Bengals vs Falcons Prediction, Picks & Odds: NFL Week 9

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst 21+ years betting experience
Updated: Nov 6, 2026 , 07:00 AM ET • 4 min read

The Bengals and Falcons mix it up in Madrid in Week 9. Jason Logan gives his best NFL picks for this international showcase, including taking Tee Higgins to have a big game in Spain.

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Match starts: 44 hrs
Bengals vs Falcons Prediction Tee Higgins NFL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Tee Higgins.

The Cincinnati Bengals need extra luggage to carry all their momentum to Madrid, aiming to extend their winning ways versus the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday morning.

Cincinnati is laying just over a field goal inside Santiago Bernabéu Stadium, riding a three-game streak into Week 9 but building that run against some softer opposition.

My Bengals vs. Falcons predictions size up the edges for this international encounter, giving my best NFL picks to wake up to on Nov. 8, starring Tee Higgins.

Bengals vs Falcons prediction: Falcons +3.5

The Cincinnati Bengals are rolling right now, but those victories have come against some weaker opponents. 

They took down bottom-feeders like Miami and Tennessee (barely), while needing a second-half rally to overcome Baltimore and a backup QB. There was also a bye in Week 6 giving Cincy a breather.

I believe the Bengals should be the favorites in Spain, but not by this many points.

The Atlanta Falcons are coming off a strange Week 8 loss in which weather played a huge role in the result. That included four interceptions from QB Michael Penix Jr., who had only one INT in the previous five starts.

I’m not discounting Atlanta too much for that rain-soaked squash at Tampa Bay. Rather, I see the Falcons facing one of the easier defenses on their recent schedule, with the Bengals stop unit slipping the past three games.

The most notable dip has come defending the run. The Bengals are allowing 5.1 yards per carry in their last three outings (second most in the NFL). Not what you want to see when staring down Bijan Robinson.

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Bengals vs Falcons combo

The Bengals should be favorites, but their current three-game win streak is very puffed up, and Atlanta poses a stiffer test on a neutral field. I’ll take Atlanta on the other side of a field goal.

Chase Brown hasn’t found paydirt since Week 1. The Falcons have given up 11 total touchdowns to running backs and Brown is a dual-threat option, either running it past the goal line or catching a TD strike.

Tee Higgins could be the best WR2 in the league. He’s the top-rated WR versus man coverage and faces plenty of one-on-one coverage from Atlanta. Projections call for another big day, with most models north of 80 yards receiving from Higgins.

Bengals vs Falcons combo

  • Falcons +3.5
  • Chase Brown touchdown
  • Tee Higgins 75+ receiving yards

 TOP PICK
Bengals vs Falcons player prop: Tee Higgins 75+ receiving yards 

Bengals receiver Tee Higgins is coming off a monster day versus Tennessee, drawing 11 targets for 10 catches and 155 yards. 

Higgins could be the best WR2 in the league, with Ja’Marr Chase drawing the ire of the secondary and leaving the 6-foot-4 Higgins with softer matchups. He gets a perfect pairing against Atlanta in Madrid. 

The Falcons rank 24th in DVOA defending WR2s, allowing an average of 54.6 yards per game to the position. This secondary is also running a high rate of man coverage (10th most), and Higgins currently rates as the No. 1 WR versus man at PFF.

Projections for Higgins range from 74 to 88 yards on Sunday morning, with most models north of 80 yards. My number comes out to 81.5 receiving yards in Madrid.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Higgins averages 19.4 air yards per reception against an Atlanta secondary oozing the ninth most air yards to opponents and 23 “explosive passes” entering Week 9.

Want more NFL player props? Check out our NFL player prop projections!

Jason Logan's 2026 Transparency Record
  • Top picks: 13-8, +3.19 units
  • Combos: 0-21, -21.0 units
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Bengals vs Falcons odds

For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.

  • Spread: Bengals -3.5 | Falcons +3.5
  • Over/Under: Over 52.5 (50%) | Under 52.5 (50%)
  • Moneyline: Bengals 61% | Falcons 39%

For the full slate of NFL matchups, check out our NFL odds board!


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Bengals vs Falcons weather

Santiago Bernabéu Stadium has a fully retractable roof, so weather isn’t an issue. Even if they open the roof, Sunday’s forecast for Madrid calls for cloudy skies and a 25% chance of rain with winds topping out at 10 mph gusts.

Check out our NFL weather page for up-to-date info on every matchup.

Bengals vs Falcons trend to know

The Falcons are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as underdogs. Find more NFL betting trends for Bengals vs. Falcons.

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How to watch Bengals vs Falcons

Location Santiago Bernabéu Stadium, Madrid, Spain
Date Sunday, Nov. 8, 2026
Kickoff 9:30 a.m. ET
TV NFL Network

Bengals vs Falcons latest injuries

Check out our NFL injuries page for updates on every team. 

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst Jason Logan has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.

He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous NFL Underdogs column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason's first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.

On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast at stations like WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio, Jason's analysis has also been featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers' flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

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