Soccer Transfer Market Odds: Shuffling Superstars in the Summer Window?

After an underwhelming stint with Italian giants Juventus, it appears it's time for the next move in Cristiano Ronaldo's storied career. Read on for the transfer market odds for Ronaldo and other stars who could be on the move this summer.

Posted: Jul 14, 2021 3:54 PM ET Updated: Jul 14, 2021 3:54 PM ET Est Time: 3 min
Cristiano Ronaldo Juventus Serie A Champions League soccer
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

With Euro 2020 and Copa America now complete, star players from around the globe are due to return to their clubs for preseason. For some wantaway stars, that means it's time for business, with the transfer market expected to heat up around Europe and abroad as players determine their next move.

We have the full odds for Lionel Messi, Cristiano Ronaldo and other global superstars who could be on the move ahead of the new season.

Jump to odds for:

Cristiano Ronaldo • Harry Kane • Kylian Mbappe • Robert Lewandowski • Antoine Greizmann
Erling Halaand • Gareth Bale • Jack Grealish • Paul Pogba • Raheem Sterling • Declan Rice
Gabriel Jesus • Kalidou Koulibaly • Isco • Samuel Umtiti • Hector Bellerin • Houssem Aouar
Mikkel Damsgaard • Danny Ings • Kurt Zouma • Tammy Abraham

Lionel Messi next club odds

Next Club Odds
Manchester City +200
MLS - Any team +250
PSG +350
Newell's Old Boys +400
Juventus +1,600
Manchester United +1,600
Inter Milan +2,000
Chelsea +2,500

For the first time since he was a child, Lionel Messi is not connected with FC Barcelona. Messi's contract expired at the end of June, and due to financial constraints within the club, they have not yet re-signed him.

Though he is a free agent, it seems like a near-lock he remains in Barca for the remainder of his career with Manchester City and PSG, the only clubs who could feasibly afford him, unlikely to do so. City manager Pep Guardiola, a Barca legend, has repeatedly stated his desire to see Messi play his entire career for the club, while PSG's priority must be to try and extend Kylian Mbappe's contract.

Next Club Odds
PSG +150
Manchester United +200
Real Madrid +350
Sporting Lisbon +600
Bayern Munich +600
Manchester City +800
China - Any team +1,000
MLS - Any team +1,000
Barcelona +3,300
Liverpool +3,300

An underwhelming stint with Juventus for Ronaldo reached its apex this season, with the Italian giants only just sneaking into fourth in Serie A on the last day of the season, and getting knocked out of the Champions League by Porto in the Round of 16.

While it appears to be in both parties' interests to move on, like Messi, Ronaldo's wages could be a stopping point. PSG has long been rumored as Ronaldo's next destination and his inability to be a part of a pressing system would be well covered in Ligue 1. 

Next Club Odds
Manchester City -150
Manchester United +450
Chelsea +800
PSG +1,300
Real Madrid +2,000
Bayern Munich +2,000
Juventus +3,300

Kane has made his desire to leave Spurs known and, crucially, appears to be willing to publicly posture to get a move done with three years remaining on his current contract. Barring a sudden change to the transfer market, it looks like it's Manchester City or bust for England's captain, and the odds reflect that.  

Next Club Odds
Real Madrid -150
Liverpool +600
Barcelona +1,400
Bayern Munich +2,500
Manchester United +3,300
Chelsea +3,800
Manchester City +8,000

PSG have, time and time again, made it known they have no intention of selling Mbappe, but their hand is about to be forced. With just a year left on his contract and the Qatar World Cup just five months after that, PSG will no doubt put an astronomical wage in front of him to extend.

However, Mbappe has long let it be known he dreams of being Madrid's No. 7, and to extend with PSG and remain in Ligue 1 would be to halt his ascension to global superstar. So, PSG can either stand their ground and risk seeing him leave for free next summer or cash in now.

Next Club Odds
Real Madrid -200
Chelsea +350
Manchester United +500
Manchester City +600
PSG +800
Juventus +1,000

Fresh off a record-breaking campaign for Bayern Munich, serial goalscorer Robert Lewandowski recently began to appear in transfer rumors with Real Madrid reportedly considering him as a Mbappe alternative.

Lewandowski has won everything with Bayern Munich, broke a goalscoring record previously seen as unbreakable, and is 32-years-old. If there is one last major move in his career, it would make sense to see it this summer. For now, it appears just Madrid are interested, and they will wait on Mbappe's situation to reach a resolution before pursuing Lewandowski or anyone else.

