Super Bowl Sunday has arrived, and the Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots are set to clash at Levi’s Stadium.
Let’s take one final look at the Super Bowl odds, highlighted by the top first touchdown predictions for Sunday, February 8.
Be sure to also check out our entire selection of Super Bowl predictions before kickoff!
Seahawks vs Patriots first touchdown predictions
| Result | |
|---|---|
| AJ Barner to score the first TD | Trade at Kalshi |
| Drake Maye to score the first TD | Trade at Kalshi |
Our predictions: AJ Barner first TD and Drake Maye first TD
Neil Parker loves the chances of either AJ Barner or Drake Maye finding paydirt first, citing Barner’s red-zone target rate along with Maye’s ability to use his legs inside the red zone.
"Barner garnered a respectable 13 red-zone targets and was targeted on a healthy 20.9% of his routes during the regular season. His 66.7% contested catch rate and 5.1 yards after the catch per reception were high-end marks among tight ends, too."
"Maye had 21 red-zone rushing attempts and finished third with 422 yards accumulated from scrambles during the regular season, after all, and he’s added another 125 scramble yards across three playoff contests."
See more of Neil's analysis in his Seahawks vs. Patriots first touchdown predictions.
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Seahawks vs Patriots first touchdown props at prediction markets
| Player | First TD |
|---|---|
 Kenneth Walker III |
21¢ (+376) |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba |
15¢ (+567) |
 Rhamondre Stevenson |
10¢ (+900) |
| Cooper Kupp |
7¢ (+1329) |
| AJ Barner |
7¢ (+1329) |
| Hunter Henry |
6¢ (+1567) |
| Stefon Diggs |
6¢ (+1567) |
| Drake Maye |
6¢ (+1567) |
Trading Seahawks vs. Patriots at Kalshi is extremely straightforward.
If you want to bet on AJ Barner to score the first touchdown, you can “buy” his stock at seven cents, which is equivalent to +1329 odds at a traditional sportsbook.
Each side is priced based on the implied probability, which can be converted to American, Decimal, or Fractional odds using the Covers odds converter.
What is Kalshi and how does it work?
Kalshi is a federally regulated U.S. exchange where you trade directly on the outcome of real-world future events. Instead of traditional bets, you trade "Event Contracts," which are simple Yes/No questions like "Will the Eagles win this Sunday?" These events are priced between $0.01 and $0.99, and the prices reflect the market’s estimated probability of that event occurring. For instance, $0.55 equals a 55% chance. If your prediction is correct, the contract pays out exactly $1.00; if not, it settles at $0. Kalshi is essentially a stock market for reality.
How does Kalshi differ from sportsbooks?
In a sportsbook, you bet against the bookmaker, who sets fixed odds and takes a "vig," which is a kind of commission. On Kalshi, you trade against other users. This peer-to-peer model means prices are driven by supply and demand, often resulting in fairer odds. Additionally, because these are financial derivatives, you can exit your position early. If your team takes a 14-point lead, the contract price will rise, allowing you to sell your "Yes" shares for a profit before the final whistle even blows.
Why should I wager on Seahawks vs Patriots at Kalshi?
Kalshi offers four unique advantages over traditional sportsbooks:
- Flexibility: Unlike a "locked-in" bet, you can sell your contract at any time.
- Transparency: You trade against other users, which can allow you to find better value.
- Federal regulation: As a CFTC-regulated exchange, your funds are held in a secure, transparent environment.
- Availability: Kalshi is available in many regions where traditional sportsbooks aren't yet legal.
