MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 9, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Thu, Jul 9 • 12:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Austin Riley logo
Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+147)
Projection 1.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Austin Riley ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #4 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. In the last week, Austin Riley's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.6% up to 25%.. Austin Riley's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, increasing from 39.6% on the season to 50% over the last 7 days.
Total Bases
Mike Yastrzemski logo
Mike Yastrzemski o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. The #4 field in the league for boosting base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have an edge today.. Mike Yastrzemski has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 5.2% seasonal rate to 25% in the last 7 days.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Thu, Jul 9 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Austin Wells logo
Austin Wells o1.5 Total Bases (+285)
Projection 1.19
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Tropicana Field ranks as the #3 ballpark in MLB for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all stadiums, Tropicana Field's RF fences are the 5th-shallowest.. Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge today.. Extreme flyball bats like Austin Wells tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams on the slate today.
Total Bases
Ben Rice logo
Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ben Rice ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. Tropicana Field ranks as the #3 ballpark in MLB for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Ben Rice will have the handedness advantage against Drew Rasmussen in today's game.. Ben Rice pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.2% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ New York Mets logo NYM Thu, Jul 9 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
A.J. Ewing logo
A.J. Ewing o1.5 Total Bases (+124)
Projection 1.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his BABIP ability, A.J. Ewing is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. A.J. Ewing has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (57% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.. Batting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, A.J. Ewing will have an edge in today's matchup.. A.J. Ewing has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-122)
Projection 2.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average talent, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.. Because of Sean Manaea's large platoon split, Bobby Witt Jr. will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.. Bobby Witt Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Thu, Jul 9 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Gunnar Henderson logo
Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #10 park in baseball for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field dimensions among all parks.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.99
Best Odds
Pick made: 32 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. The #10 park in baseball for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.7% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences today.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Thu, Jul 9 • 1:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kyle Manzardo logo
Kyle Manzardo o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Kyle Manzardo is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have an advantage in today's matchup.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst among all the teams on the slate today.
Total Bases
Chase DeLauter logo
Chase DeLauter o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Chase DeLauter's batting average talent is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Chase DeLauter is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Chase DeLauter will hold the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober in today's game.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst among all the teams on the slate today.. Chase DeLauter has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph to 93.3-mph in the last two weeks.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Jul 9 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Randal Grichuk logo
Randal Grichuk u0.5 Total Hits (+160)
Projection 0.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
This year, Randal Grichuk has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 67% of his appearances when starting against southpaw.. Out of every team playing today, the best infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.. Randal Grichuk has been lucky this year, putting up a .359 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .029 gap.. With a 4.22 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Randal Grichuk has displayed poor plate discipline, ranking in the 13th percentile.. Ranking in the 11th percentile, Randal Grichuk has put up a .258 BABIP since the start of last season.
Total Bases
Willson Contreras logo
Willson Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (+118)
Projection 2.02
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. The #7 park in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Willson Contreras will hold the platoon advantage over Anthony Kay in today's game.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Thu, Jul 9 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Bryce Miller logo
Bryce Miller u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+130)
Projection 5.49
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The Miami Marlins (20.9 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup of all teams today.. Erich Bacchus projects as a Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be behind the plate in this game.. The Miami Marlins have 6 hitters in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage over Bryce Miller in this game.. Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bryce Miller in today's game.. Bryce Miller has been very fortunate when it comes to his strikeouts this year, notching a 10.59 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.32 — a 1.27 K/9 difference.
Total Bases
Otto Lopez logo
Otto Lopez o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average skill, Otto Lopez is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Otto Lopez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams today.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today's game.. Otto Lopez has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 7.5% seasonal rate to 13% in the last 7 days.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Thu, Jul 9 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Riley Greene logo
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Riley Greene is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. Comerica Park profiles as the #10 park in the game for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Comerica Park has the shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Riley Greene will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Perkins today.
Total Bases
Kevin McGonigle logo
Kevin McGonigle o1.5 Total Bases (+117)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Kevin McGonigle ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kevin McGonigle is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Comerica Park profiles as the #10 park in the game for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Comerica Park has the shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Kevin McGonigle will have the handedness advantage against Jack Perkins in today's matchup.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Thu, Jul 9 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz logo
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+142)
Projection 1.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 6th-best batter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the best stadium in the majors for righty home runs.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 88°.. Elly De La Cruz has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
JJ Bleday logo
JJ Bleday o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.45
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the best park in the majors for left-handed home runs.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 88°.. JJ Bleday pulls many of his flyballs (37.4% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. Extreme groundball hitters like JJ Bleday tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jesus Luzardo.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and JJ Bleday will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, Jul 9 • 7:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Nathan Church logo
Nathan Church o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.45
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
In the league, Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the slate at 89°.. Batting from the opposite that Logan Henderson throws from, Nathan Church will have an edge today.. Extreme flyball bats like Nathan Church generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Henderson.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Nathan Church will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Lars Nootbaar logo
Lars Nootbaar o0.5 Total RBIs (+206)
Projection 0.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. In the league, Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the slate at 89°.. Lars Nootbaar will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Henderson in today's matchup.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Thu, Jul 9 • 8:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jake Burger logo
Jake Burger u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Globe Life Field as the worst park in baseball for run-scoring.. In MLB, Globe Life Field's CF fences are the 6th-deepest.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -11° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching.. Jake Burger's average exit velocity has declined of late; his 90-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 85.9-mph in the past 7 days.. Jake Burger's launch angle this season (12.3°) is considerably lower than his 17° figure last season.
Total RBIs
Kyle Higashioka logo
Kyle Higashioka o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
Projection 0.41
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Kyle Higashioka is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Globe Life Field has the 5th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Kyle Higashioka will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Reid Detmers in today's matchup.. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Los Angeles Angels.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Higashioka will hold that advantage today.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ San Diego Padres logo SD Thu, Jul 9 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Nolan Arenado logo
Nolan Arenado o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.48
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Among all parks, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. Petco Park has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Nolan Arenado's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 38.1% to 43.9%.
Total RBIs
Luis Campusano logo
Luis Campusano o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.41
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Petco Park has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Luis Campusano hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Luis Campusano will hold that advantage in today's game.. Luis Campusano's quickness has improved this season. His 25.01 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.84 ft/sec now.. Luis Campusano and his 17.3° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 84th percentile, among the highest in the majors since the start of last season.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET
6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
St. Louis Cardinals logo o2.5 Team Total (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed
Zac Gallen logo Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: 17 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 27 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 20 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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