Next Club Odds
Chelsea +250
Atletico Madrid +275
Manchester City +350
Manchester United +600
PSG +600

Score one for wishful thinking. After nonsensically purchasing Antoine Griezmann to come into a team with no obvious place for him, the financially strapped Barcelona are hoping to move the French forward this summer. However, one of the best examples of Barca's rotten wage structure, Griezmann will no doubt prove too pricey for any club to make a move. He would be the highest earner by nearly double in the Premier League, and there's no reason to think he will accept a massive wage cut in order to end his dream move. 

Next Club Odds
Manchester City +125
Chelsea +150
Real Madrid +500
Manchester United +750
Bayern Munich +1,000

Already one of the world's best strikers at 21-years-old, clubs should be lining up to sign Halaand if he is available. However, there is no indication he is, as a release clause approximated around $100 million USD in his contract becomes active next summer. An offer would need to be upward of $150 million to tempt Borussia Dortmund into selling early, and after Jadon Sancho's exit, that may not be enough.

With City focused on Kane, it has been all Chelsea in Halaand rumors this summer, and while they have the cash to strike a deal, they may not find a willing partner in Dortmund. 

Next Club Odds
Cardiff City +150
Inter Miami +500
L.A. Galaxy +500
Manchester United +550
Manchester City +600
Tottenham +1,000
Chelsea +1,000

Wales national team star and renowned golfer Gareth Bale is, once again, navigating an uncertain future. Bale has been on the outside of Madrid for years, and despite a positive end to his loan at Spurs and noted Bale-hater Zinedine Zidane's departure from the club, it seems like his time in Spain is over.

Bale has repeatedly alluded to a wild next move of his career, and he is never happier than when he is representing Wales, hence Cardiff City's place atop the odds board. Bale is an enigma, and his next club is a mystery at this point. 

Next Club Odds
Manchester City -225
Manchester United +275
Chelsea +450
Real Madrid +800
PSG +800

Aston Villa captain and England cult hero Jack Grealish has, time and time again, expressed his love for his boyhood club Villa. They have, up to this point, managed to keep hold of an incredible talent, and while new ownership should see the midlands club consistently competing in the top half of the Premier League, interest from City could be too great to hold off.

With a long contract in place and rich ownership, even a nine-figure offer from City could require Grealish to ask for a move in order for it to be accepted. Can trophies and tutelage of Guardiola tempt Grealish enough to sour relationships with his boyhood club?  

Next Club Odds
PSG -200
Juventus +250
Real Madrid +450
Bayern Munich +600
Manchester City +1,200

Pretty much since returning to the club, Pogba has been rumored to be leaving Manchester United. While super-agent Mino Raiola is certainly the cause of many of those rumors, they won't go away until a new deal is signed. A move to Real Madrid became less likely after Zidane, a long-time fan of Pogba's left, with PSG taking over as the club most often connected to Pogba. However, PSG have an increasingly crowded midfield and may choose to allocate funds elsewhere. 

Next Club Odds
Barcelona +400
Inter Milan +550
PSG +650
Chelsea +800
Real Madrid +1,000
Arsenal +1,000
Bayern Munich +1,200
Tottenham +1,200
Manchester United +1,600

It seems ages ago, after Sterling was among the best players at Euro 2020, but the City attacker fell out of favor at the club during the second half of the season and his future appears to be uncertain. However, between Sterling getting to start the Champions League final and his heroics for England, City may be content to push forward with him. Plus, they may not have a choice, with most big clubs set on other attackers this summer.

Perhaps the only plausible way for City to get value for him would be as a part of the Harry Kane transfer, but there is no reason for Sterling to accept a move to Spurs. 

Next Club Odds
Chelsea -125
Manchester United +120
Tottenham +800
Manchester City +1,000
Arsenal +1,200

After performing superbly at the center of England's midfield during Euro 2020, an already-likely summer transfer looks even more certain for West Ham's Declan Rice. A boyhood Chelsea fan who was released by their youth academy, Rice will be eager to reunite with his best friend and Chelsea midfielder Mason Mount in London, provided a fee can be agreed between the two clubs.

