Milwaukee ran over Philadelphia in the series opener Friday night, winning by a 6-0 scoreline.
While a more competitive game should be expected tonight, my Phillies vs. Brewers predictions see the home side coming out on top once again.
Let's dig into my MLB picks for Saturday, June 13.
Who will win Phillies vs Brewers today: Milwaukee Brewers (-140)
Philadelphia Phillies starter Aaron Nola is sporting an abysmal 5.86 ERA through 13 starts and ranks in the sixth percentile in Pitcher Run Value.
It’s hard to imagine things getting better against the Milwaukee Brewers. They rank fourth in OPS against right-handed pitchers and Nola has conceded at least three runs in seven of eight starts when facing Top-15 opponents in OPS.
The only exception came against the Rockies, who are last place and only have decent offensive numbers because home games are played at Coors Field.
Look for the Brewers bats to lead the way. Play to -150.
COVERS INTEL: The Brewers rank first in OBP against right-handed pitching in June.
Phillies vs Brewers Over/Under pick: Over 8.0 (-115)
Friday’s game featured Jacob Misiorowski, who entered play having allowed one earned run over his last seven starts, and the total sat at 8.0.
I have a hard time believing it should be the same in a game Nola and Shane Drohan, who has completed five innings once this season, are starting.
Nola owns a 7.38 ERA against teams sitting Top-15 in OPS. Drohan has pitched well but he’s hardly untouchable, allowing the third highest hard hit rate over the last month among today’s starters.
Play the Over to -130.
- ML/RL bets: 28-23, -2.10 units
- Over/Under bets: 25-24-2, -2.06 units
Phillies vs Brewers odds
- Moneyline: Phillies +120 | Brewers -140
- Run line: Phillies +1.5 (-160) | Brewers -1.5 (+140)
- Over/Under: Over 8.0 (-120) | Under 8.0 (+100)
Phillies vs Brewers trend
Milwaukee has hit the moneyline in 28 of their last 40 games (+12.90 units, 22% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Phillies vs. Brewers.
How to watch Phillies vs Brewers and game info
| Location | American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI |
| Date | Saturday, June 13, 2026 |
| First pitch | 7:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | FS1 |
| Phillies starting pitcher | Aaron Nola (3-4, 5.86 ERA) |
| Brewers starting pitcher | Shane Drohan (3-1, 3.11 ERA) |
Phillies vs Brewers latest injuries
Phillies vs Brewers weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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