We’re fading Texas Rangers starter Nathan Eovaldi in my Orioles vs. Rangers prediction tonight - he’s struggled mightily against this Baltimore lineup over the course of his career.
The Baltimore Orioles walk into Globe Life Field as massive +133 underdogs at Polymarket, and while I think they have an opportunity to win, we’re going to keep it safe on the run line (-163).
Let’s get right into my MLB picks for Friday, Aug. 7, and try to fatten that wallet before the weekend.
Who will win Orioles vs Rangers today: Orioles +1.5 (-168)
The Baltimore Orioles have had an underwhelming season against expectations, but they’re in a solid get-right spot against Nathan Eovaldi and the Texas Rangers in a series they have to win.
Eovaldi has regressed this year, and it won’t get any easier against the Orioles, who own a .316 xBA (.447 AVG) and .386 xwOBA against him across 43 plate appearances. If you’re looking for damage, Pete Alonso is a good place to start - he’s a career 3-for-4 against the righty with a .852 xSLG.
On the other side is Shane Baz, and while he has a limited sample size against the Rangers (19 at-bats), he’s dominated, limiting the offense to a .173 xBA and .267 xSLG, which includes a 2-for-10 line between Corey Seager and Wyatt Langford.
Baz is on an absolute heater, too, allowing just five earned runs across his last 20.1 innings pitched. With the Orioles just one game back of the Wild Card, expect them to bring their best.
Looking for more plays for today? Our Colby Marchio drops his MLB moneyline picks for the entire slate tonight.
COVERS INTEL: Nathan Eovaldi has a problem with Gunnar Henderson, too. The stud shortstop is 7-for-13 with an xBA of .368 against the righty over the course of his career. If the Orioles win, he'll be the reason why.
Orioles vs Rangers Over/Under pick: Under 7.5 runs (-120)
Baz is coming off his best outing of the season against a potent Phillies offense (6.1 IP, 1 ER), and should be able to stifle the bats of the Rangers, a team he’s found tremendous success against.
When looking at the MLB trends, it’s easy to see why the Under is a must-bet today - it’s hit in all six games when the Orioles play AL West opponents, and is 6-1 in Baltimore’s last seven road games.
Globe Life Field is one of the most pitcher-friendly ballparks in the bigs, coughing up just 94 long balls this year - good for 21st in baseball. Let’s sweep the board before the weekend, shall we?
- ML/RL bets: 0-4, -4 units
- Over/Under bets: 1-3, -2.9 units
Orioles vs Rangers weather
Globe Life Field is a climate-controlled dome - the weather won't have any impact on playing conditions tonight.
Orioles vs Rangers odds
- Moneyline: Orioles (+129) | Rangers (-142)
- Run line: Orioles +1.5 (-168) | Rangers -1.5 (+146)
- Over/Under: Over 7.5 (+114) | Under 7.5 (-120)
Orioles vs Rangers trend
All signs are pointing toward the Under today - it's hit in the Rangers' last four games against the American League East, and six of seven in the Orioles' last seven road games. Find more MLB betting trends for Orioles vs. Rangers.
How to watch Orioles vs Rangers and game info
| Location | Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX |
| Date | Friday, August 7, 2026 |
| First pitch | 8:15 p.m. ET |
| TV | Apple TV |
| Orioles starting pitcher | Shane Baz (4-10, 3.86 ERA) |
| Rangers starting pitcher | Nathan Eovaldi (10-9, 4.31 ERA) |
Orioles vs Rangers latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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