Rookie sensation Nolan McLean takes the mound as the New York Mets face the San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park on Friday night.
At 3-4, both teams are looking to reach .500 on the young season.
See what I’m taking with my Mets vs. Giants predictions and MLB picks for Friday, April 3.
Who will win Mets vs Giants today: Mets (-127)
Nolan McLean is one of the best prospects in the sport, and his 107 Stuff+ and .173 xBA in his debut are positive indicators of success.
That gives the New York Mets a leg up in the starting pitching department against Tyler Mahle, who had a worrisome 92 Stuff+ and fourth-percentile barrel rate in his San Francisco Giants debut.
The Giants have been anemic at the dish (64 wRC+ and .255 wOBA against RHP). They’re the weaker club, and we’re getting a shortened price since they’ve won three of their last four while New York has dropped three straight.
COVERS INTEL: Mahle’s underlying peripherals were terrible in his debut. He ranked in the 15th percentile or worse in average exit velocity, chase rate, and whiff rate.
Mets vs Giants Over/Under pick: Under 7.5 (-104)
These two offenses have had a slow start to the season, and a matchup at the pitcher-friendly Oracle Park likely results in a low-scoring game.
The Giants have an 80 wRC+ en route to a 2-3-2 O/U record, while the Mets have an 88 wRC+ and are 2-5 O/U.
Both bullpens have a SIERA under 3.90 and have most of their best arms well-rested. They’re throwing behind starting pitchers projected to have an ERA below 4.00 this season.
- ML/RL bets: 0-0, 0.0 units
- Over/Under bets: 1-0, +1.0 units
Mets vs Giants odds
- Moneyline: New York -110 | San Francisco +100
- Run line: New York -1.5 (+130) | San Francisco +1.5 (-150)
- Over/Under: Over 7 (-113) | Under 7 (-107)
Mets vs Giants trend
The Mets have hit the Under in five of their last six games. Find more MLB betting trends for Mets vs. Giants.
How to watch Mets vs Giants and game info
| Location | Oracle Park, San Francisco, CA |
| Date | Friday, April 3, 2026 |
| First pitch | 10:15 p.m. ET |
| TV | WPIX, NBC Sports Bay Area |
| Mets starting pitcher | Nolan McLean (0-0, 3.60 ERA) |
| Giants starting pitcher | Tyler Mahle (0-1, 4.50 ERA) |
Mets vs Giants latest injuries
Mets vs Giants weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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