Marlins vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Today's MLB Game

Mike DiStefano - Contributor at Covers.com
Mike DiStefano • Betting Analyst 14+ years betting experience
Updated: May 26, 2026 , 12:35 PM ET • 4 min read

Jesus Sanchez keeps cooking against Sandy Alcantara.

MLB

Match starts: 5 hrs
MIA
49 %
TOR
51 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Jesus Sanchez o0.5  Total Hits (-170) Jesus Sanchez o0.5 Total Hits (-170)
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Jesus Sanchez Toronto Blue Jays MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Jesus Sanchez watches the ball come off his bat in a game against the Pirates.

Toronto Blue Jays slugger Jesus Sanchez is on fire at the plate, and I expect him to continue his hitting streak with Sandy Alcantara on the mound for the Miami Marlins.  

Read on to see why with my Jays vs. Marlins predictions and MLB picks on Tuesday, May 26.

Marlins vs Blue Jays predictions

Marlins vs Blue Jays best bet: Jesus Sanchez Over 0.5 hits (-170)

Jesus Sanchez has been the hottest hitter in the Toronto Blue Jays lineup, and the books seem to be slowly catching on, but there’s still some juice left to be squeezed at a -170 price.

The Jays outfielder has eclipsed today’s 0.5 hits total in 12 of his last 15 contests, posting a .400 batting average and a 1.032 OPS in that stretch

As for Sandy Alcantara, he’s been victimized more by left-handed batters, who are hitting .276 against him. 

He has also struggled mightily in May, posting a 6.04 ERA this month, with an opponent batting average of .315 while allowing an average of 7.25 hits per outing. 

Covers COVERS INTEL: Sandy Alcantara ranks in the 92nd percentile with a .290 xBA.

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Marlins vs Blue Jays same-game parlay (SGP)

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. should return after sitting out last night's game. He’s 5-for-11 with a 1.273 OPS against Alcantara throughout his career and is starting to heat up at the plate, reaching base 10 times in his last five games from the two-hole. He’s come around to score in four straight outings as well, and that’s the market I’ll bet on for the second leg of my SGP.

Ernie Clement is on an eight-game hitting streak, averaging 2.65 bases per game. With a struggling Alcantara on the mound, who pitches to contact, I’ll bet on Clement to keep swinging a hot bat and go Over 1.5 total bases.

Marlins vs Blue Jays SGP

  • Jesus Sanchez Over 0.5 hits
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 runs
  • Ernie Clement Over 1.5 total bases
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Marlins vs Blue Jays home run pick: Daulton Varsho (+475)

Alcantara has kept the ball in the yard, only allowing two homers over his last six starts, so we’ll make this a half-unit wager. 

The Marlins starter gives up fairly hard contact to lefties who have 15 extra base hits off him for a .787 opponent OPS. 

The lefty in the Jays lineup I’m banking on to homer tonight is Daulton Varsho, who owns a 59% hard-hit rate against the four-seamer and owns a .375 average vs. the sinker, two pitches that Alcantara throws often against left-handed hitters.

2026 Transparency record
  • Best bets: 25-27, +2.55 units
  • SGPs: 10-42, -1.60 units
  • HR picks: 8-44, +1.15 units

Marlins vs Blue Jays odds

  • Moneyline: Miami +125 | Toronto -150
  • Run line: Miami +1.5 (-170) | Toronto -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 (-125) | Under 7.5 (-115)

Marlins vs Blue Jays trend

The Blue Jays have covered the run line in 10 of their last 12 games for +9.4 units and a 59% ROI. Find more MLB betting trends for Marlins vs. Blue Jays.

How to watch Marlins vs Blue Jays and game info

Location Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Date Tuesday, May 26, 2026
First pitch 7:07 p.m. ET
TV Marlins.TV, SN1
Marlins starting pitcher Sandy Alcantara
(3-3, 4.00 ERA)
Blue Jays starting pitcher Braydon Fisher
(2-1, 2.73 ERA)

Marlins vs Blue Jays latest injuries

Marlins vs Blue Jays weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Mike DiStefano - Covers
Betting Analyst

Mike DiStefano joins Covers after a successful five-year stint with TSN. Distefano hosted Leafs Lunch, a Toronto Maple Leafs-centric radio show which featured a daily best bets segment where he found the biggest and best value plays of the night. He was also a weekly staple on TSN's flagship radio/tv show "OverDrive" as a betting analyst during their NFL picks segment #TeamAl-DogForever.

A graduate of Centennial College’s Sports Journalism program, Mike has also contributed to the Canadian Baseball Network, FanSided, and The Hockey News.

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