Lakers vs Rockets Prediction, Picks & Odds for NBA Playoffs Game 3

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst 21+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 24, 2026 , 07:06 PM ET • 4 min read

Logan's prediction: Rui helps Lakers push Rockets to the brink.

NBA

Apr 24 • 8:00 PM ET
LAL
67 %
HOU
33 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Rui Hachimura o13.5  Points Scored (-110) Rui Hachimura o13.5 Points Scored (-110)
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Los Angeles Lakers forward LeBron James (23) and forward Rui Hachimura (28).
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Los Angeles Lakers forward LeBron James (23) and forward Rui Hachimura (28).

The Houston Rockets face an uphill battle tonight as they host the Los Angeles Lakers, who are confident and holding a 2-0 series lead. 

To make matters worse, the Rockets will be without Kevin Durant once again, and that has seen the Rockets' spread shorten. 

My Lakers vs. Rockets predictions and NBA picks believe Rui Hachimura can be a difference maker for the Lakers on Friday, April 24. 

  • UPDATE: Added new selections after Kevin Durant's injury news.  

Lakers vs Rockets prediction

Who will win Lakers vs Rockets Game 3?

Rockets: Houston has enjoyed extra time to rest and reset, ironing out the offensive kinks in time for a win in Game 3.

The Rockets are still laying -6.5 on Friday, and while that may be a tad too much, Houston will get right.

Lakers vs Rockets best bet: Rui Hachimura Over 13.5 points (-110)

Rui Hachimura has quietly carved out a consistent scoring role for the Los Angeles Lakers, and the matchup sets up well for that to continue.

The Houston Rockets have shown a tendency to collapse into the paint, leaving corner shooters exposed — exactly where Hachimura thrives.

He’s already posted 13 and 14 points in the first two games while shooting 11-for-20 from the field, and most of that production is coming on clean, repeatable looks.

With steady minutes and a slight bump in available shots, this number is still a step behind his current role.

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Lakers vs Rockets same-game parlay

The Rockets may win this one, but the spread seems out of whack considering how well the Lakers are playing right now. I expect some offensive adjustments from Houston, but I don’t think they're going to pull away. 

The Lakers have gotten some great performances from their role players, and Rui Hachimura has been quietly consistent through two games. He’s shooting a collective 11-for-20 from the field (5-for-10 on 3-pointers), doesn’t shrink on the road, and is projected for as many as 15 points in Game 3.

Lakers vs Rockets SGP

  • Lakers +6.5
  • Rui Hachimura Over 13.5 points

Our "from downtown" SGP: Opportunity knocks for LBJ

Without Durant in the lineup, LeBron James should thrive as a scorer and take his opportunity to push the Rockets to the brink. 

The Lakers keep it closer than oddsmakers expect, while the Rockets’ offense will finally find its way and top this ultra-low total.

Lakers vs Rockets SGP

  • Lakers +6.5
  • Over 206.5
  • Rui Hachimura Over 13.5 points
  • LeBron James Over 23.5 points

Lakers vs Rockets odds for Game 3

  • Spread: Los Angeles +9.5 (-110) | Houston -9.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Los Angeles +320 | Houston -400
  • Over/Under: Over 205.5 (-110) | Under 205.5 (-110)

Lakers vs Rockets betting trend to know

NBA playoff totals of 206 points or lower have produced a 21-14 Over/Under record the past three postseasons (60% Overs). Find more NBA betting trends for Lakers vs. Rockets.

How to watch Lakers vs Rockets Game 3

Location Toyota Center, Houston, TX
Date Friday, April 24, 2026
Tip-off 8:00 p.m. ET
TV
Prime Video

Lakers vs Rockets latest injuries

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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst Jason Logan has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.

He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous NFL Underdogs column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason's first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.

On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast at stations like WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio, Jason's analysis has also been featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers' flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

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