MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 30, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.15 @ 4.34

WAS
WAS logo
WAS

Marlins vs Nationals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.15

+101

o9.0 -115

-1.5 +165

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

4.34

-106

u9.5 -120

+1.5 -170

Colorado @ Atlanta
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

COL logo
COL
COL

4.08 @ 5.16

ATL
ATL logo
ATL

Rockies vs Braves · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

COL logo
COL
COL

4.08

+215

o8.5 +100

+1.5 +100

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

5.16

-220

u8.5 -110

-1.5 -106

Top Projection Ezequiel Tovar o0.5 Total RBIs (+310)
o0.5+330
Boston @ NY Yankees
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.75 @ 4.05

NYY
NYY logo
NYY

Red Sox vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.75

-114

o7.5 -120

-1.5 +148

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

4.05

+110

u8.0 -112

+1.5 -155

Top Projection Trent Grisham o1.5 Total Bases (+215)
o1.5+215
Seattle @ Toronto
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

5.21 @ 3.88

TOR
TOR logo
TOR

Mariners vs Blue Jays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

5.21

-130

o8.0 -109

-1.5 +130

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

3.88

+125

u8.5 -130

+1.5 -140

Top Projection Taylor Ward o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
o0.5+255
LA Dodgers @ Detroit
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

4.32 @ 4.10

DET
DET logo
DET

Dodgers vs Tigers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

4.32

-168

o7.5 +105

-1.5 +110

DET logo
DET
DET

4.10

+162

u7.5 -114

+1.5 -115

San Diego @ Tampa Bay
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SD logo
SD
SD

4.08 @ 4.29

TB
TB logo
TB

Padres vs Rays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SD logo
SD
SD

4.08

+152

o7.0 -115

+1.5 -150

TB logo
TB
TB

4.29

-160

u7.5 -125

-1.5 +140

Top Projection Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+212)
o0.5+212
Kansas City @ Cleveland
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

KC logo
KC
KC

3.81 @ 4.76

CLE
CLE logo
CLE

Royals vs Guardians · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

KC logo
KC
KC

3.81

+170

o7.5 +100

+1.5 -129

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.76

-175

u7.5 -110

-1.5 +122

Top Projection Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
o0.5+260
Texas @ Milwaukee
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.54 @ 4.99

MIL
MIL logo
MIL

Rangers vs Brewers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.54

+151

o8.5 -105

+1.5 -140

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.99

-158

u8.5 -105

-1.5 +135

Chi. White Sox @ Minnesota
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

5.07 @ 4.60

MIN
MIN logo
MIN

White Sox vs Twins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

5.07

+110

o8.0 -141

+1.5 -194

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.60

-115

u9.0 -125

-1.5 +160

Top Projection Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
o0.5+165
Pittsburgh @ St. Louis
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.71 @ 4.14

STL
STL logo
STL

Pirates vs Cardinals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.71

-113

o7.5 -115

-1.5 +150

STL logo
STL
STL

4.14

+106

u8.0 -115

+1.5 -160

Houston @ NY Mets
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

4.99 @ 5.16

NYM
NYM logo
NYM

Astros vs Mets · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

4.99

+111

o8.5 -125

+1.5 -190

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

5.16

-119

u9.0 -110

-1.5 +165

Top Projection Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
o0.5+155
Baltimore @ Athletics
Matchup Stats
Top Projection Jonah Heim o0.5 Total Home Runs (+950)
o0.5+950
Philadelphia @ LA Angels
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

4.68 @ 3.47

LAA
LAA logo
LAA

Phillies vs Angels · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

4.68

-180

o7.5 -110

-1.5 -105

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

3.47

+173

u8.0 -115

+1.5 -105

Top Projection Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
o0.5+251
Cincinnati @ Chi. Cubs
Matchup Stats
Top Projection Pete Crow-Armstrong u0.5 Total Hits (+200)
u0.5+200
San Francisco @ Atlanta
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SF logo
SF
SF

4.44 @ 4.03

ATL
ATL logo
ATL

Giants vs Braves · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SF logo
SF
SF

4.44

+110

--

--

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

4.03

-143

u8.5 -120

+1.5 -235

NY Mets @ Tampa Bay
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.28 @ 5.08

