Gavin Williams has pitched lights out this season, especially on home soil.
My Yankees vs. Guardians predictions are backing Williams to have another quality performance en route to a win. Let's dive into my MLB picks for Monday, June 8.
Who will win Yankees vs Guardians today: Guardians moneyline (-125)
Gavin Williams and Will Warren have similar counting stats, but the underlyings indicate the Cleveland Guardians have an edge on the mound.
Williams enters in great form, sporting a 2.80 xFIP, 27.2 K%, and 3.2 BB% over the last 30 days. He's played his best at home, where he has allowed more than two runs only once through six starts.
New York Yankees starter Will Warren has shown some red flags of late, posting an xFIP (5.01) nearly double his ERA (2.78) the past 30 days. Back the Guardians to -135.
COVERS INTEL: Gavin Williams ranks in the 84th percentile or higher in chase rate, whiff rate, and strikeout rate.
Yankees vs Guardians Over/Under pick: Under 8 (-115)
The Yankees have predictably slowed down offensively without Aaron Judge in the lineup. They’ve scored 20 runs over five games, and were held to four or fewer in four of them.
Williams is allowing an average of just 1.70 runs per start in Cleveland, so this is not a spot we should see a spike.
While Warren is not pitching as well as Williams right now, the Guardians rank 29th in average and 26th in OPS vs. righties at home. They're not a team that should blow the doors off anyone. I'd play this to -130.
- ML/RL bets: 25-20, -0.83 units
- Over/Under bets: 21-22-2, -3.86 units
Yankees vs Guardians odds
- Moneyline: Yankees +105 | Guardians -125
- Run line: Yankees +1.5 (-200) | Guardians -1.5 (+165)
- Over/Under: Over 8 (-105) | Under 8 (-115)
Yankees vs Guardians trend
The Guardians have cashed the moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games for +6.6 units and a 21% ROI. Find more MLB betting trends for Yankees vs. Guardians.
How to watch Yankees vs Guardians and game info
| Location | Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH |
| Date | Monday, June 8, 2026 |
| First pitch | 6:40 p.m. ET |
| TV | FS1 |
| Yankees starting pitcher | Will Warren (7-1, 3.22 ERA) |
| Guardians starting pitcher | Gavin Williams (9-3, 3.20 ERA) |
Yankees vs Guardians latest injuries
Yankees vs Guardians weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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