Astros vs Rangers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: May 26, 2026 , 11:54 AM ET • 4 min read

The Rangers' offense will bounce back tonight.

MLB

Match starts: 6 hrs
HOU
50 %
TEX
50 %
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Texas Rangers MLB Justin Foscue
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Texas Rangers second baseman Justin Foscue.

The Texas Rangers will look to rebound following an ugly blowout loss to the Houston Astros in their series opener. 

My Astros vs. Rangers predictions expect the home team to turn things around quickly and even things up Tuesday night.

Let's break it all down with my MLB picks for May 26. 

Who will win Astros vs Rangers today: Rangers moneyline (-135)

The Houston Astros are riding a four-game winning streak while the Texas Rangers have dropped four in a row. Even so, the underlying data favors the Rangers offense of late.

The Astros own a .290 wOBA, .652 OPS, and 35.1% hard hit rate over their last six games. 

Despite getting no-hit Monday, the Rangers have fared better in each category over the same period. They are sporting a .333 wOBA, .757 OPS, and 39.4% hard hit rate.

Jack Leiter has also out-performed Jason Alexander in ERA, FIP, xFIP, and K%, making the Rangers a buy up to -140.

Covers COVERS INTEL: In this game, four of the Top-5 batters in OBP vs. righties this month play for the Rangers.

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Astros vs Rangers Over/Under pick: Under 8 (-110)

Globe Life Field is very pitcher-friendly, and that’s evident looking at the Rangers’ home numbers. They rank 29th in wOBA vs. righties at home compared to third on the road

The Rangers are not the kind of team that will blow up a lesser pitcher, which will allow for Jason Alexander to grind out some innings.

Conversely, the Astros are hitting .205 against righties over the past two weeks and now find themselves in a pitcher-friendly park. Leiter’s xERA is a full run lower at home, setting him up for a quality start.

Play the Under to -115.

Todd Cordell's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 18-16, -3.08 units
  • Over/Under bets: 16-17-1, -3.51 units

Astros vs Rangers odds

  • Moneyline: Astros +110 | Rangers -130
  • Run line: Astros +1.5 (-175) | Rangers -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under: Over 8 (-110) | Under 8 (-110)

Astros vs Rangers trend

The Rangers have hit the game total Under in 20 of their last 25 home games (+15.7 units, 57% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Astros vs. Rangers.

How to watch Astros vs Rangers and game info

Location Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX
Date Tuesday, May 26, 2026
First pitch 8:05 p.m. ET
TV SCHN, RSN
Astros starting pitcher Jason Alexander
(1-0, 7.30 ERA)
Rangers starting pitcher Jack Leiter
(1-4, 4.61 ERA)

Astros vs Rangers latest injuries

Astros vs Rangers weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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