MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 19, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Tue, May 19 • 4:10 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Miami Marlins logo o8.5 (+102)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

The Over has been thriving in the recent matchups, going 6-0-1 over the last seven head-to-head meetings.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-133)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

Atlanta has won each of their last seven games against the Marlins following a loss.

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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Tue, May 19 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Tyler O'Neill logo
Tyler O'Neill o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.51
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Tyler O'Neill projects as the 15th-best home run hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Tyler O'Neill pulls many of his flyballs (37.9% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the worst among every team playing today.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.240) may lead us to conclude that Tyler O'Neill has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .193 actual batting average.. Tyler O'Neill has recorded a .352 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 91st percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total Bases
Coby Mayo logo
Coby Mayo o1.5 Total Bases (+250)
Projection 1.32
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Coby Mayo in the 89th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Coby Mayo pulls many of his flyballs (39.4% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Bats such as Coby Mayo with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Griffin Jax who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the worst among every team playing today.. Coby Mayo has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.7-mph average to last year's 87.5-mph average.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Tue, May 19 • 6:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Cleveland Guardians logo CLE (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

The Tigers are in the middle of a brutal 2-10 stretch, and I don't think Keider Montero is the pitcher to pull them out of it. His fifth percentile chase rate mixes with the Guardians' fifth-best chase rate like oil and water. Meanwhile, Parker Messick can manage a Detroit offense that's 26th in batting average vs. lefties.

Total Bases
Kyle Manzardo logo
Kyle Manzardo o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Kyle Manzardo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which generally leads to better offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 81°.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Tue, May 19 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+121)
Projection 1.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bryce Harper projects as the 9th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 10th-best stadium in MLB for lefty home runs.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 93°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Total Bases
JJ Bleday logo
JJ Bleday o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.41
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Bleday in the 90th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. JJ Bleday is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 10th-best stadium in MLB for lefty home runs.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for HRs.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 93°.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Tue, May 19 • 6:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
CJ Abrams logo
CJ Abrams o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.68
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, CJ Abrams ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of all games today at 95°.. CJ Abrams will hold the platoon advantage over Nolan McLean today.. CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.06
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Nationals Park has the 7th-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of all games today at 95°.. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ New York Yankees logo NYY Tue, May 19 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Cody Bellinger logo
Cody Bellinger u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.9
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Yankee Stadium grades out as the #25 field in the game for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to lower offensive output.. Cody Bellinger's quickness has fallen off this season. His 28.21 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.59 ft/sec now.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Cody Bellinger's true offensive talent to be a .331, suggesting that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .030 deviation between that figure and his actual .361 wOBA.. Checking in at the 16th percentile, Cody Bellinger has hit 19.5% of his balls in the air this year with a velocity of 100+ mph.
Total Bases
Trent Grisham logo
Trent Grisham o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. Yankee Stadium grades out as the #5 ballpark in MLB for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences in MLB.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 90°.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Tue, May 19 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Starling Marte logo
Starling Marte u0.5 Total Hits (+151)
Projection 0.74
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Starling Marte is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today's game.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Starling Marte has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will be challenged by the game's deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Typically, batters like Starling Marte who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Ranger Suarez.
Total Hits
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.87
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 10th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Salvador Perez pulls many of his flyballs (36.2% — 87th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense grades out as the strongest out of every team playing today.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Tue, May 19 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
David Hamilton logo
David Hamilton u0.5 Total Hits (+120)
Projection 0.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Hamilton in the 9th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. David Hamilton is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.. The 5th-deepest right field dimensions in the majors are found in Wrigley Field.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense profiles as the strongest among all the teams playing today.
Total Hits
Michael Conforto logo
Michael Conforto u0.5 Total Hits (+106)
Projection 0.57
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Michael Conforto's BABIP ability is projected in the 19th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Michael Conforto is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best out of every team playing today.. Based on Statcast metrics, Michael Conforto is in the 17th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .223.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Tue, May 19 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jeremy Pena logo
Jeremy Pena o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena as the 19th-best hitter in the majors as it relates to his batting average skill.. Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. The #9 venue in the league for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. Jeremy Pena's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 41.7% to 54.1%.
Total Bases
Brice Matthews logo
Brice Matthews o1.5 Total Bases (+230)
Projection 1.29
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #9 venue in the league for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (46.0) provides evidence that Brice Matthews has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his 28.2 actual HR/600.. Brice Matthews's 94.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to evaluate power) ranks in the 81st percentile since the start of last season.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Tue, May 19 • 7:45 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total
Pittsburgh Pirates logo St. Louis Cardinals logo o8.0 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