TB
TB logo
TB

Mets vs Rays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.28

--

--

--

TB logo
TB
TB

5.08

--

--

--

San Diego @ Cincinnati
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SD logo
SD
SD

5.44 @ 4.65

CIN
CIN logo
CIN

Padres vs Reds · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SD logo
SD
SD

5.44

--

--

--

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.65

--

--

--

Miami @ Washington
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.69 @ 4.55

WAS
WAS logo
WAS

Marlins vs Nationals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.69

--

--

--

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

4.55

--

--

--

Seattle @ Boston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

3.94 @ 4.88

BOS
BOS logo
BOS

Mariners vs Red Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

3.94

--

--

--

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.88

--

--

--

Milwaukee @ Chi. Cubs
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.92 @ 5.12

CHC
CHC logo
CHC

Brewers vs Cubs · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.92

--

--

--

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

5.12

--

--

--

Detroit @ Minnesota
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

DET logo
DET
DET

4.57 @ 4.63

MIN
MIN logo
MIN

Tigers vs Twins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

DET logo
DET
DET

4.57

--

--

--

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.63

--

--

--

Athletics @ Texas
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

3.06 @ 4.01

TEX
TEX logo
TEX

Athletics vs Rangers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

3.06

--

--

--

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.01

--

--

--

Chi. White Sox @ Houston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.41 @ 4.17

HOU
HOU logo
HOU

White Sox vs Astros · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.41

--

--

--

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

4.17

--

--

--

Baltimore @ Colorado
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

6.50 @ 5.37

COL
COL logo
COL

Orioles vs Rockies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

6.50

--

--

--

COL logo
COL
COL

5.37

--

--

--

NY Yankees @ LA Angels
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

4.71 @ 3.89

LAA
LAA logo
LAA

Yankees vs Angels · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

4.71

--

--

--

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

3.89

--

--

--

Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Sun, Aug 30 • 12:15 PM ET
Moneyline
Washington Nationals logo WAS (+100)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

I’m grabbing the Nationals at plus-money behind Andrew Alvarez. Washington holds the offensive edge over Miami (98 wRC+, .178 ISO vs. 87 wRC+, .106 ISO). Miami’s bullpen is laboring with a 4.72 SIERA and a weak 5.9% K-BB%, giving the Nats the late-game hammer at home.

Total RBIs
Otto Lopez logo
Otto Lopez o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his batting average skill, Otto Lopez is projected as the 7th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Otto Lopez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 6th-strongest of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Alvarez throws from, Otto Lopez will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Otto Lopez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
View 11 Picks
Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Sun, Aug 30 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Connor Norby logo
Connor Norby o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.51
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. The #4 field in MLB for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Over the past 7 days, Connor Norby's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.5% up to 18.2%.
Total Bases
Ronald Acuna Jr. logo
Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.87
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks as the 10th-best hitter in the majors.. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The #4 field in MLB for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
View 10 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sun, Aug 30 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Willson Contreras logo Willson Contreras o0.5 Total Home Runs (+388)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Willson Contreras has done damage vs. right-handed pitching this season with 19 dingers and a .513 SLG – placing him in the top 25 in both categories across the majors.

Nine of Contreras’ 23 home runs have come against the sinker, which Will Warren throws about 27% of the time.

Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo u8.5 (-126)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

The Yankees have averaged just 3.88 runs per game over their last 16 contests, and both teams own elite bullpens.

The Under is 5-0-1 in the last six meetings between these teams in New York.

View 13 Picks
Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Sun, Aug 30 • 1:37 PM ET
Earned Runs Allowed
Max Scherzer logo Max Scherzer u2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-149)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Max Scherzer has a chance to shove against the Seattle Mariners, who have been ice cold at the dish as of late and most of the season. Six of Seattle's nine batters are hitting below .185 over their last 30 at-bats versus right-handed pitching, generating little to no hard contact or barrels. Scherzer has also done a very good job limiting hard-hit and barreled balls over his last five starts while posting a 3.31 xERA. The Mariners own an 81 wRC+, .620 OPS and 27.4% strikeout rate over their last six games. With Toronto fighting for a possible playoff berth, Mad Max should be locked in this afternoon. Take this down to -150.

