After months of deliberation, Roc Nation chairman Jay-Z finally decided on a Super Bowl 61 halftime show performer... himself.
The 25-time Grammy Award winner will headline the halftime show at SoFi Stadium on Sunday, Feb. 14. Now speculation begins as to who will join him, and what songs might be performed.
Join us as we take a look at the early Super Bowl halftime show odds at Kalshi.
- Key Takeaways:
- Jay-Z chooses himself to headline Super Bowl LXI Halftime Show
- Beyonce among top choices to join him on stage
- "Dirt Off Your Shoulder" the early frontrunner for first song
2027 Super Bowl Halftime Show predictions
| Name |  Probability |
|---|---|
| Beyonce | 79% |
| Justin Timberlake | 63% |
| Alicia Keys | 51% |
| Rhianna | 51% |
| Pharrell Williams | 47% |
Odds as of 10-27.
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NFL Championship Halftime Show: Performers
Beyonce is a popular trading option, due in no small part to the fact that she's married to Jay-Z. She has already appeared at the halftime show twice, headlining it in 2013.
Alicia Keys, who collaborated with Jay-Z on the runaway hit "Empire State of Mind," also figures to get support early and often.
| Driver Name | Probability |
|---|---|
| Dirt Off Your Shoulder | 24% |
| Izzo (H.O.V.A.) | 23% |
| Song Cry | 20% |
| Empire State Of Mind | 14% |
| Heart Of The City (Ain't No Love) | 9% |
Odds as of 10-27. This market remains in its early stages, with relatively limited trading volume contributing to sharp swings in percentages. Some prices may look unusual compared to more mature markets. The following serves primarily as a look at an emerging market and the information it's signaling, rather than as trading advice at current prices.
Jay-Z’s halftime opener?
In the very early stages of this market, "Dirt Off Your Shoulder" leads at 24%. Other popular options include "Izzo (H.O.V.A.)," "Empire State Of Mind," and "Song Cry."
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Super Bowl halftime show durations: 2021-2026
| Super Bowl | Year | Headliner(s) | Performance Duration |
|---|---|---|---|
| LX | 2026 | Bad Bunny (feat. Lady Gaga, Ricky Martin) | ~13:00 |
| LIX | 2025 | Kendrick Lamar (feat. SZA) | ~13:20 |
| LVIII | 2024 | Usher (feat. Alicia Keys, Lil Jon, Ludacris) | ~15:00 |
| LVII | 2023 | Rihanna | ~13:00 |
| LVI | 2022 | Dr. Dre, Snoop Dogg, Eminem, Mary J. Blige, Kendrick Lamar | ~14:00 |
| LV | 2021 | The Weeknd | ~13:30 |
How is the Super Bowl Halftime Show performer chosen?
The selection of the Super Bowl Halftime Show performer is a high-stakes collaboration between the NFL, the league’s entertainment partner Roc Nation, and the host city's committee. Since 2019, Jay-Z and Roc Nation have spearheaded the process, moving away from broad talent searches to a more curated "one-at-a-time" approach.
This partnership focuses on choosing artists with significant cultural impact and global streaming dominance, ensuring the show remains a modern pop-culture event. Once a shortlist is created, it is vetted by city officials and league executives to ensure the performer aligns with the host city's identity and the NFL's brand.
While the chosen artist receives no performance fee, they are granted a massive production budget, often exceeding $10 million, to execute a world-class spectacle. The primary incentive for performers is the unparalleled global exposure, which typically results in a massive surge in music sales and streaming numbers.
Other Super Bowl halftime prop bets
Depending on the performer, there will be odds on aspects of the performer's attire, censorship, and more.
When it comes to exotic markets at the Super Bowl, there is always wild line movement in some markets leading up to the event. The first song performed at the halftime show is usually one of those, as rumors begin to fly about leaked setlists.
Super Bowl halftime props explained
The Super Bowl halftime show is a must-watch TV event, even for casual football fans. The midway mark of the NFL championship game is a spectacle just begging to be predicted, from the performer’s first song to the color of their outfits.
What is the Super Bowl halftime show?
