Spectrum SportsNet

Pelicans vs Lakers latest injuries

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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst; has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike. Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet. He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous NFL Underdogs column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason's first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns. On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast; WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio; he had his analysis featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers; flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

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