Two of the best teams in baseball continue their weekend series tonight when the Milwaukee Brewers welcome the Los Angeles Dodgers to American Family Field.
Milwaukee has feasted on fastballs this season and will enjoy a favorable matchup against a struggling Roki Sasaki, which is why I’m taking the hosts in my Dodgers vs. Brewers predictions.
Keep reading for my analysis and MLB picks for Saturday, May 23.
Who will win Dodgers vs Brewers tonight: Brewers (+105)
Roki Sasaki was solid during his rookie season, but the Los Angeles Dodgers starter has regressed in 2026.
Sasaki has a bloated 5.09 ERA and 1.45 WHIP, ranking in the 24th percentile in xBA (.262) and 13th percentile in average exit velocity (91 mph).
Sasaki throws his four-seam fastball 43% of the time, though it’s been his worst pitch. Opponents are batting .342 vs. Sasaki’s four-seamer, while the Milwaukee Brewers own the ninth-highest average against that pitch type vs. righties (.261).
The Brewers provide great value as a +113 dog, and I’d bet them all the way down to +100.
COVERS INTEL: Gary Sanchez, Jake Bauers, and Christian Yelich each rank among the top 20 in SLG vs. 4-seamers this season.
Dodgers vs Brewers Over/Under pick: Under 9 (-115)
The Brewers' bats could get Sasaki out of the game early, but he’s backed up by a strong Dodgers bullpen that ranks second in ERA (2.98). Milwaukee’s pen isn’t too shabby, either, sitting sixth in that category (3.22).
To make matters worse for the Dodgers, who have averaged just 2.5 runs over their last four outings, Max Muncy left Friday’s game after taking a 95 mph heater to the wrist, and he’ll likely sit today.
It’ll also be another chilly night at American Family Field (54 degrees), which is tied for the fifth-lowest Park factor (97) in the majors.
- ML/RL bets: 2-0, +1.71 units
- Over/Under bets: 1-1, -0.12 units
Dodgers vs Brewers odds
- Moneyline: Los Angeles -117 | Milwaukee +113
- Run line: Los Angeles -1.5 (+138) | Milwaukee +1.5 (-144)
- Over/Under: Over 9.5 (+127) | Under 7.5 (-133)
Dodgers vs Brewers trend
Los Angeles and Milwaukee have cashed the Under in four straight meetings. Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs. Brewers.
How to watch Dodgers vs Brewers and game info
| Location | American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI |
| Date | Saturday, May 23, 2026 |
| First pitch | 7:15 p.m. ET |
| TV | FOX |
| Dodgers starting pitcher | Roki Sasaki (2-3, 5.09 ERA) |
| Brewers starting pitcher | Robert Gasser (0-0, 4.50 ERA) |
Dodgers vs Brewers latest injuries
Dodgers vs Brewers weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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