Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Today's MLB Game

Mike DiStefano - Contributor at Covers.com
Mike DiStefano • Betting Analyst 14+ years betting experience
Updated: Jun 14, 2026 , 11:34 AM ET • 4 min read

Toronto's lineup will fare well against Will Warren.

MLB

Jun 14 • 1:37 PM ET
NYY
65 %
TOR
35 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Yohendrick Pinango o0.5  Total Hits (-160) Yohendrick Pinango o0.5 Total Hits (-160)
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Yohendrick Pinango Toronto Blue Jays MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Yohendrick Pinango during a game against the Pirates.

Toronto Blue Jays outfielder Yohendrick Pinango is at the center of today's Yankees vs. Blue Jays predictions as he draws a favorable matchup against New York starter Will Warren.

Read my MLB picks below for a full breakdown of today's matchup.

Yankees vs Blue Jays predictions

Yankees vs Blue Jays best bet: Yohendrick Pinango Over 0.5 hits (-160)

Yohendrick Pinango profiles well against New York Yankees starter Will Warren.

Warren is a contact-pitcher who lives in the zone with a heavy dose of the four-seamer and sinker to left-handed batters. Pinango owns a .385 average against that pitch mix, with a .500 xSLG rate. 

Additionally, the Toronto Blue Jays rookie owns a well-above-average solid-contact rating of 6.7%. Warren allows solid contact at a 7.8% clip, well above the 5.9% league average.

Pinango has eclipsed his hits total in eight of his last 11 games, garnering a .994 OPS in that stretch. I’d buy Pinango Over 0.5 hits up to -165. 

Covers COVERS INTEL: Will Warren doesn’t have swing-and-miss stuff and allows consistent contact, which should play into Yohendrick Pinango’s strengths with his .283 xBA and 6.7 solid-contact rating. 

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Yankees vs Blue Jays same-game parlay (SGP)

We'll continue to bank on a productive day for the Blue Jay bats in today’s SGP with Ernie Clement and Alejandro Kirk hitting props.

Clement has a hit in 22 of his last 25 games, posting a .964 OPS in that stretch, averaging 2.3 bases per game. He is a premier contact hitter, and Warren is a contact-friendly pitcher. 

For the last leg of the SGP, I’ll bet on Alejandro Kirk to keep swinging his hot bat. He draws back into the lineup after a 3-for-3 outing in his return on Friday. He’s one of the best contact hitters in baseball with a .306 xBA.

Yankees vs Blue Jays SGP

  • Yohendrick Pinango Over 0.5 hits
  • Ernie Clement Over 0.5 hits
  • Alejandro Kirk Over 0.5 hits
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Yankees vs Blue Jays home run pick: Kazuma Okamoto (+450)

Kazuma Okamoto has gone back-to-back games with a home run and leads the Jays with 15 homers this season. He also hits Warren's pitch mix well with a .500 slug-rate and a 58% hard-hit rate,

This positions him well for success today as the Yankee starter pitches to contact, while ranking in the 43rd percentile in hard-hit rate.

However, Warren has only allowed one home run in his last 5 starts this season. Therefore, I’ll be making this a half-unit wager today.

2026 Transparency record
  • Best bets: 34-34, +5.05 units
  • SGPs: 13-55, +4.35 units
  • HR picks: 11-57, +1.9 units

Yankees vs Blue Jays odds

  • Moneyline: New York -130 | Toronto +110
  • Run line: New York -1.5 (+125) | Toronto +1.5 (-150)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-105) | Under 8.5 (-115)

Yankees vs Blue Jays trend

The Blue Jays have gone Over the total in 12 of their last 18 games for +5.5 units and a 28 ROI. Find more MLB betting trends for Yankees vs. Blue Jays.

How to watch Yankees vs Blue Jays and game info

Location Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Date Sunday, 6-14-2026
First pitch 1:37 p.m. ET
TV Sportsnet, YES
Yankees starting pitcher Will Warren
(7-1, 3.28 ERA)
Blue Jays starting pitcher Patrick Corbin
(2-3, 4.45 ERA)

Yankees vs Blue Jays latest injuries

Yankees vs Blue Jays weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Mike DiStefano - Covers
Betting Analyst

Mike DiStefano joins Covers after a successful five-year stint with TSN. Distefano hosted Leafs Lunch, a Toronto Maple Leafs-centric radio show which featured a daily best bets segment where he found the biggest and best value plays of the night. He was also a weekly staple on TSN's flagship radio/tv show "OverDrive" as a betting analyst during their NFL picks segment #TeamAl-DogForever.

A graduate of Centennial College’s Sports Journalism program, Mike has also contributed to the Canadian Baseball Network, FanSided, and The Hockey News.

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