The halftime show is a celebration as old as the Super Bowl itself. The original shows were planned around a theme; however, organizers abandoned that method in the early 1990s and instead featured a notable headliner, with guest appearances by other musical acts.
The halftime show extravaganza has gotten bigger and bigger every year, with complex sets and lighting, multiple guest appearances, and the occasional controversial moment. The Super Bowl XXXVIII halftime performance by Janet Jackson is one of the most memorable shows following her notorious “wardrobe malfunction.”
Super Bowl halftime props
Super Bowl halftime props have picked up in popularity, thanks to the online sports betting boom in the late 1990s. These novelty odds have grown each Super Bowl, limited only by the imagination of oddsmakers and fueled by investors' appetite for Super Bowl props.
Halftime show props join the coin toss, the national anthem length, and the color of the Gatorade bath as some of the more popular Super Bowl novelty odds available. The most common halftime show prop markets are centered around the first song performed, the color of the performer’s outfit, and possible guest appearances on stage during the performance.
How to predict the Super Bowl Halftime Show
Along with traditional Super Bowl odds, investors should understand how to bet on Super Bowl prop markets, especially those tied to the halftime show. The menu of halftime props can vary by sportsbook, but most offer similar categories, particularly wagers focused on the performer’s outfit, special guests, and the first song performed.
These props are typically displayed as a long list of options, each with odds reflecting its perceived likelihood. An artist’s biggest hits or most recent releases are often listed among the favorites for the opening song, since performers tend to start with a track that immediately grabs attention.
Outfit-related props are also popular, with people speculating on colors, themes, or styles. In some cases, the teams competing in the Super Bowl can even influence these markets, as their primary colors may inspire wardrobe choices for the performance.
Another common format for halftime props is the Yes/No proposition. These wagers ask players to predict whether a specific moment or detail will occur during the show. Both outcomes carry odds that indicate the potential payout. For example, a market such as “Will a football be used as a prop?” might be listed as Yes 25% and No 75%, reflecting expectations for each outcome.
Super Bowl halftime history
Super Bowl halftime show props were ushered in by the advances in online sportsbooks in the late 1990s, and as the shows grew bigger, so did the odds offerings.
However, it wasn’t until Janet Jackson’s revealing Super Bowl XXXVIII performance that oddsmakers went wild with the prop odds. Thanks to that controversial moment, a possible “wardrobe malfunction” is always included in the Super Bowl halftime show prop mix.
These fun and exotic Super Bowl odds garner plenty of media attention as well, as they have a huge mainstream appeal beyond the Super Bowl, football, and sports in general.
| Super Bowl | Year | Headliner(s) |
|---|---|---|
| LX | 2026 | Bad Bunny (feat. Lady Gaga, Ricky Martin) |
| LIX | 2025 | Kendrick Lamar (feat. SZA) |
| LVIII | 2024 | Usher (feat. Alicia Keys, Lil Jon, Ludacris) |
| LVII | 2023 | Rihanna |
| LVI | 2022 | Dr. Dre (feat. Snoop Dogg, Eminem, Mary J. Blige, Kendrick Lamar) |
| LV | 2021 | The Weeknd |
| LIV | 2020 | Shakira & Jennifer Lopez (feat. Bad Bunny, J Balvin) |
| LIII | 2019 | Maroon 5 (feat. Travis Scott, Big Boi) |
| LII | 2018 | Justin Timberlake (feat. The Tennessee Kids) |
| LI | 2017 | Lady Gaga |
| 50 | 2016 | Coldplay (feat. Beyoncé, Bruno Mars) |