Next Club Odds
Juventus +125
Real Madrid +450
Bayern Munich +600
Atletico Madrid +600
Borrusia Dortmund +800
PSG +1,000

After failing to take his chance as Manchester City's first-choice striker in 2020/21, Jesus looks likely to be sacrificed to the transfer market as Guardiola and City try to revitalize a forward line that was inconsistent last season. Juve has been most often connected to Jesus, but a move could be contingent on offloading Ronaldo's massive wages. 

Next Club Odds
Everton +100
Manchester United +275
Liverpool +400
Arsenal +500
Manchester City +1,000

The towering center-back with the fantastic nickname of K2, Napoli's Koulibaly appears to finally be getting a move a couple of years too late. Now 30-years-old, Everton look primed to snatch the fantastic defender up at a cut-rate and reunite him with former Napoli manager Rafael Benitez, in what would be a great bit of business for the Merseyside club. 

Next Club Odds
Arsenal +175
Tottenham +200
AC Milan +225
Napoli +500
Inter Milan +700

Seemingly on the outs at Real Madrid for years now, the Spanish giants — like their rivals Barcelona — are showing a renewed effort to offload deadwood and begin to solve nightmare finances. While Isco is in Madrid for preseason training, both North London clubs, Arsenal and Spurs, are reportedly showing interest in the versatile attacker. 

Next Club Odds
Arsenal +250
Everton +400
Tottenham +450
Marseille +650
Valencia +700

The oft-injured Barcelona defender has massive wages and no place in Barca's team, so it's no surprise they are trying to do away with the Frenchman. An English club, be it Arsenal, Everton, Spurs, or another, are the most likely to be able to take on his inflated salary.

Next Club Odds
Inter Milan -500
Atletico Madrid +1,000
Barcelona +1,000
PSG +1,600
Villareal +1,600
Real Betis +1,600
AC Milan +2,000

The Arsenal right-back has reportedly agreed to a contract with Inter Milan, with the Italian club and Arsenal now needing to come to an agreement on price. With staggering -500 odds to head to Inter, it appears Bellerin's next club is all but sorted. 

Next Club Odds
Arsenal +110
Tottenham +350
Borussia Dortmund +600
Liverpool +1,000
PSG +1,000

One of the prizes of last summer who went unsold, Lyon's Houssem Aouar appears ready to move on after the French club didn't repeat their previous successes. Arsenal have been connected with Aouar since 2020, and while no business is ever done quickly at the London club, the Gunners look most likely to be his next destination. 

Next Club Odds
Juventus +350
PSG +350
Barcelona +400
Borussia Dortmund +500
Liverpool +500
Tottenham +500

Every major tournament launches a player into the middle of a transfer frenzy, and young Danish attacker Mikkel Damsgaard is the latest. After an excellent Euro 2020 with a Denmark team that made the semifinals, Damsgaard is sought after by a number of big clubs. With interest only recently emerging, it makes sense to see all the clubs quite tightly listed on the odds board.

It would be difficult for Damsgaard to turn down the glitz (and money) of a Juve, PSG, or Barca move, but a transfer to Dortmund would surely be the best for his young career. 

Next Club Odds
Tottenham +260
Manchester City +333
Chelsea +550
Manchester United +550
Celtic +1,100
West Ham +1,100
Leicester City +1,300
Arsenal +2,200

The former Liverpool striker has informed Southampton he will not renew his contract, and appears to be ready to try and make it at a major club after injuries riddled his stint with the Reds. City, Chelsea, and Manchester United are likely a step too far for Ings, but regardless of Kane's status next season, Ings would make a world of sense for Spurs. 

Next Club Odds
Everton +250
Roma +350
Wolves +600
Tottenham +1,000
Aston Villa +1,000

The Chelsea center-back is one of many Blues put on the market as they look to raise transfer funds, and he has a pair of familiar destinations listed. Everton, where he spent time on loan, would make sense, and manager Benitez showed an interest in Zouma while in charge of Newcastle United. Roma, meanwhile, are now led by Jose Mourinho, who managed him during his most recent spell at Chelsea. 

Next Club Odds
West Ham +175
Aston Villa +225
Arsenal +450
Manchester United +800
Leicester City +800
Borussia Dortmund +800
Wolves +1,000
Tottenham +1,000

The Chelsea striker was unable to build upon a positive first season back with his parent club, completely fading from the picture after Thomas Tuchel took over as Chelsea manager. Aston Villa, where he had a successful loan spell in the Championship, would make a ton of sense, and so too would West Ham, who lack a target man up front. 

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