Seven games are on the NBA schedule for Saturday, Nov. 7, and there are plenty of intriguing matchups to handicap.
The Nuggets and Pacers get things started in Mexico City, while the Thunder look to keep rolling against Washington and the Warriors aim to extend their winning streak against Orlando.
My NBA against the spread picks cover all seven games, highlighting the favorites I trust to cover and the underdogs capable of keeping things close.
Read on for my latest NBA picks, complete with spread selections and Polymarket probabilities for every matchup.
NBA against the spread picks: Nov. 7
For help understanding Polymarket probabilities, see our odds calculator.
| Matchup | Pick |
|---|---|
 Nuggets Pacers |
-7.5 50% |
 Nets Hawks |
-6.5 52% |
 Wizards Thunder |
-11.5 51% |
 Knicks Cavaliers |
+4.5 52% |
 Magic Warriors |
-6.5 50% |
 Rockets Suns |
-7.5 50% |
 Spurs Blazers |
-1.5 63% |
Percentages courtesy of Polymarket, one of our best prediction market apps.
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Expert NBA ATS picks: Nov. 7
Nuggets vs Pacers: Nuggets -7.5
There's no real home-court advantage here, as tonight's contest takes place in Mexico City, but I'm siding with the Denver Nuggets. They've won two of their last three games, beating the Raptors by 19 and the Suns by seven. The Indiana Pacers have dropped four of their last five games and have struggled mightily to shoot the ball.
Nets vs Hawks: Hawks -6.5
The Atlanta Hawks are one of my favorite picks on this slate. They've won three straight and have covered this number in two of those games. Atlanta is averaging nearly 10 points more per game than the Brooklyn Nets, who rank 24th in turnovers. The Hawks have a significant edge.
Wizards vs Thunder: Thunder -11.5
I know this is a massive spread, but the Oklahoma City Thunder are still flourishing, even without several key players. They just beat the surging Grizzlies by 31 points, and Anthony Davis remains out for the Washington Wizards. That absence inside is key, and I believe Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will lead OKC to another convincing win over an inconsistent Wizards defense.
Knicks vs Cavaliers: Cavaliers +4.5
The Cleveland Cavaliers enter this contest after a dominant win over the 76ers, and they're worth a look ATS against the New York Knicks. Cleveland has a much more efficient offense, and its pace could trouble the Knicks tonight. The Cavaliers are also shooting the ball much better than the defending champions. This should be a close game that could go either way.
Magic vs Warriors: Warriors -6.5
The Orlando Magic have been brutal without Paolo Banchero and Jalen Suggs, ranking 29th in points per game and 23rd in offensive rating. The Golden State Warriors are averaging 12.3 more points per game, and their fifth-ranked offense could expose Orlando's 25th-ranked defense tonight. The Dubs have won six straight and just beat the Heat by 20 points.
Rockets vs Suns: Rockets -7.5
This spread is warranted. The Houston Rockets are the better team in virtually every category, and their third-ranked offense could expose the Phoenix Suns, who rank 29th in defensive rating. Houston has also covered this number in its last four victories.
Spurs vs Blazers: Spurs -1.5
I love how the Portland Trail Blazers have been playing, but I have to take the San Antonio Spurs with such a modest spread. Victor Wembanyama gives the Spurs a major advantage inside, and the visitors come in hot, having won five straight. San Antonio has also done a better job of taking care of the ball, which could create extra possessions tonight.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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