| XLIX | 2015 | Katy Perry (feat. Lenny Kravitz, Missy Elliott) |
| XLVIII | 2014 | Bruno Mars (feat. Red Hot Chili Peppers) |
| XLVII | 2013 | Beyoncé (feat. Destiny’s Child) |
| XLVI | 2012 | Madonna (feat. LMFAO, Nicki Minaj, M.I.A., CeeLo Green) |
| XLV | 2011 | The Black Eyed Peas (feat. Usher, Slash) |
| XLIV | 2010 | The Who |
| XLIII | 2009 | Bruce Springsteen and the E Street Band |
| XLII | 2008 | Tom Petty & The Heartbreakers |
| XLI | 2007 | Prince |
| XL | 2006 | The Rolling Stones |
| XXXIX | 2005 | Paul McCartney |
| XXXVIII | 2004 | Janet Jackson (feat. P. Diddy, Nelly, Kid Rock, Justin Timberlake) |
| XXXVII | 2003 | Shania Twain (feat. No Doubt, Sting) |
| XXXVI | 2002 | U2 (Tribute to 9/11) |
| XXXV | 2001 | Aerosmith (feat. 'N Sync, Britney Spears, Mary J. Blige, Nelly) |
| XXXIV | 2000 | Phil Collins (feat. Christina Aguilera, Enrique Iglesias, Toni Braxton) |
| XXXIII | 1999 | Stevie Wonder (feat. Gloria Estefan, Big Bad Voodoo Daddy) |
| XXXII | 1998 | Boyz II Men (feat. Smokey Robinson, Queen Latifah, The Temptations) |
| XXXI | 1997 | The Blues Brothers (feat. James Brown, ZZ Top) |
| XXX | 1996 | Diana Ross |
| XXIX | 1995 | Tony Bennett (feat. Patti LaBelle, Miami Sound Machine) |
| XXVIII | 1994 | Clint Black (feat. Tanya Tucker, Travis Tritt, The Judds) |
| XXVII | 1993 | Michael Jackson |
| XXVI | 1992 | Gloria Estefan (with Olympic figure skaters) |
| XXV | 1991 | New Kids on the Block |
| XXIV | 1990 | Pete Fountain (feat. Doug Kershaw, Irma Thomas) |
| XXIII | 1989 | Elvis Presto |
| XXII | 1988 | Chubby Checker & The Rockettes |
| XXI | 1987 | George Burns (feat. Mickey Rooney, Disney Characters) |
| XX | 1986 | Up with People |
| XIX | 1985 | Tops In Blue |
| XVIII | 1984 | University of Florida & Florida State Marching Bands |
| XVII | 1983 | Los Angeles Super Drill Team |
| XVI | 1982 | Up with People (Salute to Motown) |
| XV | 1981 | Helen O’Connell & Southern University Marching Band |
| XIV | 1980 | Up with People (Salute to Big Band Era) |
| XIII | 1979 | Ken Hamilton & Caribbean Bands |
| XII | 1978 | Pete Fountain & Al Hirt |
| XI | 1977 | Los Angeles Unified All-City Band |
| X | 1976 | Up with People (Bicentennial Tribute) |
| IX | 1975 | Mercer Ellington & Grambling State Band |
| VIII | 1974 | University of Texas Band |
| VII | 1973 | University of Michigan Band & Woody Herma |
| VI | 1972 | Ella Fitzgerald (feat. Carol Channing, Al Hirt) |
| V | 1971 | Florida A&M Band |
| IV | 1970 | Carol Channing |
| III | 1969 | Florida A&M University Band |
| II | 1968 | Grambling State University Band |
| I | 1967 | University of Arizona & Grambling State Bands |
Instant replay: Super Bowl halftime show props
Super Bowl halftime props are for your entertainment while the on-field action is on pause:
- Halftime props are markets centered around the Super Bowl halftime show.
- Markets range from which songs will be played to what the performer will be wearing.
- These props are usually only available at online sportsbooks or prediction markets.
Super Bowl Halftime Show Odds FAQs
Yes, but only at online sportsbooks outside of the United States. Regulated sportsbooks in the U.S. don't offer betting on the Super Bowl halftime show.
The most common Super Bowl halftime props bets you can make are “First song performed” as well as "Total number of songs" and “Guest appearances.” However, prop options will vary from book to book and can include clothing, viewership, and more set-based options.
While some odds are out in the fall, most Super Bowl halftime props release during the bye week before Super Sunday and the options grow the closer it gets to kickoff.
According to Chief NFL Spokesperson, Brian McCarthy, Roc Nation — in partnership with the NFL — takes the lead in picking the act for the Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show.
