Cardinals vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Today's MLB Game

Ethan Diamandas - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Ethan Diamandas • Betting Analyst 6+ years betting experience
Updated: Aug 2, 2026 , 10:27 AM ET • 4 min read

George Springer and his .878 OPS from July meet one of the coldest arms in baseball in Matthew Liberatore. Our MLB expert expects Springer to eclipse his total base prop today.

MLB

Match starts: 1 hrs
STL
49 %
TOR
51 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
George Springer o1.5  Total Bases (+140) George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
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George Springer MLB Toronto Blue Jays
Photo By - Reuters Connect. George Springer of the Toronto Blue Jays.

The Toronto Blue Jays close out their series with the St. Louis Cardinals today, sending Max Scherzer to the mound against left-hander Matthew Liberatore.

Toronto’s bats have a great matchup against a scuffling starter, and George Springer’s hot streak headlines my card.

Read on for my Cardinals vs. Blue Jays predictions and MLB picks for this Sunday, August 2 matchup.

Cardinals vs Blue Jays predictions

Cardinals vs Blue Jays best bet: George Springer Over 1.5 total bases (+140)

There’s a real case that George Springer’s total bases is the best set-it-and-forget-it bet on the Toronto Blue Jays right now.

After a rough start to his season, Springer has been scorching, reaching base with a hit in seven straight games, including three total bases in Saturday’s win.

St. Louis Cardinals starter Matthew Liberatore is a hot mess with an ice-cold Baseball Savant page, and just about anyone in the Jays lineup is liable to crank him for extra bases. The St. Louis bullpen has also been shaky this series, posting a 9.00 ERA, so Springer should get chances late as well. 

The value at BET99 is phenomenal, and I’d play this to +110.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Springer put together the best month of his season in July, with 18 hits, four home runs and an .878 OPS.

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Cardinals vs Blue Jays same-game parlay (SGP)

For the same-game parlay, I’m backing Toronto’s bats against Liberatore. 

I’ll take the Blue Jays team total over 4.5 runs, since Liberatore has been just as hittable as the Cardinals bullpen of late, then pair it with Springer Over 1.5 total bases from my best bet. 

I’ll round it out with a logical add — the Blue Jays moneyline as a home favorite.

Cardinals vs Blue Jays SGP

  • George Springer Over 1.5 total bases
  • Blue Jays team total Over 4.5
  • Blue Jays moneyline

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Cardinals vs Blue Jays home run pick: Kazuma Okamoto (+305)

There are multiple reasons to like Kazuma Okamoto as a home run play here. He loves punishing a weak four-seamer, and Liberatore has a bad one, worth a -3 run value with a .533 xSLG against it. Okamoto is Toronto’s best four-seam hitter, slugging over .600 on the pitch.

Liberatore has also served up 13 home runs to right-handed hitters this year, and his batted-ball profile is tailor-made for a pull-heavy slugger like Okamoto. He allows a 23.7% pull-air contact rate, among the worst in the majors (league average is 17.7%). 

Okamoto loves a chance to sell out and yank a fastball over the wall, so keep this to a quarter unit and watch for him to stay pull-happy on Sunday.

2026 Transparency Record
  • Best bets: 13-12, +0.76 units
  • SGPs: 3-23, -2.81 units
  • HR picks: 3-23, -2.75 units

Cardinals vs Blue Jays odds

  • Moneyline: St. Louis +100 | Toronto -120
  • Run line: St. Louis +1.5 | Toronto -1.5
  • Over/Under: Over 9 | Under 9

Cardinals vs Blue Jays trend

The Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last five games as a favorite. Find more MLB betting trends for Cardinals vs. Blue Jays.

How to watch Cardinals vs Blue Jays and game info

Location Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Date Sunday, August 2, 2026
First pitch 1:37 p.m. ET
TV Sportsnet
Cardinals starting pitcher Matthew Liberatore
(5-8, 5.26 ERA)
Blue Jays starting pitcher Max Scherzer
(1-4, 9.49 ERA)

Cardinals vs Blue Jays latest injuries

Cardinals vs Blue Jays weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst

Ethan Diamandas is a Toronto-based sports writer and betting analyst with six years in the sports and gaming industry. A Carleton University journalism grad, he pairs a traditional reporting background with an analytical read on MLB betting. He covered the Toronto Blue Jays as both a beat reporter and a feature writer, which gives him a close feel for roster construction, pitching matchups, bullpen usage, and the day-to-day factors that move baseball odds.

His bylines have run in Sports Illustrated, MLB.com, and Yahoo Sports. He also covers boxing and UFC, but baseball is the focus, especially player props, first-five markets, totals, and game-by-game matchup analysis.

On the book side, he leans on bet365 for its deep player-prop menu and FanDuel for consistently competitive odds, with DraftKings reserved for the occasional ambitious parlay. His approach is research-first and patient. He shops lines, waits for real value, and won't force action just because there's a game on the board.

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