White Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Today's MLB Game

Ethan Diamandas - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Ethan Diamandas • Betting Analyst 6+ years betting experience
Updated: Jul 18, 2026 , 10:19 AM ET • 4 min read

George Springer's heater continues today!

MLB

Match starts: 1 hrs
CHW
55 %
TOR
45 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5  Total Home Runs (+370) Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+370)
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George Springer of the Toronto Blue Jays MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. George Springer of the Toronto Blue Jays MLB

George Springer is locked in, and a weak four-seamer from Davis Martin is the pitch to attack.

The Toronto Blue Jays try to bounce back from a 12-4 drubbing on Friday as they host the Chicago White Sox in a virtual pick-em, with Shane Bieber on the mound against Davis Martin. 

Toronto’s bats will look to attack Martin’s fastball, and George Springer headlines my card after a hot week.

Read on for my White Sox vs. Blue Jays predictions and MLB picks for this Saturday, July 18 matchup.

White Sox vs Blue Jays predictions

White Sox vs Blue Jays best bet: George Springer Over 1.5 total bases (+145)

Big George is chugging along.

George Springer ran into one on Friday, cashing our home run prop, but since I don’t believe lightning strikes twice, I’ll play his total bases prop on Saturday against Davis Martin and the Chicago White Sox.

Martin carved up the Toronto Blue Jays earlier this year, tossing six shutout innings, but he isn’t unbreakable.

Martin’s four-seam fastball grades out at a -3 run value, per Baseball Savant, and Springer owns a +3 run value against the same pitch, slugging .484.

That’s the matchup edge I want.

I’d play Springer’s total bases until +125 today.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Springer has at least one hit in six of his last seven games, including three extra-base knocks during that span.

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White Sox vs Blue Jays same-game parlay (SGP)

For the same-game parlay, I’m chasing +300 and betting on offense. Friday’s game sailed over the total, and with Shane Bieber and his 7.64 ERA still searching for his old form, I like over 8 total runs again.

I’ll add the Blue Jays moneyline as a live home play in a near-pick’em, and cap it with Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 hits, since Toronto’s best bat should have no trouble reaching base against Martin’s shaky four-seamer.

White Sox vs Blue Jays SGP

  • Blue Jays moneyline
  • Over 8.5
  • Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 hits

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White Sox vs Blue Jays home run pick:  Kazuma Okamoto (+370)

Kazuma Okamoto is the King of Sting in this Blue Jays lineup with 22 home runs, and he happens to mash four-seam fastballs to a .588 slugging mark with a +12 run value, right in line with Martin’s biggest weakness.

I also love the value here. Okamoto goes on torrid homer stretches, and the books shorten his line during those runs, so a +370 price feels generous. 

I’ll play this until +325 and keep it to a quarter unit.

2026 Transparency Record
  • Best bets: 7-4, +2.63 units
  • SGPs: 2-10, -0.81 units
  • HR picks: 3-9, +0.75 units

White Sox vs Blue Jays odds

  • Moneyline: White Sox -110 | Blue Jays -110
  • Run line: White Sox -1.5 (+150) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-120) | Under 8.5 (+100)

White Sox vs Blue Jays trend

The total has gone Over in six of the Toronto Blue Jays’ last seven games, supporting the over in Saturday’s same-game parlay. Find more MLB betting trends for White Sox vs. Blue Jays.

How to watch White Sox vs Blue Jays and game info

Location Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
Date Saturday, 7-18-2026
First pitch 3:07 p.m. ET
TV Chicago Sports Network, Sportsnet
White Sox starting pitcher Davis Martin
(9-4, 3.41 ERA)
Blue Jays starting pitcher Shane Bieber
(0-1, 7.64 ERA)

White Sox vs Blue Jays latest injuries

White Sox vs Blue Jays weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst

Ethan Diamandas is a Toronto-based sports writer and betting analyst with six years in the sports and gaming industry. A Carleton University journalism grad, he pairs a traditional reporting background with an analytical read on MLB betting. He covered the Toronto Blue Jays as both a beat reporter and a feature writer, which gives him a close feel for roster construction, pitching matchups, bullpen usage, and the day-to-day factors that move baseball odds.

His bylines have run in Sports Illustrated, MLB.com, and Yahoo Sports. He also covers boxing and UFC, but baseball is the focus, especially player props, first-five markets, totals, and game-by-game matchup analysis.

On the book side, he leans on bet365 for its deep player-prop menu and FanDuel for consistently competitive odds, with DraftKings reserved for the occasional ambitious parlay. His approach is research-first and patient. He shops lines, waits for real value, and won't force action just because there's a game on the board.

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