Florida State 15th ACC5-5

North Carolina State 12th ACC5-5

8:00PM ET Nov 21, 2025

Florida State @ North Carolina State Picks & Props

Picks |Consensus |Props |Trends |Top User Picks

FSU vs NCST Picks

NCAAF Picks

Passing Yards

TC Tommy Castellanos o235.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Best Odds

o235.5 -114

Pick made: 23 hours ago

o235.5 -114

Tommy Castellanos is averaging 246.1 passing yards over his last seven games, going Over 235.5 yards six times during that period. He should cook a North Carolina State secondary that is struggling. The Wolfpapck have been torched for 367 passing yards to Miami, 408 to Georgia Tech, 423 to Pitt, and 342 to Notre Dame over the last four games.

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Passing Yards

Tommy Castellanos u235.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Projection 210.8414 (Under)

Best Odds

u235.5 -114

Pick made: 3 days ago

EV Model Rating

u235.5 -114

Passing Yards

CJ Bailey o234.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Projection 236.0019 (Over)

Best Odds

o234.5 -114

Pick made: 3 days ago

EV Model Rating

o234.5 -114

o235.5 -115

o234.5 -115

Receiving Yards

Wesley Grimes o26.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Projection 40.9723 (Over)

Best Odds

o26.5 -114

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o26.5 -114

Receiving Yards

Hollywood Smothers o15.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Projection 23.2244 (Over)

Best Odds

o15.5 -114

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o15.5 -114

Receiving Yards

Noah Rogers o28.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Projection 37.2581 (Over)

Best Odds

o28.5 -114

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o28.5 -114

Receiving Yards

Terrell Anderson o36.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Projection 43.8987 (Over)

Best Odds

o36.5 -114

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o36.5 -114

Receiving Yards

Justin Joly o39.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Projection 47.0453 (Over)

Best Odds

o39.5 -114

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o39.5 -114

o39.5 -117

Receiving Yards

Micahi Danzy o37.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Projection 40.7093 (Over)

Best Odds

o37.5 -114

Pick made: 3 days ago

EV Model Rating

o37.5 -114

o37.5 -115

Rushing Yards

CJ Bailey o17.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Projection 24.4053 (Over)

Best Odds

o17.5 -114

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o17.5 -114

Rushing Yards

Hollywood Smothers u70.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Projection 61.3116 (Under)

Best Odds

u70.5 -113

Pick made: 31 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u70.5 -114

u70.5 -113

Spread

61% picking Florida State

61% 61%

39% 39%

Total Picks FSU 105, NCST 66

Spread

FSU

NCST

Spread

-3.5 -130

+5.0 -125

FSU vs NCST Props

Player

Prop

Season Avg.

Best Odds

Projection Rating

T. Castellanos

quarterback QB • Florida State

Prop

288.5

Pas and Rus Yards

Season Avg.

272.10

Best Odds

Over

Under

Prop

288.5 Pas and Rus Yards

Season Avg.

272.10

Best Odds

Over

-114

Under

-114

Over

Under

o288.5 -114

u288.5 -114

FSU vs NCST Trends

Florida State Trends

Florida State has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 56% ROI)

Florida State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+1.46 Units / 11% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1st Period

Florida State has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - Full Game

Florida State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1st Half

Florida State has not hit the Moneyline in any of their last 3 away games (-12.65 Units / -100% ROI)

FSU

NCST

Game Line - MoneyLine - Full Game

Florida State has not hit the 1H Moneyline in any of their last 2 away games (-7.10 Units / -100% ROI)

FSU

NCST

Game Line - MoneyLine - 1st Half

Florida State have only covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 11 games (-6.45 Units / -47% ROI)

FSU

NCST

Game Line - Spread - 1st Period

Florida State has not hit the 1Q Moneyline in any of their last 3 away games (-5.95 Units / -100% ROI)

FSU

NCST

Game Line - MoneyLine - 1st Period

Florida State has only hit the Team Total Over in 1 of their last 6 games (-4.90 Units / -70% ROI)

North Carolina State Trends

NC State has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.62 Units / 25% ROI)

NC State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - Full Game

NC State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.15 Units / 3% ROI)

FSU

NCST

Game Line - MoneyLine - 1st Period

NC State has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 12 games (-10.75 Units / -52% ROI)

