The Western Conference Finals continue this evening as the Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs battle for the series lead in Game 3.
Our NBA experts have you primed for tip-off at the Frost Bank Center, delivering our best NBA picks for Friday, May 22.
Thunder vs Spurs Expert Picks Tonight
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
 Jon Metler: Wembanyama o25.5 points |
-112 |
 Jason Logan: Holmgren o1.5 threes |
+110 |
 Joe Osborne:Spurs -1.5 |
-112 |
Odds courtesy of bet365.
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Jon Metler's expert pick: Victor Wembanyama Over 25.5 points
Price: -112 at bet365
I could make this bet purely about Victor Wembanyama, but for me, it’s really about the injury report. Jalen Williams left Game 2 with a hamstring injury and is officially listed as questionable for Game 3.
Personally, I think he’s closer to out than truly questionable, and his potential absence would be significant when it comes to defending Wembanyama.
Williams is an elite perimeter defender who can slow down the San Antonio Spurs at the point of attack while also switching onto Wembanyama — or even defending him outright — thanks to his 7-foot-2 wingspan.
On the other side, De'Aaron Fox and Dylan Harper are both listed as questionable for San Antonio, but I believe both are more likely to play. If the Spurs have Fox, Harper, and Stephon Castle available, they’ll have three guards capable of constantly breaking down the Oklahoma City Thunder defense, forcing rotations, and creating easy opportunities for Wembanyama around the rim.
I price Wembanyama closer to -165 to clear this total in Game 3.
Jason Logan's expert pick: Chet Holmgren Over 1.5 threes
Price: +110 at bet365
Chet Holmgren got a wake-up call in Game 2, with OKC coach Mark Daigneault opting to sit his 7-footer in crunch time.
With Williams either out or limited (hamstring) tonight, the Thunder need Holmgren to snap out of his San Antonio-induced funk and at least stretch the Spurs’ defense with his outside shooting.
Oklahoma City has been aggressive in attacking the interior, and he had success on drives in Game 2. If San Antonio sells out to stop those close looks, kickouts to Holmgren give him wide-open 3PA.
Chet was 0-for-2 from distance over 27 minutes in Game 2 after hitting two triples in the opener. He’s knocked down two or more 3-pointers in six of his 10 postseason outings, and I like the plus-money on Over 1.5, especially with Chet logging his usual workload.
Joe Osborne's expert pick: Spurs -1.5
Price: -112 at bet365
The Spurs have been automatic in bounce-back spots for months, going 11-0 SU since January 15th in games following a loss. That trend has carried into the playoffs, where San Antonio is 3-0 off a defeat with victories by 12, 38, and 29 points.
Expect a much cleaner effort back on their home floor after coughing up 44 total turnovers in the first two games in OKC. Despite being in a tough road environment in those games, the Spurs still owned the better effective field goal percentage.
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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