The dominant Tarik Skubal takes the ball in the rubber match today against the Milwaukee Brewers, as the Detroit Tigers look to win the finale.
Behind Skubal, my Brewers vs. Tigers predictions and MLB picks call for Detroit to walk away with a convincing victory.
Who will win Brewers vs Tigers today: Tigers -1.5 (+100)
Following Wednesday’s 5-2 win over the Milwaukee Brewers, the Detroit Tigers are now 9-2 at home this season. They’ve covered the run line in eight of those games at Comerica Park. Tarik Skubal takes the hill today, and he’s always lights out.
The lefty has a 2.08 ERA so far, and he’s allowed just two earned across his last two outings. Across 40 at-bats against this Milwaukee lineup, Skubal has held them to a .140 average, while striking out 16.
The Tigers have covered the run line in two of Skubal’s four starts this season. In his only home start, Detroit won 8-2. The hosts are also set to face Brandon Sproat, who has a 6.88 ERA. Although he’s calmed down over his last two appearances, Sproat gave up four earned runs in his last road start.
COVERS INTEL: Tarik Skubal owns an impressive 2.09 FIP this season, and he's also struck out 33 batters in 30 1/3 innings.
Brewers vs Tigers Over/Under pick: Under 7.5 (-145)
When Skubal is on the bump, it’s almost a foregone conclusion that he won’t be giving up many runs. This Tigers bullpen was also phenomenal on Wednesday after Casey Mize exited, allowing just one run across three innings.
Sprout has surrendered only two runs across his last two starts for Milwaukee. While he’s not as good on the road, the 25-year-old is starting to find some confidence. Detroit has never faced him, but I do expect them to score some runs, as they’re a much better team at home.
However, it won’t be a ton, and Skubal will limit the Brew Crew to crumbs offensively. The Under will cash as these bullpens hold it down late once again.
- ML/RL bets: 7-4, -0.94 units
- Over/Under bets: 7-4, +2.19 units
Brewers vs Tigers odds
- Moneyline: Brewers +190 | Tigers -210
- Run line: Brewers +1.5 (-120) | Tigers -1.5 (+105)
- Over/Under: Over 7.5 | Under 7.5
Brewers vs Tigers trend
The Tigers have covered the run line in eight of their last 12 home games for +7.1 units and a 53% ROI. Find more MLB betting trends for Brewers vs. Tigers.
How to watch Brewers vs Tigers and game info
| Location | Comerica Park, Detroit, MI |
| Date | Thursday, April 23, 2026 |
| First pitch | 1:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | Brewers.TV, DSN |
| Brewers starting pitcher | Brandon Sproat (0-1, 6.88 ERA) |
| Tigers starting pitcher | Tarik Skubal (3-2, 2.08 ERA) |
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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