After an improbable comeback extended the World Series to a fifth game, our Brewers vs. Rays expert picks are back for more on Wednesday, Oct. 28.
Our analysts are offering their top MLB picks for what once again may be our final slice of baseball until spring.
Brewers vs Rays expert picks for Game 5
| Pick | Probability |
|---|---|
 Josh Inglis: Jacob Misiorowski u15.5 outs |
53% |
 Joe Osborne: MIL ML |
57% |
 Neil Parker: William Contreras o1.5 H+R+RBI |
51% |
 Dustin Saracini: Chandler Simpson o1.5 H+R+RBI |
44% |
Probabilities courtesy of Polymarket. For help understanding Polymarket probabilities, see our odds calculator.
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Josh Inglis' expert pick: Jacob Misiorowski Under 15.5 outs
Price: 53¢ at Polymarket
I have this priced at 60%, and the odds are already dropping. The Tampa Bay Rays have seen Jacob Misiorowski once, and the 24-year-old might be running on fumes. He's thrown 13 1/3 postseason innings on top of 174 2/3 during the regular season after logging just 130 frames in 2025.
He's been laboring through his playoff starts and threw just 78 pitches in Game 1 of the World Series. He hasn't recorded more than 15 outs in any of his three postseason starts, and the familiarity edge now shifts toward Tampa.
Even with a good outing, I see five innings as his ceiling. At 53%, there's still value in backing the Under.
Joe Osborne's expert pick: Brewers moneyline
Price: 57¢ at Polymarket
The Milwaukee Brewers are 12-0 in Misiorowski’s last 12 starts and 23-4 since May 1.
Milwaukee also owns the bullpen edge this World Series: a 1.29 ERA compared to Tampa Bay’s 4.12, and another reliever-heavy night looms for the Rays after using six pitchers in Game 3 and seven in Game 4.
At the plate, Milwaukee’s .773 series OPS dwarfs Tampa’s atrocious .491.
With an elite starter, a stronger bullpen, and a more productive lineup, I’m backing the Brewers to finish the job tonight
Neil Parker's expert pick: William Contreras Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI
Price: 51¢ at Polymarket
Even with a 0-for-5 night at the dish in Game 4, Milwaukee catcher William Contreras has gone 7-for-17 with a run and three RBI during the World Series.
He’s sporting a .454 wOBA for the postseason while hitting in the heart of the lineup, so I recommend this Over up to 55%. Contreras posted a nearly identical .760 OPS against left-handed pitchers and .756 OPS against righties during the regular season, too
Dustin Saracini's expert pick: Chandler Simpson Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI
Price: 44¢ at Polymarket
I'd play this up to 48%.
Chandler Simpson has been one of the Rays' most reliable bats throughout the World Series. He's recorded at least one hit in five of his last six postseason games, highlighted by a three-hit performance in Game 4.
He played a pivotal role in Tampa's two-run comeback in the 12th inning, continuing to deliver the goods for a team that's largely been counted out.
He's 3-for-5 against the Miz in his career, and at this price, you have to make that trade
How to watch Brewers vs Rays Game 5
| Location | Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Fla. |
| Date | Wednesday, Oct. 28, 2026 |
| First pitch | 8 p.m. ET |
| TV | FOX |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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