Total Bases
Ernie Clement logo
Ernie Clement u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 10th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Ernie Clement is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all parks, the 8th-tallest fence height (on average) are at Rogers Centre.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching of all games today.. Logan Gilbert will hold the platoon advantage against Ernie Clement today.
View 11 Picks
Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Sun, Aug 30 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Teoscar Hernandez logo Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+640)
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Relative to his season outputs against Framber Valdez’ pitch mix, Teoscar Hernandez' exit velocity is up 3.3 MPH while his hard hit rate has spiked 7.9% over the last 25 at bats.

He's taken high-end southpaws like Chris Sale and Payton Tolle at least 350 feet this month. He’s been knocking on the door, and this is a nice price.

Total
Los Angeles Dodgers logo Detroit Tigers logo u7.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Tyler Glasnow has suppressed runs effectively against struggling offenses, and the Los Angeles Dodgers have a bullpen that sits seventh in xERA this month backing him up. There is no easy path to scoring for the Detroit Tigers.

Framber Valdez forced a ground ball rate of 60.2% over the past month, making it difficult to hit for power – as evident by his 0.57 HR/9.

I’d play this to 56%.

View 13 Picks
San Diego Padres logo SD @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Sun, Aug 30 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Hits
Jorge Mateo logo
Jorge Mateo u0.5 Total Hits (+110)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jorge Mateo is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today's game.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest -9° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching.. In today's matchup, Jorge Mateo is at a disadvantage facing the league's 9th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.7% rate (89th percentile).. In notching a .188 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jorge Mateo is ranked in the 3rd percentile for offensive skills.. In notching a .144 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jorge Mateo has performed in the 3rd percentile.
Total Bases
Xander Bogaerts logo
Xander Bogaerts o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.38
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for righty home runs.. The 4th-shallowest left field fences among all major league parks are found in Tropicana Field.. Xander Bogaerts has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph to 95.1-mph over the last 7 days.. Despite posting a .289 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Xander Bogaerts has had some very poor luck given the .038 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .327.
View 10 Picks
Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Sun, Aug 30 • 1:40 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Parker Messick logo Parker Messick u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+126)
Best Odds
Pick made: 38 minutes ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Parker Messick has been outstanding during his rookie season, establishing himself as a strikeout machine. However, this afternoon presents a difficult matchup for him to clear 5.5 strikeouts against a Kansas City Royals lineup that makes plenty of contact and rarely strikes out. The Royals have also been on a heater offensively, posting a 17.4% strikeout rate, 145 wRC+ and .863 OPS over their last 12 games. They continue to limit strikeouts against left-handed pitching as well. With the matchup working against Messick, I prefer taking the under 5.5 strikeouts.

Total Bases
Jo Adell logo
Jo Adell o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Jo Adell is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. Progressive Field projects as the #2 stadium in the game for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all parks, Progressive Field's left field dimensions are the shallowest.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jo Adell will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
View 11 Picks
Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Sun, Aug 30 • 2:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Jackson Chourio logo
Jackson Chourio o0.5 Total RBIs (+161)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 48 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 8th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP.. American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output.
Total Bases
Joc Pederson logo
Joc Pederson u1.5 Total Bases (-225)
Projection 0.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 31 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
In today's game, Joc Pederson is at a disadvantage facing the league's 7th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.9% rate (91st percentile).. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense projects as the 5th-strongest among all the teams playing today.. Joc Pederson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Joc Pederson grades out in the 9th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .211.. Checking in at the 11th percentile, Joc Pederson sits with a .257 BABIP this year.
View 10 Picks
Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sun, Aug 30 • 2:10 PM ET
Earned Runs Allowed
Zebby Matthews logo Zebby Matthews o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Zebby Matthews enters Sunday with the worst pitcher rating on the day, facing a fully elite-rated White Sox lineup. Matthews has improved recently, but he is still allowing over 54% hard contact across his last five outings. Chicago's bats have stayed hot, posting a 124 wRC+, .350 wOBA and .785 OPS over their last six games. All six elite-rated hitters will bat left-handed, a matchup Matthews has struggled with all season. With Chicago focused on this afternoon's matchup, take the White Sox down to -125.

