There’s a potential playoff lookahead as two of the best teams in the National League, the Los Angeles Dodgers and Milwaukee Brewers, begin a three-game weekend series on Friday.
With two effective hurlers on the mound in Justin Wrobleski and Logan Henderson, my Dodgers vs. Brewers predictions envision a low-scoring contest.
Read on for my full analysis and MLB picks for Friday, May 22.
Who will win Dodgers vs Brewers today: Dodgers (-106)
Justin Wrobleski has experienced a breakout start, notching two more wins (6) than any other hurler on the Los Angeles Dodgers, with a single loss to show for it. He carries a 2.49 ERA and 1.03 WHIP while avoiding walks (5.9% BB%) and home runs (0.36 HR/9).
The Milwaukee Brewers have struggled to hit southpaws all season, ranking 26th in wRC+ (78) and 27th in wOBA (.283).
That contrasts greatly with L.A.’s numbers against righties — second in both wRC+ (120) and wOBA (.345) — so the edge goes to the Boys in Blue.
COVERS INTEL: Milwaukee’s struggles against LHP are backed up by their poor batted ball metrics. Its lineup hits soft grounders (first in groundball rate, 26th in hard-hit rate) and rarely goes deep (28th in HR/FB).
Dodgers vs Brewers Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (-110)
It’ll be cold (56 degrees) and windy (11 mph blowing in toward first base) day at American Family Field, which already has the sixth-lowest Park Factor (97) of any venue.
That’s pitching weather if I’ve ever seen it, and it’ll benefit two effective starters.
Logan Henderson is a budding star, notching a 2.49 ERA across his first nine starts. That’s supported by a 114 Pitching+ and a robust 26.5% K-BB% that would rank second among qualified starters.
These are the top two bullpens in FIP this month (Milwaukee 2.36, LA 2.45), and both are well-rested after Thursday’s off day.
- ML/RL bets: 14-16, -6.53 units
- Over/Under bets: 23-8, +14.64 units
Dodgers vs Brewers odds
- Moneyline: Los Angeles -103 | Milwaukee -107
- Run line: Los Angeles -1.5 (+152) | Milwaukee +1.5 (-168)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-103) | Under 8.5 (-107)
Dodgers vs Brewers trend
The Dodgers have cashed the Under in five of Justin Wrobleski’s seven starts. Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs. Brewers.
How to watch Dodgers vs Brewers and game info
| Location | American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI |
| Date | Friday, May 22, 2026 |
| First pitch | 7:40 p.m. ET |
| TV | SportsNet LA, Brewers.TV |
| Dodgers starting pitcher | Justin Wrobleski (6-1, 2.49 ERA) |
| Brewers starting pitcher | Logan Henderson (1-1, 3.50 ERA) |
Dodgers vs Brewers latest injuries
Dodgers vs Brewers weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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