The Seattle Mariners have been exceptional on home soil, winning 38 of their past 54 games.
My Yankees vs. Mariners predictions see them building on their home success and getting back in the win column in the rubber match.
Let’s get into my MLB picks for Wednesday, April 1.
Who will win Yankees vs Mariners today: Mariners (-112)
The Seattle Mariners are hitting .205 to start the year, but don’t let that fool you: there is a good offense in there.
They rank 15th in wOBA, 11th in line drive percentage, 10th in wRC+, and ninth in walk rate. There are some good signs beneath the surface.
Not to mention, there are sleeping giants offensively. Josh Naylor (.043), Julio Rodriguez (.093), and Cal Raleigh (.143) haven’t hit anywhere close to their normal averages, and the Mariners are still 3-3.
Cam Schlittler is an excellent young pitcher, but it’ll be tough to keep these guys down much longer. Back Seattle on the moneyline.
COVERS INTEL: The Yankees own the 11th-highest strikeout rate and 8th-highest ground ball rate on the season. That should help George Kirby neutralize their power.
Yankees vs Mariners Over/Under pick: Under 7.5 (-122)
The pitching matchup between Schlittler and George Kirby is nothing short of excellent.
Schlittler impressed as a rookie and seems poised for a big sophomore campaign, holding a struggling Giants offense to just one baserunner in his season-opening start.
While more can be expected from the Mariners, it shouldn’t be a field day for their offense.
Meanwhile, Kirby pitched six innings of one-run ball against the Guardians in his 2026 debut. That’s par for the course — he's held opponents to two earned runs or fewer in eight of his past 10 home games.
Yankees vs Mariners odds
- Moneyline: New York -135 | Seattle -104
- Run line: New York -1.5 (+178) | Seattle +1.5 (-186)
- Over/Under: Over 7.5 (+113) | Under 7.5 (-127)
Yankees vs Mariners trend
The Seattle Mariners have hit the moneyline in 38 of their last 54 games at home (+16.75 Units / 19% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Yankees vs. Mariners.
How to watch Yankees vs Mariners and game info
| Location | T-Mobile Field, Seattle, WA |
| Date | Wednesday, April 1, 2026 |
| First pitch | 4:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | YES, SEAM |
| Yankees starting pitcher | Cam Schlittler (1-0, 0.00 ERA) |
| Mariners starting pitcher | George Kirby (1-0, 1.50 ERA) |
Yankees vs Mariners latest injuries
Yankees vs Mariners weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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