FSU

NCST

Game Line - MoneyLine - 1st Half

NC State has only hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (-5.55 Units / -25% ROI)

FSU

NCST

Game Line - MoneyLine - Full Game

NC State has only hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 9 games (-3.91 Units / -38% ROI)

NC State has only hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 13 games (-3.80 Units / -27% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - Full Game

NC State has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 13 games (-2.95 Units / -19% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1st Period

Total

'kermitfrog' picks Florida State vs NC State to go Under (59.5)

kermitfrog is #2 on picking games that NC State is in with a record of (6-3-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

59.5 -109

60 -106

Total

'kowalabear' picks Florida State vs NC State to go Over (61.0)

kowalabear is #5 on picking games that NC State is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +3750 units on the season.

Total

Over

Under

Total

59.5 -109

60 -106

Spread

'kowalabear' is picking Florida State to cover (-5.0)

kowalabear is #5 on picking games that NC State is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +3750 units on the season.

Spread

FSU

NCST

Spread

-3.5 -130

+5.0 -125

Florida State @ North Carolina State Picks & Props

FSU vs NCST Picks

FSU vs NCST Consensus Picks

Consensus Picks

61% picking Florida State

FSU vs NCST Props

FSU vs NCST Trends

Florida State Trends

Florida State has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 56% ROI)

Florida State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+1.46 Units / 11% ROI)

Florida State has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)

Florida State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)

Florida State has not hit the Moneyline in any of their last 3 away games (-12.65 Units / -100% ROI)

Florida State has not hit the 1H Moneyline in any of their last 2 away games (-7.10 Units / -100% ROI)

Florida State have only covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 11 games (-6.45 Units / -47% ROI)

Florida State has not hit the 1Q Moneyline in any of their last 3 away games (-5.95 Units / -100% ROI)

Florida State has only hit the Team Total Over in 1 of their last 6 games (-4.90 Units / -70% ROI)

North Carolina State Trends

NC State has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.62 Units / 25% ROI)

NC State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)

NC State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.15 Units / 3% ROI)

NC State has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 12 games (-10.75 Units / -52% ROI)

NC State has only hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (-5.55 Units / -25% ROI)

NC State has only hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 9 games (-3.91 Units / -38% ROI)

NC State has only hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 13 games (-3.80 Units / -27% ROI)

NC State has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 13 games (-2.95 Units / -19% ROI)

FSU vs NCST Top User Picks

User Picks

'kermitfrog' picks Florida State vs NC State to go Under (59.5)

'kowalabear' picks Florida State vs NC State to go Over (61.0)

'kowalabear' is picking Florida State to cover (-5.0)

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Florida State @ North Carolina State Picks & Props

FSU vs NCST Picks

FSU vs NCST Consensus Picks

61% picking Florida State

FSU vs NCST Props

Tommy Castellanos Pas and Rus Yards Props • Florida State

FSU vs NCST Trends

Florida State has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 56% ROI)

Florida State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+1.46 Units / 11% ROI)

Florida State has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)

Florida State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)

Florida State has not hit the Moneyline in any of their last 3 away games (-12.65 Units / -100% ROI)

Florida State has not hit the 1H Moneyline in any of their last 2 away games (-7.10 Units / -100% ROI)

Florida State have only covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 11 games (-6.45 Units / -47% ROI)

Florida State has not hit the 1Q Moneyline in any of their last 3 away games (-5.95 Units / -100% ROI)

Florida State has only hit the Team Total Over in 1 of their last 6 games (-4.90 Units / -70% ROI)

NC State has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.62 Units / 25% ROI)

NC State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)

NC State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.15 Units / 3% ROI)

NC State has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 12 games (-10.75 Units / -52% ROI)

NC State has only hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (-5.55 Units / -25% ROI)

NC State has only hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 9 games (-3.91 Units / -38% ROI)

NC State has only hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 13 games (-3.80 Units / -27% ROI)

NC State has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 13 games (-2.95 Units / -19% ROI)

FSU vs NCST Top User Picks

'kermitfrog' picks Florida State vs NC State to go Under (59.5)

'kowalabear' picks Florida State vs NC State to go Over (61.0)

'kowalabear' is picking Florida State to cover (-5.0)

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