Toronto Blue Jays infielder Ernie Clement profiles well against Philadelphia Phillies ace Cristopher Sanchez, making his Over 1.5 total bases market at +120 an attractive price.
Read on for my Phillies vs. Blue Jays predictions and MLB picks for Monday, June 8.
Phillies vs Blue Jays predictions
Phillies vs Blue Jays best bet: Ernie Clement Over 1.5 total bases (+120)
Cristopher Sanchez has been one of the best pitchers in baseball, sporting a 1.92 ERA with 103 strikeouts.
His stuff relies primarily on swing and miss, ranking in the 97th percentile in chase rate and 93rd percentile in whiff rate.
That profile plays directly into Ernie Clement's strengths as one of baseball's premier contact hitters.
The Toronto Blue Jays infielder swings a ton, but has a knack for squaring up the baseball with a 91.2% contact rate in the zone, and an impressive 74% contact rate out of the zone.
Over his last 20 outings, Clement owns a .380 average with a 1.003 OPS, averaging 2.4 bases per game.
I’d play Clement Over 1.5 bases down to +105, even against a pitcher of Sanchez's caliber.
COVERS INTEL: Sanchez relies on a lot of chase and swing and miss, which matches up well to Clement, who ranks in the 97th percentile on squared-up rate, despite a first-percentile chase rate.
Phillies vs Blue Jays same-game parlay (SGP)
Like Clement, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. profiles well against Sanchez, who throws sinkers and change-ups most often. Vlad owns a .371 average against those pitches and also has a .917 career OPS against Sanchez.
I’m also going to fade the struggling Phillies bats, who own a lowly .687 OPS this season, while ranking dead last in batting average against Jays starter Patrick Corbin’s two most utilized pitches (sinker/slider). The veteran hurler has gone Under 2.5 earned runs in seven of his 11 starts this season, and I'll take him to do it again.
Phillies vs Blue Jays SGP
- Ernie Clement Over 1.5 total bases
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 hits
- Patrick Corbin Under 2.5 earned runs
Phillies vs Blue Jays home run pick: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (+625)
Sanchez doesn’t give up much hard contact and has been tagged for just three home runs in 13 starts this season, so we’ll make this just a half-unit wager.
A Vlad breakout is coming.
The power numbers have been trending upward over his last 40 at-bats with a 58.8% hard-hit rate, up from his season average of 44.6%, which suggests production may soon follow.
Furthermore, in that same stretch, his hard-hit rate against the sinker/changeup, Sanchez’s most utilized pitches to right-handed hitters, is 87.5%.
- Best bets: 32-32, +4.85 units
- SGPs: 13-51, +8.35 units
- HR picks: 9-55, -1.3 units
Phillies vs Blue Jays odds
- Moneyline: Philadelphia -170 | Toronto +145
- Run line: Philadelphia -1.5 (+100) | Toronto +1.5 (-120)
- Over/Under: Over 7.5 (-105) | Under 7.5 (-115)
Phillies vs Blue Jays trend
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 71% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Phillies vs. Blue Jays.
How to watch Phillies vs Blue Jays and game info
| Location | Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON |
| Date | Monday, 6-8-2026 |
| First pitch | 7:07 p.m. ET |
| TV | Sportsnet, NBCS-Philadelphia |
| Phillies starting pitcher | Cristopher Sanchez (7-2, 1.46 ERA) |
| Blue Jays starting pitcher | Patrick Corbin (2-2, 3.98 ERA) |
Phillies vs Blue Jays latest injuries
Phillies vs Blue Jays weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