Moneyline
Chicago White Sox logo CHW (+101)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

I’m taking Chicago at plus-money. The Pale Hose offense is surging at the top of the league over the past week (141 wRC+, .372 wOBA, 13.3% BB%). Zebby Matthews faces a tough assignment, especially with Minnesota’s bullpen in shambles (4.56 SIERA, 2.16 WHIP, 10.26 ERA). There is value on the road dog today. 

View 12 Picks
Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Sun, Aug 30 • 2:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Bryan Reynolds logo
Bryan Reynolds o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.63
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Bryan Reynolds's BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. In the league, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 90°.. Bryan Reynolds has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 99.8-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 94.7-mph.
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz u1.5 Total Bases (-170)
Projection 0.94
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Busch Stadium as the worst ballpark in MLB for lefty home runs.. Batting from the same side that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Oneil Cruz has a tough challenge today.. Oneil Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.. Oneil Cruz's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off in recent games, going from 41.6% on the season to 21.4% over the past two weeks.. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Oneil Cruz ranks in the 18th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .224.
View 10 Picks
Houston Astros logo HOU @ New York Mets logo NYM Sun, Aug 30 • 3:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
A.J. Ewing logo
A.J. Ewing o0.5 Total RBIs (+275)
Projection 0.43
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his BABIP ability, A.J. Ewing is projected as the 12th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. Batting from the opposite that Ethan Pecko throws from, A.J. Ewing will have an advantage in today's matchup.. A.J. Ewing has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Houston Astros infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today.
Total RBIs
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 42 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best batter in the game.. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Ethan Pecko throws from, Juan Soto will have an edge in today's game.. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Sun, Aug 30 • 4:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Jonah Heim logo
Jonah Heim o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.5
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Sutter Health Park profiles as the #1 venue in the league for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. On average, the fence height at Sutter Health Park is the 3rd-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.7-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today.
Total Bases
Christian Encarnacion-Strand logo
Christian Encarnacion-Strand o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.23
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Christian Encarnacion-Strand ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Encarnacion-Strand is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Sutter Health Park as the best venue in the majors for righty home runs.. On average, the fence height at Sutter Health Park is the 3rd-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Sun, Aug 30 • 4:07 PM ET
Total Bases
Zach Neto logo
Zach Neto u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 0.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.. Zack Wheeler will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Neto in today's game... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Wheeler's large platoon split.. Zach Neto pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.8% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.
Strikeouts Thrown
Yusei Kikuchi logo
Yusei Kikuchi o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+118)
Projection 5.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yusei Kikuchi in the 75th percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.. Yusei Kikuchi has been given more leash than the average pitcher since the start of last season, throwing 5.4 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than average.. The #4 ballpark in MLB for boosting strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.. Yusei Kikuchi will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his metrics in all categories.. Yusei Kikuchi's change-up utilization has increased by 9.3% from last year to this one (12.2% to 21.5%) .
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Sun, Aug 30 • 7:20 PM ET
Total Hits
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong u0.5 Total Hits (+210)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB's 5th-deepest RF fences today.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams playing today.. Pete Crow-Armstrong's average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 89.9-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 87-mph over the last 7 days.. Pete Crow-Armstrong's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined lately, falling from 18.5% on the season to 12.5% in the last week.. Despite posting a .390 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Pete Crow-Armstrong has had some very good luck given the .051 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .339.
Total Hits
Alex Bregman logo
Alex Bregman u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Hitting from the same side that Chase Burns throws from, Alex Bregman will be in a tough position today.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams playing today.. Alex Bregman's average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 88.1-mph seasonal average has decreased to 80.3-mph in the past week's worth of games.. Over the past two weeks, Alex Bregman's 34.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 40.6%.. Alex Bregman has posted a .230 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Fri, Sep 4 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
David Fry logo
David Fry u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
David Fry is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. Progressive Field has the 4th-tallest fences in the league.. Batting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, David Fry will not have the upper hand today.
Total Bases
Riley Greene logo
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Riley Greene is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Progressive Field projects as the #3 stadium in the game for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field has the 6th-shallowest right field fences in the majors.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 86%.
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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

More MLB Picks & Betting Tools

NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.