Matthew Liberatore is an auto-fade with a -7 pitching run value, ranking in the bottom seventh percentile. That goes double vs. a Pittsburgh lineup that's seventh in batting average. While Mitch Keller isn't nearly as bad as his opposite number, the Pirates' bullpen has been gasoline to a fire in May with a 4.76 xFIP, 26th in the majors.

Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as the majors's 13th-best home run hitter.. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. In MLB, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest humidity of all games today at 81%.. Oneil Cruz hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Tue, May 19 • 8:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Jake McCarthy logo
Jake McCarthy u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jake McCarthy is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to drop to the lowest level on the schedule today at 48°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Extreme flyball batters like Jake McCarthy are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Kumar Rocker.. Jake McCarthy's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 90.9-mph EV last year has dropped to 85.4-mph.. Despite posting a .364 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake McCarthy has experienced some positive variance given the .067 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .297.
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.94
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Hunter Goodman ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. Coors Field ranks as the #1 park in the majors for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to higher offensive output.. Extreme flyball batters like Hunter Goodman are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Kumar Rocker.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Tue, May 19 • 9:38 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Henry Bolte logo
Henry Bolte u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
Projection 0.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #9 field in the league for suppressing batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-lowest humidity of all games on the slate today at 35%.. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Henry Bolte in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Jose Siri logo
Jose Siri o1.5 Total Bases (+270)
Projection 1.22
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Jose Siri ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Angel Stadium has the lowest fences in MLB.. Because of Jacob Lopez's large platoon split, Jose Siri will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.. Jose Siri will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Jose Siri has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 35.2° mark is among the highest in MLB since the start of last season (99th percentile).
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Tue, May 19 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Mitch Garver logo
Mitch Garver u0.5 Total Hits (+131)
Projection 0.58
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Garver in the 5th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Mitch Garver is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today's game.. T-Mobile Park projects as the #29 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which generally leads to worse offense.. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Total Hits
Munetaka Murakami logo
Munetaka Murakami u0.5 Total Hits (+130)
Projection 0.73
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
T-Mobile Park projects as the #29 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which generally leads to worse offense.. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Munetaka Murakami today.. Munetaka Murakami has been lucky this year, notching a .390 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .355 — a .035 gap.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ San Diego Padres logo SD Tue, May 19 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 17th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 4th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani logo
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.96
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 4th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Shohei Ohtani will hold the platoon advantage against Griffin Canning in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams today, the worst outfield defense is that of the San Diego Padres.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Tue, May 19 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Ildemaro Vargas logo
Ildemaro Vargas u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 41 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ildemaro Vargas in the 8th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Ildemaro Vargas will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side against Landen Roupp today.. Ildemaro Vargas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.1% — 96th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 3rd-deepest RF fences in today's game.. Typically, hitters like Ildemaro Vargas who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Landen Roupp.. Despite posting a .385 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ildemaro Vargas has had positive variance on his side given the .108 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .277.
Total Hits
Corbin Carroll logo
Corbin Carroll u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Corbin Carroll pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 86th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 3rd-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Corbin Carroll's launch angle this season (13°) is a considerable dropoff from his 16.8° angle last season.. Corbin Carroll has been lucky this year, putting up a .395 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .358 — a .037 disparity.
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