Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Today's MLB Game

Mike DiStefano - Contributor at Covers.com
Mike DiStefano • Betting Analyst 14+ years betting experience
Updated: Jun 13, 2026 , 09:17 AM ET • 4 min read

Jays' bats get to Schlittler early and often in today's contest.

MLB

Match starts: 4 hrs
NYY
55 %
TOR
45 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Cam Schlittler o5.5  Hits Allowed (+120) Cam Schlittler o5.5 Hits Allowed (+120)
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Toronto Blue Jays third baseman Kazuma Okamoto (7) gets on first base.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Toronto Blue Jays third baseman Kazuma Okamoto (7) gets on first base.

The Toronto Blue Jays have been the kryptonite of New York Yankees star right-hander Cam Schlittler in his young career. 

The Jays’ bats profile well to continue that dominance this afternoon, making Schlittler Over 5.5 hits allowed an attractive play at +120.

Read on for my Blue Jays vs. Yankees Predictions and MLB Picks for this Saturday, June 13 matchup. 

Yankees vs Blue Jays predictions

Yankees vs Blue Jays best bet: Cam Schlitter O 5.5 hits (+120)

Cam Schlittler is having a CY Young worthy season, but has struggled against the Toronto Blue Jays throughout his career, which has led to his market being mispriced. 

I expect the Jays to go over 5.5 hits on Schlittler today. 

Toronto’s current lineup owns a .339 batting average, earning 28 hits against the New York Yankees starter through four games, profiling well against his aggressive strike-throwing style and pitch mix.

Schlittler has a high zone rate and uses a mix of four-seamers, cutters, and sinkers. 

As a team, the Blue Jays own a .272 average (8th) with a 41% hard-hit rate (5th) against these pitches.

Schlittler has eclipsed this hit total in 3-of-4 career starts against Toronto, with the lone other start only lasting 1 2/3 innings, where he still gave up five hits.

I’d play Schlitter Over 5.5 hits down to +110. 

Covers COVERS INTEL: Toronto is averaging 13.2 H/9 against Schlittler in his career. 

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Yankees vs Blue Jays same-game parlay (SGP)

We'll continue to bank on a productive day for the Blue Jay bats in today’s SGP with Ernie Clement and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hitting props.

Clement has 18 hits over his last 12 games, eclipsing this total in 10 of them. He profiles well against Schlittler as a contact hitter, and it has led him to being 4-for-9 against the Yankee starter in his career.  

For the last leg of the SGP, I’ll bet on Guerrero Jr. Over. 0.5 singles. Vlad has been a singles machine this season, with 79% of his hits being for one base. 

Additionally, he matches up well against Schlittler’s pitch mix, going 6-for-11 against him, with all six hits being singles.

Yankees vs Blue Jays SGP

  • Schlittler Over 5.5 hits
  • Clement Over  0.5 hits,
  • Guerrero Over 0.5 singles
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Yankees vs Blue Jays home run pick: Kazuma Okamoto (+475)

Kazuma Okamoto leads the Jays with 14 homers this season and hits Schlittler's pitch mix well with a 60% hard-hit rate, to go along with a 9.7% barrel rate. 

This positions him well for success today as the Yankee starter does get barreled up quite often, while also ranking in the 33rd percentile in hard-hit rate.

However, despite giving up the hard contact, Schlittler does keep the ball in the yard, allowing only four home runs in his 14 starts this season. 

Therefore, I’ll be making this a half-unit wager today.

2026 Transparency record
  • Best bets: 33-34, +3.85 units
  • SGPs: 13-54, +5.35 units
  • HR picks: 10-57, -0.45 units

Yankees vs Blue Jays odds

  • Moneyline: New York -125 | Toronto +105
  • Run line: New York -1.5 (+140) | Toronto +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 | Under 7.5 

Yankees vs Blue Jays trend

The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+4.70 Units / 27% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Yankees vs. Blue Jays.

How to watch Yankees vs Blue Jays and game info

Location Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Date Saturday, 6-13-2026
First pitch 3:07 p.m. ET
TV Sportsnet
Yankees starting pitcher Cam Schlittler
(7-3, 1.87 ERA)
Blue Jays starting pitcher Kevin Gausman
(4-4, 3.60 ERA)

Yankees vs Blue Jays latest injuries

Yankees vs Blue Jays weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Mike DiStefano - Covers
Betting Analyst

Mike DiStefano joins Covers after a successful five-year stint with TSN. Distefano hosted Leafs Lunch, a Toronto Maple Leafs-centric radio show which featured a daily best bets segment where he found the biggest and best value plays of the night. He was also a weekly staple on TSN's flagship radio/tv show "OverDrive" as a betting analyst during their NFL picks segment #TeamAl-DogForever.

A graduate of Centennial College’s Sports Journalism program, Mike has also contributed to the Canadian Baseball Network, FanSided, and The Hockey News.

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